Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs Vitória SC, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
Sat 21 Mar 2026 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs Vitória SCPrimeira Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Luis Godinho
13 games this season 🟨 1.4/game 5.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Mar Vitória SC H 3–0 W
14 Mar FC Arouca A 2–1 W
08 Mar FC Porto H 2–2 D
02 Mar Gil Vicente FC A 2–1 W
25 Feb Real Madrid CF A 1–2 L
21 Feb AVS H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Mar Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 0–3 L
14 Mar FC Famalicão H 1–2 L
08 Mar CD Santa Clara A 0–2 L
28 Feb FC Alverca H 1–1 D
21 Feb Sporting Clube de Braga A 2–3 L
14 Feb CF Estrela da Amadora H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Sport Lisboa e Benfica Vitória SC
#3 Position #9
80 Points 42
34 Played 34
23 / 11 / 0 W / D / L 12 / 6 / 16
74 Scored 39
25 Conceded 51
+49 GD -12
2.35 PPG 1.24
68% Win % 35%

Key Stats

31% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
41% Clean Sheets
Sport Lisboa e Benfica this season
29% Clean Sheets
Vitória SC this season

Sport Lisboa e Benfica are 3rd (80 pts). Vitória SC are 9th (42 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sport Lisboa e Benfica
0-15
6/
16-30
4/1
31-45
/
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Vitória SC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
/1
46-60
2/
61-75
3/3
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Sport Lisboa e Benfica Lineups

Vitória SC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.74 Sport Lisboa e Benfica xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.57 Vitória SC xG
I would bet for: Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win 78% + Over 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sport Lisboa e Benfica78% Draw15% Vitória SC7%
Actual: Sport Lisboa e Benfica win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 3.31
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Sport Lisboa e Benfica or Draw
93%
Draw or Vitória SC
22%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica or Vitória SC
85%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sport Lisboa e Benfica60% Draw34% Vitória SC6%
Actual: Sport Lisboa e Benfica win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
13.9%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
10.2%
4 – 0
8.3%
2 – 1
7.6%
3 – 1
6.9%
1 – 1
6.2%
0 – 0
4.9%
4 – 1
4.8%
5 – 0
4.6%
5 – 1
2.7%
6 – 0
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Handicap Sport Lisboa e Benfica covers Push Vitória SC covers
-2.5 39% 61%
-2 39% 22% 39%
-1.5 61% 39%
-1 61% 20% 19%
-0.5 81% 19%
+0.5 95% 5%
+1 95% 4% 1%
+1.5 99% 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Sport Lisboa e Benfica keeps clean sheet
57%
Vitória SC keeps clean sheet
7%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.