Friday , 28 August 2026

Sweden vs South Africa, Women World Cup 2023 GROUP STAGE

2 1
Full Time
Sun 23 Jul 2023 · 05:00 UTC Wellington Regional Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sweden vs South AfricaWomen World Cup at Wellington Regional Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Katja Koroleva (USA)
  • Referee Tatiana Guzman (Nicaragua)
3 games this season 🟨 1.7/game 5.7 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
Sweden 1 games · Avg 3.0 goals South Africa

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jul South Africa H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jul Sweden A 1–2 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
Sweden this season
0% Clean Sheets
South Africa this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sweden
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
4/
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
South Africa
0-15
/2
16-30
/
31-45
1/1
46-60
1/
61-75
2/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

South Africa
Thembi Kgatlana 2 G 3 A
Hildah Magaia 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Wellington Regional Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Sweden and South Africa.
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' Linda Motlhalo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
  • 20' Magdalena Eriksson is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for South Africa tonight.
  • 25' Sweden are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined South Africa backline.
  • 30' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 35' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 40' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 45' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 48' The Hildah Magaia breaks the deadlock on 48 minutes. 0-1!
  • 53' Gabriela Salgado needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 56' Hildah Magaia makes way for Gabriela Salgado at the 56 minute mark. A tactical switch from South Africa.
  • 61' With 3 assists to his name this season, Thembi Kgatlana is clearly more than just a goal scorer for South Africa.
  • 65' The deadlock is broken! Fridolina Rolfo gets on the scoresheet on 65 minutes.
  • 67' The Sweden manager makes a substitution. Fridolina Rolfo departs to be replaced by Olivia Schough.
  • 72' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 74' The referee calls foul for Kholosa Biyana. He receives a card.
  • 79' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 81' Another change for Sweden made on 81 minute. Elin Rubensson leaves to be changed by Caroline Seger.
  • 86' Sweden are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against South Africa's shape.
  • 88' Time for substitution for Sweden. Johanna Rytting Kaneryd is replaced by Lina Hurtig.
  • 89' It’s a booking for South Africa player. Refiloe Jane gets a card.
  • 90' Amanda Ilestedt adds to his 4 season tally! Sweden lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
  • Full Time. Sweden beats South Africa

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.69 Sweden xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 South Africa xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sweden52% Draw25% South Africa23%
Actual: Sweden win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.74
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Sweden or Draw
78%
Draw or South Africa
48%
Sweden or South Africa
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sweden36% Draw46% South Africa18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
1 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
9%
0 – 0
8.4%
0 – 1
5.8%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
5.3%
3 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Sweden

Handicap Sweden covers Push South Africa covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 23% 49%
-0.5 51% 49%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Sweden keeps clean sheet
36%
South Africa keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.