UD Almeria vs Real Zaragoza, Segunda Division 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Segunda Division · 2025-26

UD Almeria

4 – 2

Full Time

Real Zaragoza

Sat 11 Oct 2025 · 16:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

UD Almeria vs Real Zaragoza — Segunda Division .

UD Almeria 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Real Zaragoza 42 games · 36 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Real Racing Club de Santander	42	82
2	RC Deportivo La Coruna	42	77
3	Málaga CF	42	73
4	CD Mirandés	42	40
5	SD Huesca	42	38
6	Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa	42	37
7	Real Zaragoza	42	36
8	CD Castellon	1	3
9	Andorra CF	0	0
10	UD Almeria	0	0
11	CD Tenerife	0	0
12	RCD Mallorca	0	0
13	Burgos CF	0	0
14	UD Las Palmas	0	0
15	CD Leganes	0	0
16	Girona FC	0	0
17	Real Sporting de Gijon	0	0
18	Granada CF	0	0
19	Cadiz CF	0	0
20	Real Oviedo	0	0
21	Celta Vigo B	0	0
22	CE Sabadell FC	0	0
23	Real Sociedad B	1	0
24	Cordoba CF	0	0
25	Albacete Balompie	0	0
26	SD Eibar	0	0
27	Real Valladolid CF	0	0
28	CD Eldense	0	0
29	AD Ceuta FC	0	0

Head-to-Head

UD Almeria 4 games · Avg 4.0 goals Real Zaragoza

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-11 UD Almeria 4–2 Real Zaragoza 2025-03-15 UD Almeria 4–1 Real Zaragoza 2024-10-20 Real Zaragoza 1–2 UD Almeria

Recent Form

UD Almeria

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Oct	Real Zaragoza	H	4–2	W
04 Oct	RC Deportivo La Coruna	A	1–1	D
27 Sep	UD Las Palmas	A	1–0	W
20 Sep	Real Sporting de Gijon	H	2–1	W
13 Sep	Real Valladolid CF	A	1–3	L
07 Sep	Real Racing Club de Santander	H	2–3	L

Real Zaragoza

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Oct	UD Almeria	A	2–4	L
05 Oct	Cordoba CF	H	0–1	L
26 Sep	CD Mirandés	A	1–0	W
21 Sep	AD Ceuta FC	A	0–1	L
15 Sep	Albacete Balompie	H	0–0	D
06 Sep	Real Valladolid CF	H	1–1	D

Season Stats

UD Almeria		Real Zaragoza
#10	Position	#7
0	Points	36
0	Played	42
0 / 0 / 0	W / D / L	8 / 12 / 22
0	Scored	35
0	Conceded	59
+0	GD	-24
–	PPG	0.86
–	Win %	19%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)

75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

100% Clean Sheets
UD Almeria this season

UD Almeria are 10th (0 pts). Real Zaragoza are 7th (36 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. UD Almería kicks off things out of here…
4-2 the final result. Real Zaragoza will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

UD Almeria Lineups

Real Zaragoza Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Luis Suarez	3
Ivan Azon	1
Edgar Gonzalez	1
Marc Pubill	1
Nico Melamed	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.45 UD Almeria xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.76 Real Zaragoza xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

UD Almeria55% Draw27% Real Zaragoza18%

Actual: UD Almeria win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes42% 0% No58%

Avg goals/match: 2.21

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	87%	13%
± 1.5	65%	35%
± 2.5	38%	62%
± 3.5	19%	81%
± 4.5	8%	92%

Double Chance

UD Almeria or Draw

82%

Draw or Real Zaragoza

45%

UD Almeria or Real Zaragoza

73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

UD Almeria35% Draw51% Real Zaragoza14%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted

4 – 2

Actual

1 – 0

14.9%

0 – 0

13.2%

1 – 1

12.9%

2 – 0

11.1%

2 – 1

8.5%

0 – 1

7.2%

3 – 0

5.3%

1 – 2

4.4%

3 – 1

4.2%

2 – 2

3.3%

0 – 2

4 – 0

1.9%

Asian Handicap — UD Almeria

Handicap	UD Almeria covers	Push	Real Zaragoza covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	16%	73%
-1.5	27%	—	73%
-1	27%	25%	48%
-0.5	52%	—	48%
+0.5	82%	—	18%
+1	82%	13%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	4%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

UD Almeria keeps clean sheet

47% ✓

Real Zaragoza keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.