Thursday , 2 July 2026

AD Ceuta FC vs Real Zaragoza, Segunda Division 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Segunda Division · 2025-26
Sun 21 Sep 2025 · 12:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AD Ceuta FC vs Real ZaragozaSegunda Division .

Head-to-Head

1
1
AD Ceuta FC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Real Zaragoza

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Sep Real Zaragoza H 1–0 W
14 Sep CD Castellon A 3–3 D
07 Sep SD Huesca H 2–1 W
30 Aug Real Racing Club de Santander A 1–4 L
23 Aug Real Sporting de Gijon H 0–1 L
15 Aug Real Valladolid CF A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Sep AD Ceuta FC A 0–1 L
15 Sep Albacete Balompie H 0–0 D
06 Sep Real Valladolid CF H 1–1 D
30 Aug CD Castellon A 1–1 D
23 Aug Andorra CF H 1–3 L
17 Aug Real Sociedad B A 0–1 L

Season Stats

AD Ceuta FC Real Zaragoza
#11 Position #22
61 Points 36
42 Played 42
17 / 10 / 15 W / D / L 8 / 12 / 22
51 Scored 35
63 Conceded 59
-12 GD -24
1.45 PPG 0.86
40% Win % 19%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AD Ceuta FC are 11th (61 pts). Real Zaragoza are 22nd (36 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

AD Ceuta FC Lineups

Real Zaragoza Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.28 AD Ceuta FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.59 Real Zaragoza xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 71% + Under — clean sheet likely 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AD Ceuta FC53% Draw30% Real Zaragoza17%
Actual: AD Ceuta FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes34% 0% No66%
Avg goals/match: 1.87
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 56%
44%
± 2.5 29%
71%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

AD Ceuta FC or Draw
83%
Draw or Real Zaragoza
47%
AD Ceuta FC or Real Zaragoza
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AD Ceuta FC33% Draw55% Real Zaragoza12%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
17.7%
1 – 1
12.5%
2 – 0
12%
0 – 1
7.8%
2 – 1
7.4%
3 – 0
5%
1 – 2
3.3%
3 – 1
3.3%
0 – 2
2.5%
2 – 2
2.3%
4 – 0
1.6%

Asian Handicap — AD Ceuta FC

Handicap AD Ceuta FC covers Push Real Zaragoza covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 16% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 27% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 84% 16%
+1 84% 12% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

AD Ceuta FC keeps clean sheet
55%
Real Zaragoza keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.