Friday , 2 October 2026

Málaga CF vs UD Almería, Segunda Division 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Segunda Division · 2025-26
2 – 1
Full Time
Sun 21 Dec 2025 · 13:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Málaga CF vs UD Almeria — Segunda Division .

Match Details

  • Referee Manuel Perez Hernandez (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Dec UD Almería H 2–1 W
14 Dec Albacete Balompie A 3–1 W
08 Dec Real Zaragoza H 1–1 D
29 Nov Real Valladolid CF A 1–1 D
23 Nov CD Mirandés H 3–2 W
17 Nov Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Dec Málaga CF A 1–2 L
14 Dec Burgos CF H 1–2 L
06 Dec Andorra CF A 2–1 W
29 Nov SD Huesca H 0–0 D
26 Nov AD Ceuta FC A 2–3 L
22 Nov CD Leganés A 3–0 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
57% Clean Sheets
UD Almería this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

UD Almería
0-15
3/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

UD Almería
Javi Munoz 2 G 2 A
Nico Melamed 2 G 1 A
Miguel De la Fuente 2 G 1 A
Federico Bonini 1 G
Stefan Dzodic 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Málaga CF gets underway.
  • 2-1 the final result. UD Almeria will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Málaga CF Lineups

UD Almeria Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.54 Málaga CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28 UD Almeria xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Málaga CF47% Draw26% UD Almeria27%
Actual: Málaga CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.82
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Málaga CF or Draw
73%
Draw or UD Almeria
53%
Málaga CF or UD Almeria
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Málaga CF31% Draw46% UD Almeria23%
Actual: Málaga CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.2%
0 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 0
6.9%
0 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
5.6%
0 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.5%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Málaga CF

Handicap Málaga CF covers Push UD Almeria covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 21% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 17% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Málaga CF keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
UD Almeria keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.