Tōkyō Verdy vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2026

Tōkyō Verdy

6 – 5

4 – 3 pen

Full Time

FC Machida Zelvia

Sat 21 Feb 2026 · 05:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Tōkyō Verdy vs FC Machida Zelvia — J. League .

Tōkyō Verdy 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Akihiko Ikeuchi

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Tōkyō Verdy 6 games · Avg 3.3 goals FC Machida Zelvia

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-21 Tōkyō Verdy 6–5 FC Machida Zelvia 2025-07-20 Tōkyō Verdy 0–1 FC Machida Zelvia 2025-02-26 FC Machida Zelvia 0–1 Tōkyō Verdy 2024-07-14 Tōkyō Verdy 0–1 FC Machida Zelvia 2024-05-19 FC Machida Zelvia 5–0 Tōkyō Verdy

Recent Form

Tōkyō Verdy

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Feb	FC Machida Zelvia	H	6–5	W
15 Feb	Kashiwa Reysol	A	2–1	W
08 Feb	FC Mito Holly Hock	H	3–1	W
06 Dec	Gamba Osaka	A	1–4	L
30 Nov	Kashima Antlers	H	0–1	L
08 Nov	Avispa Fukuoka	H	0–0	D

FC Machida Zelvia

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Feb	Tōkyō Verdy	A	5–6	L
14 Feb	FC Mito Holly Hock	H	2–2	D
06 Feb	Yokohama F·Marinos	A	3–2	W
06 Dec	Kashiwa Reysol	A	0–1	L
30 Nov	Nagoya Grampus	H	3–1	W
09 Nov	FC Tōkyō	H	0–1	L

Season Stats

Tōkyō Verdy		FC Machida Zelvia
#15	Position	#13
28	Points	37
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	13 / 0 / 5
29	Scored	42
32	Conceded	33
-3	GD	+9
1.56	PPG	2.06
56%	Win %	72%

Key Stats

17% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Tōkyō Verdy this season

100% Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season

Tōkyō Verdy are 15th (28 pts). FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Tōkyō Verdy

0-15

1/1

16-30

–/–

31-45

–/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

–/1

76+

–/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Machida Zelvia

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/–

31-45

1/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

1/–

76+

1/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Tokyo Verdy and FC Machida Zelvia has kicked off!
The points are shared — Tokyo Verdy 6-5 FC Machida Zelvia. Honours even.

Lineups

Tōkyō Verdy Lineups

FC Machida Zelvia Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Shota Fujio	3
Kazuya Miyahara	1
Erik	1
Kai Shibato	1
Kosuke Saito	1
Ryuho Kikuchi	1

Head to Head

Tōkyō Verdy Form

2026-02-21 Tōkyō Verdy 6–5 FC Machida Zelvia W 2026-02-15 Kashiwa Reysol 1–2 Tōkyō Verdy W 2026-02-08 Tōkyō Verdy 3–1 FC Mito Holly Hock W 2025-12-06 Gamba Osaka 4–1 Tōkyō Verdy L 2025-11-30 Tōkyō Verdy 0–1 Kashima Antlers L 2025-11-08 Tōkyō Verdy 0–0 Avispa Fukuoka D

FC Machida Zelvia Form

2026-02-21 Tōkyō Verdy 6–5 FC Machida Zelvia L 2026-02-14 FC Machida Zelvia 2–2 FC Mito Holly Hock D 2026-02-06 Yokohama F·Marinos 2–3 FC Machida Zelvia W 2025-12-06 Kashiwa Reysol 1–0 FC Machida Zelvia L 2025-11-30 FC Machida Zelvia 3–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2025-11-09 FC Machida Zelvia 0–1 FC Tōkyō L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.08 Tōkyō Verdy xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.24 FC Machida Zelvia xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 79% + Tōkyō Verdy or FC Machida Zelvia 78%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Tōkyō Verdy41% Draw22% FC Machida Zelvia37%

Actual: Tōkyō Verdy win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes77% 0% No23%

Avg goals/match: 4.32

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	93%	7%
± 2.5	79%	21%
± 3.5	62%	38%
± 4.5	43%	57%

Double Chance

Tōkyō Verdy or Draw

63%

Draw or FC Machida Zelvia

59%

Tōkyō Verdy or FC Machida Zelvia

78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Tōkyō Verdy30% Draw36% FC Machida Zelvia34%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 6–5 not predicted

6 – 5

Actual

1 – 1

6.9%

2 – 2

6.9%

1 – 2

6.8%

2 – 1

6.3%

2 – 3

5.1%

1 – 3

3 – 2

4.8%

3 – 1

4.3%

3 – 3

3.6%

0 – 2

3.5%

2 – 0

2 – 4

2.9%

Asian Handicap — Tōkyō Verdy

Handicap	Tōkyō Verdy covers	Push	FC Machida Zelvia covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	11%	79%
-1.5	21%	—	79%
-1	21%	16%	63%
-0.5	37%	—	63%
+0.5	58%	—	42%
+1	58%	17%	25%
+1.5	75%	—	25%
+2	75%	13%	12%
+2.5	88%	—	12%

Clean Sheet

Tōkyō Verdy keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.