Toulouse FC vs Paris FC, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
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Overview
Match Preview
Toulouse FC vs Paris FC — Ligue 1 .
- Toulouse FC 33 games · 44 pts (2025/26)
- Paris FC 34 games · 44 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Benoit Millot
15 games this season 🟨 0.9/game ⚽ 4.7 goals/gameStandings
# Team P Pts 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC 34 76 2 Racing Club de Lens 34 70 3 Lille OSC 34 61 4 Olympique Lyonnais 34 60 5 Olympique de Marseille 34 59 6 Stade Rennais FC 1901 34 59 7 AS Monaco FC 34 54 8 RC Strasbourg Alsace 34 53 9 FC Lorient 34 45 10 Toulouse FC 33 44 11 Paris FC 34 44 12 Stade Brestois 29 34 39 13 Angers SCO 34 36 14 Le Havre AC 34 35 15 AJ Auxerre 34 34 16 OGC Nice 34 32 17 FC Nantes 33 23 18 FC Metz 34 17 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 21 Feb Paris FC H 1–1 D 15 Feb Le Havre AC A 1–2 L 08 Feb Angers SCO A 0–1 L 01 Feb AJ Auxerre H 0–0 D 25 Jan Stade Brestois 29 A 2–0 W 17 Jan OGC Nice H 5–1 W Date Opponent H/A Score Result 21 Feb Toulouse FC A 1–1 D 14 Feb Racing Club de Lens H 0–5 L 08 Feb AJ Auxerre A 0–0 D 31 Jan Olympique de Marseille H 2–2 D 25 Jan Angers SCO H 0–0 D 18 Jan FC Nantes A 2–1 W Season Stats
Toulouse FC Paris FC #10 Position #11 44 Points 44 33 Played 34 12 / 8 / 13 W / D / L 11 / 11 / 12 47 Scored 47 46 Conceded 50 +1 GD -3 1.33 PPG 1.29 36% Win % 32% Key Stats
67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history27% Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season24% Clean Sheets
Paris FC this seasonToulouse FC are 10th (44 pts). Paris FC are 11th (44 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toulouse FC0-153/116-301/431-451/146-60–/261-751/376+3/3■ Scored ■ ConcededParis FC0-153/–16-303/131-45–/246-601/261-754/276+4/–■ Scored ■ Conceded -
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Paris FC kicks off things out of here…
- The final score is 1-1.
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Lineups
Toulouse FC Lineups
Paris FC Lineups
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H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Rhys Healey 2 Bafode Diakite 2 Vakoun Issouf Bayo 2 Said Arab 1 Moustapha Name 1 Morgan Guilavogui 1 Warren Caddy 1 Julien Lopez Baila 1 Head to Head
Toulouse FC Form
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Predictions
Prediction accuracy1 / 41.57 Toulouse FC xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo1.19 Paris FC xGI would bet for: Both teams to score 55%Match Result
✗ WrongActual: DrawBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 2.76Actual: Yes — both scoredOver / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 92% 8% ± 1.5 76% 24% ± 2.5 51% 49% ± 3.5 30% 70% ± 4.5 15% 85% Double Chance
Toulouse FC or Draw 73%Draw or Paris FC 54%Toulouse FC or Paris FC 73%Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Paris FC win at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 121 – 1 Actual1 – 0 9%2 – 1 8.9%0 – 0 8.2%2 – 0 7.7%1 – 2 6.7%0 – 1 6.5%2 – 2 5.3%3 – 1 4.7%0 – 2 4.4%3 – 0 4%3 – 2 2.9%Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC
Handicap Toulouse FC covers Push Paris FC covers -2.5 10% — 90% -2 10% 14% 77% -1.5 23% — 77% -1 23% 21% 55% -0.5 45% — 55% +0.5 73% — 27% +1 73% 16% 12% +1.5 88% — 12% +2 88% 8% 4% +2.5 96% — 4% Clean Sheet
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet 31% ✓Paris FC keeps clean sheet 22% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

