Toronto FC vs Nashville SC, MLS 2026 CONFERENCE QUARTER FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Toronto FC vs Nashville SC — MLS at Pratt & Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field.
- Toronto FC 18 games · 17 pts (2026/26)
- Nashville SC 18 games · 40 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Rubiel Vazquez
- Referee Robert Sibiga
- Referee C.J. Morgante
- Referee Ian McKay
11 games this season
🟨 2.4/game
⚽ 8.6 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov | Nashville SC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Nov | New York Red Bulls | A | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Nov | Internacional CF Miami | H | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Oct | New York City FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Oct | Philadelphia Union | A | 0–5 | L |
| 18 Oct | Atlanta United FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov | Toronto FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Nov | Internacional CF Miami | H | 3–0 | W |
| 08 Nov | Orlando City SC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 05 Nov | FC Dallas | H | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Nov | Chicago Fire FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Oct | Montreal Impact FC | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Toronto FC | Nashville SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #1 |
| 17 | Points | 40 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 3 / 8 / 7 | W / D / L | 12 / 4 / 2 |
| 24 | Scored | 35 |
| 32 | Conceded | 14 |
| -8 | GD | +21 |
| 0.94 | PPG | 2.22 |
| 17% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
64%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
45%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
16%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
42%
Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season
Nashville SC this season
Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts). Nashville SC are 1st (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toronto FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nashville SC
0-15
2/1
16-30
5/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
5/1
61-75
5/3
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nashville SC
| Sam Surridge | 10 G | |
| Hany Mukhtar | 6 G | 4 A |
| Warren Madrigal | 5 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Pratt & Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 10' It looks like no one’s ball. Toronto FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 15' The energy levels are beginning to show. Greg Vanney might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 20' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 25' With 0 assists to his name this season, Richie Laryea is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Nashville SC.
- 30' Hany Mukhtar is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Nashville SC tonight.
- 35' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 40' Over 40 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 45' Joe Willis has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 50' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Nashville SC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 55' It is a cagey affair so far. Toronto FC in their trying to find a way past Nashville SC's compact .
- 60' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 62' Ayo Akinola gets the nod from Toronto FC. He replaces Nick DeLeon and will look to change the dynamic.
- 67' The travelling Nashville SC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 71' The crowd applauds Jhonder Cadiz as he leaves the pitch. Daniel Rios steps in for Nashville SC.
- 76' The 33-year-old Matt LaGrassa has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 81' It’s high time Greg Vanney made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 82' Fresh legs for Toronto FC! Patrick Mullins comes on to replace Jozy Altidore.
- 87' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- That’s it! Another goalless match for Toronto FC and Nashville SC (для сухой ничьи).
Lineups
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
-
7
Pablo Piatti ↓ Ralph Priso-Mbongue 101'
- 23
-
96
Auro ↓ Tony Gallacher 101'
- 4
- 21
-
17
Jozy Altidore ↓ Patrick Mullins 82'
- 10
-
18
Nick DeLeon ↓ Ayo Akinola 62'
-
22
Richie Laryea ↓ Erickson Gallardo 112'
-
44
Omar Gonzalez ↓ Liam Fraser 111'
Bench
- 26
- 25
- 3
-
27
Liam Fraser ↑ 111'
-
20
Ayo Akinola ↑ 62'
-
13
Patrick Mullins ↑ 82'
-
9
Erickson Gallardo ↑ 112'
-
6
Tony Gallacher ↑ 101'
-
97
Ralph Priso-Mbongue ↑ 101'
Coach
Greg Vanney
Nashville SC Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
-
29
Alex Muyl ↓ Derrick Jones 105'
- 1
- 25
-
8
Randall Leal ↓ Jalil Anibaba 118'
-
99
Jhonder Cadiz ↓ Daniel Rios 71'
- 6
- 2
-
10
Hany Mukhtar ↓ Matt LaGrassa 111'
-
27
Brian Anunga ↓ Taylor Washington 105'
- 12
Bench
-
3
Jalil Anibaba ↑ 118'
- 9
-
21
Derrick Jones ↑ 105'
- 70
- 15
-
23
Taylor Washington ↑ 105'
-
22
Matt LaGrassa ↑ 111'
-
14
Daniel Rios ↑ 71'
- 30
Coach
Gary Smith
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sam Surridge | 5 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 4 |
| Lorenzo Insigne | 2 |
| Teal Bunbury | 2 |
| Hany Mukhtar | 2 |
| Luke Haakenson | 2 |
| Omar Gonzalez | 2 |
| Robert Castellanos | 1 |
Head to Head
Toronto FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.59
Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.63
Nashville SC xG
I would bet for:
Under — clean sheet likely 63% + Under 2.5 goals 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nashville SC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.22
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Toronto FC or Draw
45%
Draw or Nashville SC
82%
Toronto FC or Nashville SC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
14%
0 – 0
13%
1 – 1
11.1%
1 – 2
8.3%
0 – 3
7.5%
1 – 0
5.3%
1 – 3
4.6%
0 – 4
3.1%
2 – 1
2.9%
2 – 2
2.5%
1 – 4
2%
Asian Handicap — Toronto FC
| Handicap | Toronto FC covers | Push | Nashville SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| -1.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -1 | 3% | 9% | 88% |
| -0.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| +0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +1 | 39% | 27% | 35% |
| +1.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +2 | 65% | 19% | 15% |
| +2.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
Clean Sheet
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
56%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.