Tuesday , 14 July 2026

Sweden vs USA, Women World Cup 2023 LAST 16

FIFA Women's World Cup · 2023
Sweden
5 – 4
5 – 4 pen
Full Time
USA
Sun 6 Aug 2023 · 09:00 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'
Kosovare Asllani 49' Y
Y 119' Julie Ertz

Overview

Match Preview

Sweden vs USA — Women World Cup at AAMI Park.

  • Sweden 0 games · 0 pts (2023/23)
  • USA 0 games · 0 pts (2023/23)

Match Details

  • Referee Stephanie Frappart
  • Referee Tatiana Guzman (Nicaragua)
8 games this season 🟨 2.1/game ⚽ 8.9 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
Sweden 1 games · Avg 9.0 goals USA
Last 5 meetings
2023-08-06 Sweden 5–4 USA

Recent Form

Sweden
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Aug USA H 5–4 W
02 Aug Argentina A 2–0 W
29 Jul Italy H 5–0 W
23 Jul South Africa H 2–1 W
USA
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Aug Sweden A 4–5 L
01 Aug Portugal A 0–0 D
27 Jul Netherlands H 1–1 D
22 Jul Vietnam H 3–0 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
Sweden this season
50% Clean Sheets
USA this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sweden
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
4/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/–
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
USA
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sweden
Amanda Ilestedt 4 G
Rebecka Blomqvist 3 G 1 A
Fridolina Rolfo 3 G
USA
Sophia Smith 2 G 1 A
Lindsey Horan 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at AAMI Park. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Sweden winning 100% of all matches.
  • 10' Crystal Dunn needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sweden needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 25' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 30' USA started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 30.
  • 35' Sweden seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 40' The travelling USA supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 45' It looks like no one’s ball. Sweden is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 49' The referee shows Sweden player a card on 49.
  • 54' Supporters expect more eagerness from Stina Blackstenius, as he is very good at scoring at AAMI Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 59' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lynn Williams suffering a number of foals already.
  • 64' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 66' The supporters are chanting for Lynn Williams. He replaces Trinity Rodman on 66 minute.
  • 71' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 76' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering USA that had 4 games and scored 4 goals.
  • 81' The supporters are chanting for Lina Hurtig. He replaces Johanna Rytting Kaneryd on 81 minute.
  • 86' USA is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • Another three points for Sweden.

Lineups

Sweden Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

USA Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.75 Sweden xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.98 USA xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 84% + Both teams to score 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sweden55% Draw20% USA25%
Actual: Sweden win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes80% 0% No20%
Avg goals/match: 4.73
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 95%
5%
± 2.5 84%
16%
± 3.5 68%
32%
± 4.5 50%
50%

Double Chance

Sweden or Draw
75%
Draw or USA
45%
Sweden or USA
80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sweden42% Draw34% USA24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–4 not predicted
5 – 4
Actual
2 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
6.3%
3 – 1
5.9%
3 – 2
5.7%
1 – 1
5.5%
1 – 2
4.8%
2 – 3
4.2%
4 – 1
4%
4 – 2
3.9%
3 – 3
3.8%
2 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Sweden

Handicap Sweden covers Push USA covers
-2.5 20% — 80%
-2 20% 15% 65%
-1.5 35% — 65%
-1 35% 18% 47%
-0.5 53% — 47%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 13% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 8% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Sweden keeps clean sheet
15% ✓
USA keeps clean sheet
7% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.