Friday , 28 August 2026

Sweden vs USA, Women World Cup 2023 LAST 16

FIFA Women's World Cup · 2023
Sweden
5 – 4
5 – 4 pen
Full Time
USA
Sun 6 Aug 2023 · 09:00 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'
Kosovare Asllani 49' Y
Y 119' Julie Ertz

Overview

Match Preview

Sweden vs USA — Women World Cup at AAMI Park.

  • Sweden 0 games · 0 pts (2023/23)
  • USA 0 games · 0 pts (2023/23)

Match Details

  • Referee Stephanie Frappart
  • Referee Tatiana Guzman (Nicaragua)
8 games this season 🟨 2.1/game ⚽ 8.9 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
Sweden 1 games · Avg 9.0 goals USA
Last 5 meetings
2023-08-06 Sweden 5–4 USA

Recent Form

Sweden
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Aug USA H 5–4 W
02 Aug Argentina A 2–0 W
29 Jul Italy H 5–0 W
23 Jul South Africa H 2–1 W
USA
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Aug Sweden A 4–5 L
01 Aug Portugal A 0–0 D
27 Jul Netherlands H 1–1 D
22 Jul Vietnam H 3–0 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
Sweden this season
50% Clean Sheets
USA this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sweden
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
4/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/–
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
USA
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sweden
Amanda Ilestedt 4 G
Rebecka Blomqvist 3 G 1 A
Fridolina Rolfo 3 G
USA
Sophia Smith 2 G 1 A
Lindsey Horan 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at AAMI Park. Sweden are looking to make home advantage count against USA.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Crystal Dunn made 4 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' Johanna Rytting Kaneryd is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for USA so far.
  • 15' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 20' Lynn Williams needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 25' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Sweden winning 100% of all matches.
  • 30' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sweden side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 35' With 0 assists to his name this season, Magdalena Eriksson is clearly more than just a goal scorer for USA.
  • 40' Alex Morgan has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 4 appearances.
  • 45' A quiet spell here at AAMI Park. USA seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 49' Kosovare Asllani catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 49.
  • 54' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 59' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sweden and USA are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 64' USA are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 66' A change in the USA ranks — Trinity Rodman exits the field as Lynn Williams enters on 66.
  • 71' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 76' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 81' The Sweden bench stirs into life. Johanna Rytting Kaneryd is withdrawn and Lina Hurtig gets his opportunity.
  • 86' Fridolina Rolfo has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Sweden players.

Lineups

Sweden Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

USA Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.75 Sweden xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.98 USA xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 84% + Both teams to score 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sweden55% Draw20% USA25%
Actual: Sweden win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes80% 0% No20%
Avg goals/match: 4.73
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 95%
5%
± 2.5 84%
16%
± 3.5 68%
32%
± 4.5 50%
50%

Double Chance

Sweden or Draw
75%
Draw or USA
45%
Sweden or USA
80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sweden42% Draw34% USA24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–4 not predicted
5 – 4
Actual
2 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
6.3%
3 – 1
5.9%
3 – 2
5.7%
1 – 1
5.5%
1 – 2
4.8%
2 – 3
4.2%
4 – 1
4%
4 – 2
3.9%
3 – 3
3.8%
2 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Sweden

Handicap Sweden covers Push USA covers
-2.5 20% — 80%
-2 20% 15% 65%
-1.5 35% — 65%
-1 35% 18% 47%
-0.5 53% — 47%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 13% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 8% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Sweden keeps clean sheet
15% ✓
USA keeps clean sheet
7% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.