Thursday , 2 July 2026

UD Almeria vs Real Zaragoza, Segunda Division 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Segunda Division · 2024-25
Sat 15 Mar 2025 · 17:30 UTC Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos 10,867 HT 45' · FT 45'
Edgar Gonzalez 6' 1–0
Luis Suarez 16' 2–0
2–1 25' Edgar Gonzalez og
Nico Melamed 45+5' 3–1
Marc Pubill 53' 4–1

Overview

Match Preview

UD Almeria vs Real ZaragozaSegunda Division at Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Palencia Caballero (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Joan Mendez Mateo (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Ion Rodriguez Portela (Spain)

Head-to-Head

3
1
UD Almeria 4 games · Avg 4.0 goals Real Zaragoza

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Real Zaragoza H 4–1 W
07 Mar SD Eibar A 0–1 L
01 Mar Malaga CF H 2–2 D
22 Feb Real Sporting de Gijon A 1–1 D
17 Feb Elche CF H 1–1 D
09 Feb RC Deportivo La Coruna A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar UD Almeria A 1–4 L
08 Mar CD Eldense H 2–4 L
01 Mar Real Sporting de Gijon H 1–1 D
22 Feb Granada CF A 2–2 D
16 Feb Burgos CF H 0–1 L
07 Feb Albacete Balompie A 1–2 L

Season Stats

UD Almeria Real Zaragoza
#3 Position #22
74 Points 36
42 Played 42
22 / 8 / 12 W / D / L 8 / 12 / 22
81 Scored 35
63 Conceded 59
+18 GD -24
1.76 PPG 0.86
52% Win % 19%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

UD Almeria are 3rd (74 pts). Real Zaragoza are 22nd (36 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos as UD Almeria face off against Real Zaragoza in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 2' Controversy at the stadium! Dion Lopy argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 6' GOAL! Edgar Gonzalez scores on 6.
  • 11' The home supporters are growing impatient. UD Almeria must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 16' Magnificent from Luis Suarez! That is 60 goals in 358 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 21' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 25' What a moment for Edgar Gonzalez! That strike on 25 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 30' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-5-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 35' Dani Tasende is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for UD Almeria tonight.
  • 40' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 45' A moment of madness from Marcos Luna on 45 minutes earns him a card. Real Zaragoza will be frustrated.
  • 47' The Real Zaragoza bench stirs into life. Dani Tasende is withdrawn and Ivan Calero gets his opportunity.
  • 50' A stunning finish from Nico Melamed — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 53' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Marc Pubill makes it 5-0.
  • 58' Over 58 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 60' The whistle greets Marcos Luna as he departs to be replaced by Adri Liso.
  • 65' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 66' The UD Almeria bench stirs into life. Lucas Robertone is withdrawn and Silvi gets his opportunity.
  • 71' The energy levels are beginning to show. Rubí might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 76' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 78' UD Almeria make a change. Gonzalo Melero trudges off to be replaced by Sergio Arribas on 78 minutes.
  • 81' Samed Bazdar was booked on 81.
  • 86' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Miguel Ramírez will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 87' UD Almeria manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Marko Perovic is hanging Marc Pubill on the field on 87 minute.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for UD Almeria players.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.68 UD Almeria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 Real Zaragoza xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + UD Almeria to win 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
UD Almeria67% Draw19% Real Zaragoza14%
Actual: UD Almeria win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.76
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 71%
29%
± 3.5 51%
49%
± 4.5 32%
68%

Double Chance

UD Almeria or Draw
86%
Draw or Real Zaragoza
33%
UD Almeria or Real Zaragoza
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
UD Almeria52% Draw35% Real Zaragoza13%
Actual: UD Almeria win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.8%
2 – 0
8.5%
3 – 1
7.8%
1 – 1
7.5%
3 – 0
7.4%
1 – 0
6.1%
4 – 1
Actual
4 – 0
4.9%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 2
4.2%
1 – 2
3.6%
0 – 0
3.5%

Asian Handicap — UD Almeria

Handicap UD Almeria covers Push Real Zaragoza covers
-2.5 30% 70%
-2 30% 20% 50%
-1.5 50% 50%
-1 50% 20% 30%
-0.5 70% 30%
+0.5 87% 13%
+1 87% 8% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

UD Almeria keeps clean sheet
35%
Real Zaragoza keeps clean sheet
8%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.