Turkey vs Italy, European Championship 2021 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Turkey vs Italy — European Championship at Stadio Olimpico, Rome.
Match Details
- Referee Pol van Boekel
- Referee Hessel Steegstra
- Referee Jan de Vries
- Referee Danny Makkelie
- Referee Kevin Blom
- Referee Stephanie Frappart
4 games this season
🟨 1.8/game
⚽ 5.8 goals/game
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Turkey this season
Turkey this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Italy this season
Italy this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Turkey
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/1
61-75
1/3
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Italy
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Turkey
| Merih Demiral | 2 G | |
| Arda Guler | 1 G | 2 A |
| Mert Muldur | 1 G | |
| Muhammed Kerem Akturkoglu | 1 G |
Italy
| Nicolo Barella | 1 G |
| Alessandro Bastoni | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Turkey host Italy — let the battle begin!
- 5' Andrea Belotti has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 18 cards already picked up this season.
- 10' Italy come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Turkey side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 20' Nicolo Barella has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 2 goals to his name this season.
- 25' It looks surprising Italy does not make any changes. Lorenzo Insigne has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 30' Turkey is showing some good football. However, Turkey are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 35' Turkey have won 16 goals from 154 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 40' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Roberto Mancini will be considering his options from the bench.
- 45' Both keepers have barely been tested. Turkey and Italy are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 46' The crowd applauds Yusuf Yazici as he leaves the pitch. Cengiz Under steps in for Turkey.
- 51' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Turkey and Italy are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 53' What composure from Merih Demiral! The Turkey international strokes it home. 0-1.
- 58' Kenan Karaman is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Italy so far.
- 63' Federico Bernardeschi, a Italy , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 64' Ozan Tufan makes way for Kaan Ayhan at the 64 minute mark. A tactical switch from Turkey.
- 65' Kaan Ayhan is replacing Ozan Tufan for the Turkey side.
- 66' Magnificent from Ciro Immobile! That is 148 goals in 516 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 71' Manuel Locatelli has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 5 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 74' A tactical swap from Italy — Bryan Cristante on, Manuel Locatelli off on 74 minutes.
- 76' Halil Dervisoglu is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kenan Karaman at the 76 minute mark.
- 79' Lorenzo Insigne makes no mistake. The score reads 0-3 and Italy are in front.
- 81' Italy make a change. Lorenzo Insigne trudges off to be replaced by Federico Chiesa on 81 minutes.
- 85' The Italy manager makes a substitution. Domenico Berardi departs to be replaced by Federico Bernardeschi.
- 88' Turkey receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 88.
- 90' The referee calls foul for Halil Dervisoglu. He receives a Yellow card.
- The final score is 0-3.
Lineups
Turkey Lineups
Starting XI
-
6
Ozan Tufan ↓ Kaan Ayhan 64'
- 13
- 4
- 2
- 9
- 5
- 10
- 23
-
11
Yusuf Yazici ↓ Cengiz Under 46'
- 17
- 3
Bench
- 19
-
22
Kaan Ayhan ↑ 64'
-
7
Cengiz Under ↑ 46'
- 16
- 8
- 15
- 25
-
21
Irfan Can Kahveci ↑ 65'
- 1
-
26
Halil Dervisoglu ↑ 76'
- 12
- 14
Coach
Senol Gunes
Italy Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 19
- 3
- 18
- 10
- 4
- 24
- 21
-
17
Ciro Immobile ↓ Andrea Belotti 81'
- 5
- 11
Bench
- 13
-
20
Federico Bernardeschi ↑ 85'
- 26
- 12
-
16
Bryan Cristante ↑ 74'
- 1
-
9
Andrea Belotti ↑ 81'
-
14
Federico Chiesa ↑ 81'
- 15
- 23
-
2
Giovanni Di Lorenzo ↑ 46'
- 22
Coach
Roberto Mancini
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Lorenzo Insigne | 1 |
| Ciro Immobile | 1 |
| Merih Demiral | 1 |
Turkey Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.07
Turkey xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.58
Italy xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Italy win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.65
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Turkey or Draw
54%
Draw or Italy
74%
Turkey or Italy
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
0 – 1
10.2%
1 – 2
9.1%
0 – 0
9%
0 – 2
8.6%
1 – 0
6.6%
2 – 1
6.1%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 3
4.8%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
4%
2 – 3
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Turkey
| Handicap | Turkey covers | Push | Italy covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 15% | 76% |
| -0.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| +0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +1 | 52% | 22% | 25% |
| +1.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +2 | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
Turkey keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Italy keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.