Shimizu S-Pulse vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2022 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2022

Shimizu S-Pulse

3 – 3

Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Sun 31 Jul 2022 · 09:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League .

Shimizu S-Pulse 18 games · 24 pts (2026/27)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Shimizu S-Pulse 12 games · Avg 2.6 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2022-07-31 Shimizu S-Pulse 3–3 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-04-17 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Shimizu S-Pulse 2021-09-11 Sagan Tosu FC 2–1 Shimizu S-Pulse 2021-03-14 Shimizu S-Pulse 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2020-10-18 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Shimizu S-Pulse

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
31 Jul	Sagan Tosu FC	H	3–3	D
16 Jul	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	1–2	L
10 Jul	Nagoya Grampus	A	2–0	W
06 Jul	Vissel Kobe	A	1–2	L
02 Jul	Yokohama F.Marinos	H	3–5	L
26 Jun	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	1–1	D

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
31 Jul	Shimizu S-Pulse	A	3–3	D
16 Jul	Yokohama F.Marinos	H	2–2	D
10 Jul	Kashiwa Reysol	H	0–1	L
02 Jul	Vissel Kobe	H	0–2	L
26 Jun	FC Tokyo	H	5–0	W
18 Jun	Júbilo Iwata	A	1–3	L

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

14% Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Shimizu S-Pulse

0-15

–/1

16-30

–/1

31-45

–/–

46-60

2/1

61-75

3/2

76+

–/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Shimizu S-Pulse

Se-hun Oh	2 G
Koya Kitagawa	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Shimizu S-Pulse have kicked off against Sagan Tosu FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
4' Brilliant from the ! Yuto Iwasaki makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 4.
5' What a moment for Yuto Iwasaki! That strike on 5 puts his side firmly in control.
10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
20' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Shimizu S-Pulse and Sagan Tosu FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
25' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
30' Yoichi Naganuma doubles the advantage! 0-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
35' It’s high time Ze Ricardo made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
40' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
45' Both keepers have barely been tested. Shimizu S-Pulse and Sagan Tosu FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
50' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Shimizu S-Pulse and Sagan Tosu FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
55' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
57' Kentaro Moriya makes way for Fuchi Honda at the 57 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sagan Tosu FC.
62' Ryohei Shirasaki doubles the advantage! 1-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
63' Shimizu S-Pulse ring the changes. Yusuke Goto has done his job and it is now time for Takashi Inui to step up.
66' Teruki Hara has so much to prove this time. He replaces Valdo on 66 minute.
71' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
72' Sagan Tosu FC ring the changes. Taisei Miyashiro has done his job and it is now time for Yuki Kakita to step up.
77' It looks like no one’s ball. Shimizu S-Pulse is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
78' Ryo Takeuchi gets the nod from Shimizu S-Pulse. He replaces Ryohei Shirasaki and will look to change the dynamic.
80' The deadlock is broken! Yuki Horigome gets on the scoresheet on 80 minutes.
81' Koya Kitagawa adds to his 0 season tally! Shimizu S-Pulse lead 2-4 — and this changes everything.
83' Brilliant from the ! Thiago Santana makes it 3-4 with a superb finish on 83.
84' A goal from the Brazil international Thiago Santana! He fires home on 84 to make it 4-4!
86' The crowd applauds Akito Fukuta as he leaves the pitch. Naoyuki Fujita steps in for Sagan Tosu FC.
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-3.

Lineups

Shimizu S-Pulse Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

33
Takashi Inui ↑ 63'
6
Ryo Takeuchi ↑ 78'
45
Koya Kitagawa ↑ 63'
4
Teruki Hara ↑ 66'
10
Carlinhos ↑ 63'
25
Kengo Nagai
20
Se-Hun Oh

Coach Ze Ricardo

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 86'
4
Toshio Shimakawa ↑ 72'
8
Fuchi Honda ↑ 57'
19
Yuki Kakita ↑ 72'
44
Yuki Horigome ↑ 57'
23
Taichi Kikuchi
31
Masahiro Okamoto

Coach Kenta Kawai

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Thiago Santana	3
Douglas	3
Riki Harakawa	3
Yuto Iwasaki	2
Fernando Torres	2
Yuji Ono	1
Ryohei Shirasaki	1
Ahn Yongwoo	1

Head to Head

Shimizu S-Pulse Form

2022-07-31 Shimizu S-Pulse 3–3 Sagan Tosu FC D 2022-07-16 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–2 Urawa Red Diamonds L 2022-07-10 Nagoya Grampus 0–2 Shimizu S-Pulse W 2022-07-06 Vissel Kobe 2–1 Shimizu S-Pulse L 2022-07-02 Shimizu S-Pulse 3–5 Yokohama F.Marinos L 2022-06-26 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–1 Shimizu S-Pulse D

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2022-07-31 Shimizu S-Pulse 3–3 Sagan Tosu FC D 2022-07-16 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Yokohama F.Marinos D 2022-07-10 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Kashiwa Reysol L 2022-07-02 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Vissel Kobe L 2022-06-26 Sagan Tosu FC 5–0 FC Tokyo W 2022-06-18 Júbilo Iwata 3–1 Sagan Tosu FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.69 Shimizu S-Pulse xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.64 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Shimizu S-Pulse or Sagan Tosu FC 75% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Shimizu S-Pulse40% Draw25% Sagan Tosu FC35%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes66% 0% No34%

Avg goals/match: 3.33

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	84%	16%
± 2.5	64%	36%
± 3.5	42%	58%
± 4.5	25%	75%

Double Chance

Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw

66%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

60%

Shimizu S-Pulse or Sagan Tosu FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Shimizu S-Pulse30% Draw42% Sagan Tosu FC28%

Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted

3 – 3

Actual

1 – 1

10.8%

2 – 1

8.1%

1 – 2

7.8%

2 – 2

6.6%

1 – 0

5.3%

0 – 1

5.1%

2 – 0

5.1%

0 – 0

5.1%

0 – 2

4.8%

3 – 1

4.5%

1 – 3

4.3%

3 – 2

3.8%

Asian Handicap — Shimizu S-Pulse

Handicap	Shimizu S-Pulse covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	12%	80%
-1.5	20%	—	80%
-1	20%	18%	61%
-0.5	39%	—	61%
+0.5	64%	—	36%
+1	64%	18%	19%
+1.5	81%	—	19%
+2	81%	11%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.