Saturday , 14 November 2026

Southampton FC vs Birmingham City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 6 Dec 2025 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Birmingham City FC — Championship .

Match Details

  • Referee David Webb
4 games this season 🟨 2.3/game ⚽ 5.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec Birmingham City FC H 3–1 W
29 Nov Millwall FC A 2–3 L
25 Nov Leicester City FC H 3–0 W
22 Nov Charlton Athletic FC A 5–1 W
08 Nov Sheffield Wednesday FC H 3–1 W
05 Nov Queens Park Rangers FC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec Southampton FC A 1–3 L
01 Dec Watford FC H 2–1 W
26 Nov West Bromwich Albion FC A 1–1 D
22 Nov Norwich City FC H 4–1 W
08 Nov Middlesbrough FC A 1–2 L
04 Nov Millwall FC H 4–0 W

Season Stats

Southampton FC Birmingham City FC
#7 Position #1
24 Points 29
15 Played 15
8 / 4 / 3 W / D / L 8 / 5 / 2
29 Scored 28
15 Conceded 14
+14 GD +14
1.60 PPG 1.93
53% Win % 53%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Southampton FC this season
33% Clean Sheets
Birmingham City FC this season

Southampton FC are 7th (24 pts). Birmingham City FC are 1st (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Southampton FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
2/4
31-45
6/2
46-60
6/2
61-75
3/2
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Birmingham City FC
0-15
2/1
16-30
6/1
31-45
4/7
46-60
4/1
61-75
4/1
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Southampton FC
Cyle Larin 7 G
Kuryu Matsuki 4 G 1 A
Finn Azaz 3 G 5 A
Leo Scienza 2 G 2 A
Birmingham City FC
August Priske 6 G 1 A
Liam Millar 4 G 3 A
Jay Stansfield 4 G 1 A
Demarai Gray 3 G
Phil Neumann 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Southampton FC Lineups

Birmingham City FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.19 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21 Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC59% Draw22% Birmingham City FC19%
Actual: Southampton FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.4
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
41%
Southampton FC or Birmingham City FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC43% Draw40% Birmingham City FC17%
Actual: Southampton FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8%
1 – 0
6.8%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
5.6%
1 – 2
5.2%
0 – 0
4.8%
3 – 2
4.1%
4 – 1
3.8%
0 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Birmingham City FC covers
-2.5 19% — 81%
-2 19% 18% 63%
-1.5 37% — 63%
-1 37% 21% 42%
-0.5 58% — 42%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 12% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 5% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.