Friday , 2 October 2026

UD Almeria vs AD Ceuta FC, Segunda Division 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Segunda Division · 2025-26
UD Almeria
4 – 2
Full Time
AD Ceuta FC
Sun 1 Feb 2026 · 13:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

UD Almeria vs AD Ceuta FC — Segunda Division .

Match Details

  • Referee Alejandro Ojaos Valera (Spain)

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CD Castellon 7 19
2 SD Eibar 7 18
3 UD Almeria 7 15
4 Burgos CF 7 14
5 Girona FC 7 13
6 RCD Mallorca 7 13
7 CE Sabadell FC 7 12
8 CD Tenerife 7 11
9 CD Leganes 7 11
10 Real Oviedo 7 11
11 UD Las Palmas 7 10
12 Real Sporting de Gijon 7 10
13 Granada CF 7 8
14 Real Sociedad B 7 8
15 Real Valladolid CF 7 8
16 Celta Vigo B 7 8
17 Andorra CF 7 6
18 Cordoba CF 7 6
19 CD Eldense 7 5
20 Cadiz CF 7 4
21 AD Ceuta FC 7 4
22 Albacete Balompie 7 1

Head-to-Head

1
1
UD Almeria 2 games · Avg 5.5 goals AD Ceuta FC
Last 5 meetings
2026-02-01 UD Almeria 4–2 AD Ceuta FC 2025-11-26 AD Ceuta FC 3–2 UD Almeria

Recent Form

UD Almeria
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb AD Ceuta FC H 4–2 W
25 Jan SD Eibar A 0–1 L
17 Jan RC Deportivo La Coruña H 1–2 L
10 Jan CD Mirandés A 2–2 D
03 Jan Granada CF H 3–2 W
21 Dec Málaga CF A 1–2 L
AD Ceuta FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb UD Almeria A 2–4 L
26 Jan Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa H 3–1 W
17 Jan Real Valladolid CF H 0–3 L
11 Jan Málaga CF A 1–2 L
04 Jan Andorra CF H 2–1 W
21 Dec Real Sociedad B A 3–1 W

Season Stats

UD Almeria AD Ceuta FC
#3 Position #21
15 Points 4
7 Played 7
5 / 0 / 2 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 5
11 Scored 6
4 Conceded 17
+7 GD -11
2.14 PPG 0.57
71% Win % 14%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
57% Clean Sheets
UD Almeria this season
0% Clean Sheets
AD Ceuta FC this season

UD Almeria are 3rd (15 pts). AD Ceuta FC are 21st (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

UD Almeria
0-15
3/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AD Ceuta FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/2
46-60
–/4
61-75
1/2
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

UD Almeria
Javi Munoz 2 G 2 A
Nico Melamed 2 G 1 A
Miguel De la Fuente 2 G 1 A
Federico Bonini 1 G
Stefan Dzodic 1 G
AD Ceuta FC
Carlos Hernandez 4 G
Jordi Escobar 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

UD Almeria Lineups

AD Ceuta FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.23 UD Almeria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.31 AD Ceuta FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
UD Almeria66% Draw18% AD Ceuta FC16%
Actual: UD Almeria win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes70% 0% No30%
Avg goals/match: 4.54
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 81%
19%
± 3.5 64%
36%
± 4.5 46%
54%

Double Chance

UD Almeria or Draw
84%
Draw or AD Ceuta FC
34%
UD Almeria or AD Ceuta FC
82%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
UD Almeria56% Draw31% AD Ceuta FC13%
Actual: UD Almeria win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
3 – 1
7.7%
2 – 1
7.3%
4 – 1
6.1%
3 – 0
6%
2 – 0
5.9%
1 – 1
5.3%
3 – 2
5%
4 – 0
4.8%
2 – 2
4.7%
4 – 2
Actual
5 – 1
4%
1 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — UD Almeria

Handicap UD Almeria covers Push AD Ceuta FC covers
-2.5 36% — 64%
-2 36% 19% 45%
-1.5 55% — 45%
-1 55% 18% 27%
-0.5 73% — 27%
+0.5 88% — 12%
+1 88% 7% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 3% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

UD Almeria keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
AD Ceuta FC keeps clean sheet
5% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.