Iceland vs Poland, 2017
Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Iceland Lineups
Poland Lineups
H2H
Head to Head
Iceland Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.78
Iceland xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.51
Poland xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 65% + Over 2.5 goals 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Iceland win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.29
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
Iceland or Draw
71%
Draw or Poland
54%
Iceland or Poland
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Iceland win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.9%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 2
6.4%
1 – 0
5.9%
2 – 0
5.9%
0 – 0
5.3%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 2
3.9%
1 – 3
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Iceland
| Handicap | Iceland covers | Push | Poland covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 13% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 20% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 16% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Iceland keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Poland keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.