Toronto FC vs Nashville SC, MLS 2026 CONFERENCE QUARTER FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Toronto FC vs Nashville SC — MLS at Pratt & Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field.
- Toronto FC 34 games · 39 pts (2026/26)
- Nashville SC 34 games · 77 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Rubiel Vazquez
- Referee Robert Sibiga
- Referee C.J. Morgante
- Referee Ian McKay
16 games this season
🟨 2.7/game
⚽ 10.9 goals/game
🟥 3 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov | Nashville SC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Nov | New York Red Bulls | A | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Nov | Internacional CF Miami | H | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Oct | New York City FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Oct | Philadelphia Union | A | 0–5 | L |
| 18 Oct | Atlanta United FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov | Toronto FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Nov | Internacional CF Miami | H | 3–0 | W |
| 08 Nov | Orlando City SC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 05 Nov | FC Dallas | H | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Nov | Chicago Fire FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Oct | Montreal Impact FC | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Toronto FC | Nashville SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #1 |
| 39 | Points | 77 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 9 / 12 / 13 | W / D / L | 23 / 8 / 3 |
| 52 | Scored | 71 |
| 67 | Conceded | 25 |
| -15 | GD | +46 |
| 1.15 | PPG | 2.26 |
| 26% | Win % | 68% |
Key Stats
62%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
12%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
50%
Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season
Nashville SC this season
Toronto FC are 12th (39 pts). Nashville SC are 1st (77 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/10
31-45
6/9
46-60
5/12
61-75
9/7
76+
16/12
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nashville SC
0-15
4/1
16-30
10/3
31-45
6/4
46-60
7/2
61-75
7/7
76+
16/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Toronto FC
| Josh Sargent | 10 G | 4 A |
| Daniel Salloi | 9 G | 6 A |
Nashville SC
| Sam Surridge | 21 G | 1 A |
| Hany Mukhtar | 16 G | 8 A |
| Warren Madrigal | 5 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Toronto FC is hosting Nashville SC for another epic battle.
- 5' Nashville SC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 15' The home supporters are growing impatient. Toronto FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 25' It’s high time Greg Vanney made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 30' Dax McCarty has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 35' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 40' Nashville SC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Hany Mukhtar scoring 2 goals.
- 45' Toronto FC have won 390 goals from 295 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 50' The 31-year-old Jhonder Cadiz has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 55' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Toronto FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 60' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 62' Another change for Toronto FC made on 62 minute. Nick DeLeon leaves to be changed by Ayo Akinola.
- 67' Nashville SC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 71' The Nashville SC bench stirs into life. Jhonder Cadiz is withdrawn and Daniel Rios gets his opportunity.
- 76' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nashville SC that had 226 games and scored 336 goals.
- 81' It looks like no one’s ball. Toronto FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 82' Time for substitution for Toronto FC. Jozy Altidore is replaced by Patrick Mullins.
- 87' Toronto FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Nashville SC's shape.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Toronto FC 0-1 Nashville SC.
Lineups
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
-
7
Pablo Piatti ↓ Ralph Priso-Mbongue 101'
- 23
-
96
Auro ↓ Tony Gallacher 101'
- 4
- 21
-
17
Jozy Altidore ↓ Patrick Mullins 82'
- 10
-
18
Nick DeLeon ↓ Ayo Akinola 62'
-
22
Richie Laryea ↓ Erickson Gallardo 112'
-
44
Omar Gonzalez ↓ Liam Fraser 111'
Bench
- 26
- 25
- 3
-
27
Liam Fraser ↑ 111'
-
20
Ayo Akinola ↑ 62'
-
13
Patrick Mullins ↑ 82'
-
9
Erickson Gallardo ↑ 112'
-
6
Tony Gallacher ↑ 101'
-
97
Ralph Priso-Mbongue ↑ 101'
Coach
Greg Vanney
Nashville SC Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
-
29
Alex Muyl ↓ Derrick Jones 105'
- 1
- 25
-
8
Randall Leal ↓ Jalil Anibaba 118'
-
99
Jhonder Cadiz ↓ Daniel Rios 71'
- 6
- 2
-
10
Hany Mukhtar ↓ Matt LaGrassa 111'
-
27
Brian Anunga ↓ Taylor Washington 105'
- 12
Bench
-
3
Jalil Anibaba ↑ 118'
- 9
-
21
Derrick Jones ↑ 105'
- 70
- 15
-
23
Taylor Washington ↑ 105'
-
22
Matt LaGrassa ↑ 111'
-
14
Daniel Rios ↑ 71'
- 30
Coach
Gary Smith
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sam Surridge | 5 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 4 |
| Hany Mukhtar | 4 |
| Omar Gonzalez | 2 |
| Lorenzo Insigne | 2 |
| Teal Bunbury | 2 |
| Luke Haakenson | 2 |
| Randall Leal | 1 |
Head to Head
Toronto FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.62
Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.82
Nashville SC xG
I would bet for:
Under — clean sheet likely 61% + Nashville SC to win 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nashville SC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.44
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Toronto FC or Draw
42%
Draw or Nashville SC
83%
Toronto FC or Nashville SC
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
14.1%
0 – 0
10.7%
1 – 1
10.5%
1 – 2
8.6%
0 – 3
8.4%
1 – 3
5.3%
1 – 0
4.5%
0 – 4
3.8%
2 – 1
2.9%
2 – 2
2.7%
1 – 4
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Toronto FC
| Handicap | Toronto FC covers | Push | Nashville SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| -1.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -1 | 3% | 8% | 89% |
| -0.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| +0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +1 | 35% | 26% | 39% |
| +1.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +2 | 61% | 20% | 19% |
| +2.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
Clean Sheet
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
54%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.