Toulouse FC vs FC Metz, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Ligue 1 · 2025-26

Toulouse FC

4 – 0

Full Time

FC Metz

Sun 19 Oct 2025 · 15:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Toulouse FC vs FC Metz — Ligue 1 .

Toulouse FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
FC Metz 34 games · 17 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Francois Letexier

19 games this season 🟨 2.5/game ⚽ 6.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Nantes	34	24
2	FC Metz	34	17
3	Paris Saint-Germain FC	0	0
4	Racing Club de Lens	0	0
5	Lille OSC	0	0
6	Olympique Lyonnais	0	0
7	Olympique de Marseille	0	0
8	Stade Rennais FC 1901	0	0
9	AS Monaco FC	0	0
10	RC Strasbourg Alsace	0	0
11	Toulouse FC	0	0
12	FC Lorient	0	0
13	Paris FC	0	0
14	Stade Brestois 29	0	0
15	ES Troyes AC	0	0
16	Angers SCO	0	0
17	Le Mans FC	0	0
18	Le Havre AC	0	0
19	AJ Auxerre	0	0
20	OGC Nice	0	0

Head-to-Head

Toulouse FC 5 games · Avg 3.8 goals FC Metz

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-19 Toulouse FC 4–0 FC Metz 2024-01-14 FC Metz 0–1 Toulouse FC 2023-10-01 Toulouse FC 3–0 FC Metz 2019-09-28 FC Metz 2–2 Toulouse FC

Recent Form

Toulouse FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Oct	FC Metz	H	4–0	W
05 Oct	Olympique Lyonnais	A	2–1	W
27 Sep	FC Nantes	H	2–2	D
21 Sep	AJ Auxerre	A	0–1	L
14 Sep	Lille OSC	A	1–2	L
30 Aug	Paris Saint-Germain FC	H	3–6	L

FC Metz

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Oct	Toulouse FC	A	0–4	L
04 Oct	Olympique de Marseille	H	0–3	L
28 Sep	Le Havre AC	H	0–0	D
21 Sep	AS Monaco FC	A	2–5	L
14 Sep	Angers SCO	H	1–1	D
31 Aug	Paris FC	A	2–3	L

Season Stats

Toulouse FC		FC Metz
#11	Position	#2
0	Points	17
0	Played	34
0 / 0 / 0	W / D / L	3 / 8 / 23
0	Scored	32
0	Conceded	76
+0	GD	-44
–	PPG	0.50
–	Win %	9%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)

80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Toulouse FC are 11th (0 pts). FC Metz are 2nd (17 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' And we are off! Toulouse FC vs FC Metz — let the football do the talking.
Full Time. Toulouse FC beats FC Metz

Lineups

Toulouse FC Lineups

FC Metz Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Vincent Sierro	1
Wesley Said	1
Efthymios Koulouris	1
Habib Diallo	1
Ibrahima Niane	1
Niklas Schmidt	1
Thijs Dallinga	1
Frank Magri	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.65 Toulouse FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.58 FC Metz xG

I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 64% + Toulouse FC to win 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Toulouse FC62% Draw25% FC Metz13%

Actual: Toulouse FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes36% 0% No64%

Avg goals/match: 2.23

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	87%	13%
± 1.5	65%	35%
± 2.5	38%	62%
± 3.5	19%	81%
± 4.5	8%	92%

Double Chance

Toulouse FC or Draw

87%

Draw or FC Metz

38%

Toulouse FC or FC Metz

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Toulouse FC42% Draw49% FC Metz9%

Actual: Toulouse FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 0

16.9%

2 – 0

14.2%

0 – 0

12.8%

1 – 1

10.9%

2 – 1

8.3%

3 – 0

7.6%

0 – 1

5.2%

3 – 1

4.7%

4 – 0

Actual

1 – 2

2.8%

2 – 2

2.5%

4 – 1

Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC

Handicap	Toulouse FC covers	Push	FC Metz covers
-2.5	16%	—	84%
-2	16%	20%	65%
-1.5	35%	—	65%
-1	35%	27%	38%
-0.5	62%	—	38%
+0.5	89%	—	11%
+1	89%	9%	3%
+1.5	97%	—	3%
+2	97%	2%	0%
+2.5	100%	—	0%

Clean Sheet

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet

56% ✓

FC Metz keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.