Ukraine vs Belgium, European Championship 2024 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Ukraine vs Belgium — European Championship at Mercedes-Benz Arena.
Match Details
- Referee Anthony Taylor
- Assistant 1 Gary Beswick
- Assistant 2 Adam Nunn
9 games this season
🟨 4.8/game
⚽ 11.0 goals/game
🟥 4 total
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
33%
Clean Sheets
Ukraine this season
Ukraine this season
50%
Clean Sheets
Belgium this season
Belgium this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Ukraine
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Belgium
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Ukraine
| Mykola Shaparenko | 1 G | 1 A |
| Roman Yaremchuk | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Ukraine have kicked off against Belgium. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Domenico Tedesco will be considering his options from the bench.
- 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Ukraine that had 151 games and scored 9 goals.
- 25' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 30' Belgium are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 35' named a 5-3-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 40' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 43' Wout Faes was booked on 43.
- 48' The energy levels are beginning to show. Domenico Tedesco might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 53' With 0 assists to his name this season, Andrii Yarmolenko is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Ukraine.
- 58' Oleksandr Zinchenko is ready to make an impact after coming on for Vitalii Mykolenko at the 58 minute mark.
- 62' Belgium manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Orel Mangala is hanging Youri Tielemans on the field on 62 minute.
- 67' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Vitalii Mykolenko suffering a number of foals already.
- 69' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Artem Dovbyk.
- 70' The Ukraine bench stirs into life. Volodymyr Brazhko is withdrawn and Taras Stepanenko gets his opportunity.
- 75' The home supporters are growing impatient. Ukraine must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 77' Belgium make a change. Jeremy Doku trudges off to be replaced by Johan Bakayoko on 77 minutes.
- 81' Another substitution for Ukraine to replace Oleksandr Svatok by Andrii Yarmolenko on 81 minute.
- 86' The travelling Belgium supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 90' The Belgium bench stirs into life. Romelu Lukaku is withdrawn and Lois Openda gets his opportunity.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.
Lineups
Ukraine Lineups
5-3-2Starting XI
- 16
- 19
- 9
- 3
- 24
- 11
- 12
- 13
- 14
- 22
- 18
Bench
-
17
Oleksandr Zinchenko ↑ 58'
-
7
Andrii Yarmolenko ↑ 81'
- 23
-
6
Taras Stepanenko ↑ 70'
- 26
- 20
- 21
-
25
Vladyslav Vanat ↑ 70'
- 2
- 4
- 5
-
8
Ruslan Malinovskiy ↑ 70'
- 1
Coach
Serhiy Rebrov
Belgium Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 7
- 5
-
10
Romelu Lukaku ↓ Lois Openda 90'
-
8
Youri Tielemans ↓ Orel Mangala 62'
- 1
- 21
- 9
- 4
-
22
Jeremy Doku ↓ Johan Bakayoko 77'
- 24
- 3
Bench
-
20
Lois Openda ↑ 90'
- 13
-
18
Orel Mangala ↑ 62'
-
11
Yannick Carrasco ↑ 62'
- 12
- 16
- 17
- 25
- 2
-
19
Johan Bakayoko ↑ 77'
- 23
Coach
Domenico Tedesco
H2H
Head to Head
Ukraine Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.89
Ukraine xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88
Belgium xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 74% + Ukraine or Draw 70%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.77
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 1.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 2.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 3.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
| ± 4.5 | 4% |
|
96% |
Double Chance
Ukraine or Draw
70%
Draw or Belgium
64%
Ukraine or Belgium
66%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.3%
1 – 0
13.7%
0 – 1
13.5%
2 – 0
6.3%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 1
5.8%
1 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
2.7%
3 – 0
1.9%
0 – 3
1.8%
3 – 1
1.8%
Asian Handicap — Ukraine
| Handicap | Ukraine covers | Push | Belgium covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 20% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 20% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Ukraine keeps clean sheet
42%
✗
Belgium keeps clean sheet
42%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.