St. Louis City vs Nashville SC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
St. Louis City vs Nashville SC — MLS at Citypark.
- St. Louis City 34 games · 54 pts (2026/26)
- Nashville SC 34 games · 77 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug | Nashville SC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 27 Jul | Minnesota United FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Jul | FC Dallas | A | 0–3 | L |
| 13 Jul | Portland Timbers | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Jul | Real Salt Lake | A | 2–3 | L |
| 29 Jun | Houston Dynamo | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug | St. Louis City | A | 1–3 | L |
| 26 Jul | San Diego FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Jul | Toronto FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Jul | Columbus Crew SC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Jul | Internacional CF Miami | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Jul | Philadelphia Union | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| St. Louis City | Nashville SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #18 | Position | #1 |
| 54 | Points | 77 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 15 / 9 / 10 | W / D / L | 23 / 8 / 3 |
| 59 | Scored | 71 |
| 48 | Conceded | 25 |
| +11 | GD | +46 |
| 1.59 | PPG | 2.26 |
| 44% | Win % | 68% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
St. Louis City this season
St. Louis City this season
50%
Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season
Nashville SC this season
St. Louis City are 18th (54 pts). Nashville SC are 1st (77 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
St. Louis City
0-15
9/3
16-30
8/2
31-45
11/8
46-60
10/9
61-75
6/7
76+
10/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nashville SC
0-15
4/1
16-30
10/3
31-45
6/4
46-60
7/2
61-75
7/7
76+
16/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
St. Louis City
| Rafael Navarro | 18 G | 6 A |
| Simon Becher | 9 G | 4 A |
| Marcel Hartel | 6 G | 3 A |
Nashville SC
| Sam Surridge | 21 G | 1 A |
| Hany Mukhtar | 16 G | 8 A |
| Warren Madrigal | 5 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. St. Louis City is hosting Nashville SC for another epic battle.
- 5' A quiet spell here at Citypark. Nashville SC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Nashville SC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Edvard Tagseth is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Nashville SC.
- 20' St. Louis City currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 23' The deadlock is broken! Jaziel Orozco gets on the scoresheet on 23 minutes.
- 28' Timo Baumgartl has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 11 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 33' St. Louis City are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Nashville SC's shape.
- 38' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 39' What a moment for Klauss! That strike on 39 puts his side firmly in control.
- 44' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 49' Nashville SC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 54' Over 54 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 55' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Alfredo Morales on 55 minutes.
- 60' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 62' A change in the Nashville SC ranks — Edvard Tagseth exits the field as Alex Muyl enters on 62.
- 66' What a strike from Sang-bin Jeong! The score is 3-0.
- 70' St. Louis City manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Mykhi Joyner is hanging Sang-bin Jeong on the field on 70 minute.
- 71' Celio Pompeu is replacing Wyatt Meyer for the St. Louis City side.
- 74' Josh Bauer is replacing Sam Surridge for the Nashville SC side.
- 75' Teal Bunbury is ready to make an impact after coming on for Alfredo Morales at the 75 minute mark.
- 80' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 85' What composure from Hany Mukhtar! The Germany international strokes it home. 3-1.
- 86' The St. Louis City manager makes a substitution. Patrick Yazbek departs to be replaced by Akil Watts.
- 90' The referee shows St. Louis City player a card on 90.
- Nashville SC will have plenty to reflect on. St. Louis City were simply the better side today.
Lineups
St. Louis City Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 32
- 17
- 10
- 27
- 9
- 7
- 91
-
77
Sang-bin Jeong ↓ Mykhi Joyner 70'
- 2
- 95
Bench
- 5
- 3
- 22
- 20
- 12
- 39
- 14
-
59
Mykhi Joyner ↑ 70'
Nashville SC Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Sam Surridge ↓ Josh Bauer 74'
- 7
- 1
- 31
- 10
-
20
Edvard Tagseth ↓ Alex Muyl 62'
- 5
-
24
Jonathan Perez ↓ Ahmed Qasem 62'
- 8
- 4
- 28
Bench
- 6
- 12
-
19
Alex Muyl ↑ 62'
- 14
- 99
-
22
Josh Bauer ↑ 74'
- 33
-
37
Ahmed Qasem ↑ 62'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hany Mukhtar | 4 |
| Klauss | 1 |
| Jaziel Orozco | 1 |
| Sang-bin Jeong | 1 |
| Nicholas Gioacchini | 1 |
St. Louis City Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.51
St. Louis City xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.59
Nashville SC xG
I would bet for:
St. Louis City or Nashville SC 74% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: St. Louis City win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.1
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
St. Louis City or Draw
65%
Draw or Nashville SC
61%
St. Louis City or Nashville SC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: St. Louis City win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
7.9%
0 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
6.2%
1 – 0
6%
0 – 2
5.6%
2 – 0
5.1%
1 – 3
4.4%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 3
3.4%
Asian Handicap — St. Louis City
| Handicap | St. Louis City covers | Push | Nashville SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 11% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 18% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +1 | 61% | 19% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 12% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
St. Louis City keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.