Spain vs Poland, 2017
Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Spain Lineups
Poland Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Robert Lewandowski | 1 |
| Alvaro Morata | 1 |
Spain Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.86
Spain xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.27
Poland xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Spain win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.13
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
Spain or Draw
75%
Draw or Poland
49%
Spain or Poland
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Spain win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–1 not predicted4 – 1Actual
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
7.5%
1 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 0
6%
2 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
5.7%
0 – 1
4.8%
3 – 0
4.6%
3 – 2
3.7%
0 – 2
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Spain
| Handicap | Spain covers | Push | Poland covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 15% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 21% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Spain keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Poland keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.