Southampton FC vs Leicester City FC, FA Cup 2025-26 ROUND 4

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FA Cup · 2025-26

Southampton FC

2 – 1

Full Time

Leicester City FC

Sat 14 Feb 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Leicester City FC — FA Cup .

Southampton FC 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
Leicester City FC 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Matthew Corlett (England)

3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game ⚽ 3.0 goals/game

Head-to-Head

Southampton FC 18 games · Avg 3.7 goals Leicester City FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-14 Southampton FC 2–1 Leicester City FC 2026-02-10 Leicester City FC 3–4 Southampton FC 2025-11-25 Southampton FC 3–0 Leicester City FC 2025-05-03 Leicester City FC 2–0 Southampton FC 2024-10-19 Southampton FC 2–3 Leicester City FC

Recent Form

Southampton FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Feb	Leicester City FC	H	2–1	W
10 Feb	Leicester City FC	A	4–3	W
07 Feb	Watford FC	H	1–0	W
31 Jan	Stoke City FC	A	2–0	W
25 Jan	Portsmouth FC	A	1–1	D
21 Jan	Sheffield United FC	H	1–0	W

Leicester City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Feb	Southampton FC	A	1–2	L
10 Feb	Southampton FC	H	3–4	L
07 Feb	Birmingham City FC	A	1–2	L
31 Jan	Charlton Athletic FC	H	0–2	L
24 Jan	Oxford United FC	H	1–2	L
20 Jan	Wrexham AFC	A	1–1	D

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

72% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

20% Clean Sheets
Southampton FC this season

50% Clean Sheets
Leicester City FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Southampton FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

1/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

–/1

76+

2/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between Southampton FC and Leicester City FC is underway.
The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

Southampton FC Lineups

Leicester City FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jamie Vardy	8
James Maddison	6
Ayoze Perez	5
Wilfred Ndidi	3
James Ward-Prowse	3
Che Adams	3
Abdul Issahaku	3
Jordan Ayew	2

Head to Head

Southampton FC Form

2026-02-14 Southampton FC 2–1 Leicester City FC W 2026-02-10 Leicester City FC 3–4 Southampton FC W 2026-02-07 Southampton FC 1–0 Watford FC W 2026-01-31 Stoke City FC 0–2 Southampton FC W 2026-01-25 Portsmouth FC 1–1 Southampton FC D 2026-01-21 Southampton FC 1–0 Sheffield United FC W

Leicester City FC Form

2026-02-14 Southampton FC 2–1 Leicester City FC L 2026-02-10 Leicester City FC 3–4 Southampton FC L 2026-02-07 Birmingham City FC 2–1 Leicester City FC L 2026-01-31 Leicester City FC 0–2 Charlton Athletic FC L 2026-01-24 Leicester City FC 1–2 Oxford United FC L 2026-01-20 Wrexham AFC 1–1 Leicester City FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.61 Southampton FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.12 Leicester City FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Southampton FC54% Draw25% Leicester City FC21%

Actual: Southampton FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes54% 0% No46%

Avg goals/match: 2.73

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	76%	24%
± 2.5	51%	49%
± 3.5	29%	71%
± 4.5	15%	85%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw

78%

Draw or Leicester City FC

46%

Southampton FC or Leicester City FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Southampton FC34% Draw46% Leicester City FC20%

Actual: Southampton FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.7%

1 – 0

9.6%

2 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

8.5%

2 – 0

8.3%

0 – 1

6.4%

1 – 2

6.3%

2 – 2

5.1%

3 – 1

4.9%

3 – 0

4.3%

0 – 2

3 – 2

2.8%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap	Southampton FC covers	Push	Leicester City FC covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	15%	75%
-1.5	25%	—	75%
-1	25%	22%	53%
-0.5	47%	—	53%
+0.5	75%	—	25%
+1	75%	15%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet

33% ✓

Leicester City FC keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.