Toronto FC vs Nashville SC, MLS 2026 CONFERENCE QUARTER FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Toronto FC vs Nashville SC — MLS at Pratt & Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field.
- Toronto FC 27 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
- Nashville SC 27 games · 60 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Rubiel Vazquez
- Referee Robert Sibiga
- Referee C.J. Morgante
- Referee Ian McKay
11 games this season
🟨 2.4/game
⚽ 8.6 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov | Nashville SC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Nov | New York Red Bulls | A | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Nov | Internacional CF Miami | H | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Oct | New York City FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Oct | Philadelphia Union | A | 0–5 | L |
| 18 Oct | Atlanta United FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov | Toronto FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Nov | Internacional CF Miami | H | 3–0 | W |
| 08 Nov | Orlando City SC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 05 Nov | FC Dallas | H | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Nov | Chicago Fire FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Oct | Montreal Impact FC | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Toronto FC | Nashville SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #1 |
| 29 | Points | 60 |
| 27 | Played | 27 |
| 6 / 11 / 10 | W / D / L | 18 / 6 / 3 |
| 39 | Scored | 55 |
| 51 | Conceded | 21 |
| -12 | GD | +34 |
| 1.07 | PPG | 2.22 |
| 22% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
62%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
11%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
48%
Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season
Nashville SC this season
Toronto FC are 13th (29 pts). Nashville SC are 1st (60 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
4/7
61-75
7/6
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nashville SC
0-15
3/1
16-30
7/3
31-45
5/2
46-60
6/2
61-75
5/6
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Toronto FC
| Daniel Salloi | 7 G | 5 A |
| Josh Sargent | 7 G | 2 A |
Nashville SC
| Sam Surridge | 16 G | 1 A |
| Hany Mukhtar | 13 G | 6 A |
| Warren Madrigal | 5 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Toronto FC welcome Nashville SC for this crunch clash at Pratt & Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field.
- 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 10' It looks like no one’s ball. Nashville SC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 20' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 25' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 35' Jonathan Osorio has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 23 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 40' The travelling Nashville SC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 45' Supporters expect more eagerness from Daniel Lovitz, as he is very good at scoring at Pratt & Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 50' It is a cagey affair so far. Toronto FC in their trying to find a way past Nashville SC's compact .
- 55' Nick DeLeon has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 60' Omar Gonzalez, a USA , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 62' Nick DeLeon makes way for Ayo Akinola at the 62 minute mark. A tactical switch from Toronto FC.
- 67' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 71' Nashville SC make a change. Jhonder Cadiz trudges off to be replaced by Daniel Rios on 71 minutes.
- 76' Jhonder Cadiz has been relatively quiet despite scoring 38 goals in his last 69 appearances.
- 81' Nashville SC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 82' Toronto FC ring the changes. Jozy Altidore has done his job and it is now time for Patrick Mullins to step up.
- 87' Nashville SC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Nashville SC players.
Lineups
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
-
7
Pablo Piatti ↓ Ralph Priso-Mbongue 101'
- 23
-
96
Auro ↓ Tony Gallacher 101'
- 4
- 21
-
17
Jozy Altidore ↓ Patrick Mullins 82'
- 10
-
18
Nick DeLeon ↓ Ayo Akinola 62'
-
22
Richie Laryea ↓ Erickson Gallardo 112'
-
44
Omar Gonzalez ↓ Liam Fraser 111'
Bench
- 26
- 25
- 3
-
27
Liam Fraser ↑ 111'
-
20
Ayo Akinola ↑ 62'
-
13
Patrick Mullins ↑ 82'
-
9
Erickson Gallardo ↑ 112'
-
6
Tony Gallacher ↑ 101'
-
97
Ralph Priso-Mbongue ↑ 101'
Coach
Greg Vanney
Nashville SC Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
-
29
Alex Muyl ↓ Derrick Jones 105'
- 1
- 25
-
8
Randall Leal ↓ Jalil Anibaba 118'
-
99
Jhonder Cadiz ↓ Daniel Rios 71'
- 6
- 2
-
10
Hany Mukhtar ↓ Matt LaGrassa 111'
-
27
Brian Anunga ↓ Taylor Washington 105'
- 12
Bench
-
3
Jalil Anibaba ↑ 118'
- 9
-
21
Derrick Jones ↑ 105'
- 70
- 15
-
23
Taylor Washington ↑ 105'
-
22
Matt LaGrassa ↑ 111'
-
14
Daniel Rios ↑ 71'
- 30
Coach
Gary Smith
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sam Surridge | 5 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 4 |
| Hany Mukhtar | 4 |
| Lorenzo Insigne | 2 |
| Teal Bunbury | 2 |
| Luke Haakenson | 2 |
| Omar Gonzalez | 2 |
| Alonso Coello Camarero | 1 |
Head to Head
Toronto FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.62
Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.75
Nashville SC xG
I would bet for:
Under — clean sheet likely 61% + Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nashville SC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.37
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Toronto FC or Draw
43%
Draw or Nashville SC
83%
Toronto FC or Nashville SC
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
13.9%
0 – 0
11.4%
1 – 1
10.8%
1 – 2
8.6%
0 – 3
7.9%
1 – 3
5.1%
1 – 0
4.9%
0 – 4
3.5%
2 – 1
3%
2 – 2
2.7%
1 – 4
2.3%
Asian Handicap — Toronto FC
| Handicap | Toronto FC covers | Push | Nashville SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| -1.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -1 | 3% | 8% | 89% |
| -0.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| +0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +1 | 37% | 26% | 37% |
| +1.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +2 | 63% | 20% | 17% |
| +2.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
Clean Sheet
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
54%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

