Thursday , 2 July 2026

UD Almeria vs Real Sporting de Gijon, Segunda Division 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Segunda Division · 2025-26
Sat 20 Sep 2025 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep UD Almeria A 1–2 L
14 Sep Burgos CF H 2–3 L
06 Sep RC Deportivo La Coruna A 0–1 L
29 Aug Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa H 1–0 W
23 Aug AD Ceuta FC A 1–0 W
18 Aug Cordoba CF H 2–1 W

Season Stats

UD Almeria Real Sporting de Gijon
#3 Position #9
74 Points 61
42 Played 42
22 / 8 / 12 W / D / L 18 / 7 / 17
81 Scored 60
63 Conceded 54
+18 GD +6
1.76 PPG 1.45
52% Win % 43%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

UD Almeria are 3rd (74 pts). Real Sporting de Gijon are 9th (61 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

UD Almeria Lineups

Real Sporting de Gijon Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.93 UD Almeria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.46 Real Sporting de Gijon xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 65% + Over 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
UD Almeria50% Draw24% Real Sporting de Gijon26%
Actual: UD Almeria win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.39
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

UD Almeria or Draw
73%
Draw or Real Sporting de Gijon
50%
UD Almeria or Real Sporting de Gijon
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
UD Almeria36% Draw41% Real Sporting de Gijon23%
Actual: Real Sporting de Gijon win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.4%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
6.3%
1 – 0
5.9%
3 – 1
5.7%
0 – 0
4.8%
0 – 1
4.2%
3 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
4%
0 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — UD Almeria

Handicap UD Almeria covers Push Real Sporting de Gijon covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 20% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 15% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

UD Almeria keeps clean sheet
24%
Real Sporting de Gijon keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.