Saturday , 14 November 2026

Southampton FC vs Coventry City FC, FA Cup 2021-22 ROUND 4

FA Cup · 2021-22
Sat 5 Feb 2022 · 15:00 UTC St. Mary's Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Coventry City FC — FA Cup at St. Mary's Stadium.

Head-to-Head

3
2
Southampton FC 5 games · Avg 2.6 goals Coventry City FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Feb Coventry City FC H 2–1 W
22 Jan Manchester City FC H 1–1 D
15 Jan Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 1–3 L
11 Jan Brentford FC H 4–1 W
28 Dec Tottenham Hotspur FC H 1–1 D
26 Dec West Ham United FC A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Feb Southampton FC A 1–2 L
29 Jan Middlesbrough FC A 0–1 L
25 Jan Stoke City FC H 1–0 W
22 Jan Queens Park Rangers FC H 1–2 L
15 Jan Peterborough United FC A 4–1 W
29 Dec Millwall FC H 0–1 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.59 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 Coventry City FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC51% Draw26% Coventry City FC23%
Actual: Southampton FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.69
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Coventry City FC
49%
Southampton FC or Coventry City FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Southampton FC34% Draw47% Coventry City FC19%
Actual: Coventry City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.8%
2 – 0
8.4%
0 – 1
6.5%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.8%
3 – 0
4.4%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Coventry City FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 22% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
Coventry City FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.