Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0 – 1

Full Time

Kyoto Sanga FC

Sun 3 Nov 2024 · 04:00 UTC Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 52' Sota Kawasaki

Tolgay Arslan 72' Y

Y 89' Papagaio

Marcos Junior 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga FC — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Kyoto Sanga FC 18 games · 23 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 10 games · Avg 2.7 goals Kyoto Sanga FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-11-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–1 Kyoto Sanga FC 2024-05-19 Kyoto Sanga FC 0–5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2023-09-23 Kyoto Sanga FC 1–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2023-06-04 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Kyoto Sanga FC 2022-07-17 Kyoto Sanga FC 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Recent Form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Nov	Kyoto Sanga FC	H	0–1	L
19 Oct	Shonan Bellmare	A	1–2	L
06 Oct	Jubilo Iwata	A	2–1	W
28 Sep	FC Machida Zelvia	H	2–0	W
22 Sep	Yokohama F.Marinos	H	6–2	W
14 Sep	Kashima Antlers	A	2–2	D

Kyoto Sanga FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Nov	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	1–0	W
19 Oct	Sagan Tosu FC	H	2–0	W
06 Oct	Vissel Kobe	H	2–3	L
28 Sep	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	0–2	L
22 Sep	Gamba Osaka	H	2–2	D
13 Sep	Yokohama F.Marinos	A	2–1	W

Season Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Kyoto Sanga FC
#4	Position	#8
30	Points	23
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	8 / 0 / 10
41	Scored	32
33	Conceded	39
+8	GD	-7
1.67	PPG	1.28
56%	Win %	44%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

0% Clean Sheets
Kyoto Sanga FC this season

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Kyoto Sanga FC are 8th (23 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

1/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

2/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Kyoto Sanga FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

–/1

46-60

2/–

61-75

–/1

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. Sanfrecce Hiroshima are looking to make home advantage count against Kyoto Sanga FC.
5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
10' Taishi Matsumoto has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
12' Fresh legs for Kyoto Sanga FC! Shimpei Fukuoka comes on to replace Daiki Kaneko.
17' Yuta Miyamoto is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Kyoto Sanga FC so far.
22' Yuta Toyokawa, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
27' Goncalo Paciencia has been relatively quiet despite scoring 32 goals in his last 515 appearances.
32' Kyoto Sanga FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
37' The travelling Kyoto Sanga FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
42' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
47' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
52' It’s a booking for Kyoto Sanga FC player. Sota Kawasaki gets a card.
57' It is a cagey affair so far. Sanfrecce Hiroshima in their trying to find a way past Kyoto Sanga FC's compact .
62' Goal! Taiki Hirato scores his 2 goal in 447 matches.
63' It is a substitution in Sanfrecce Hiroshima team. Shunki Higashi is replaced by Tsukasa Shiotani on 63 minute.
64' Another substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima to replace Hayao Kawabe by Makoto Mitsuta on 64 minute.
69' Hayao Kawabe is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sanfrecce Hiroshima tonight.
72' A moment of madness from Tolgay Arslan on 72 minutes earns him a card. Sanfrecce Hiroshima will be frustrated.
77' Sanfrecce Hiroshima make a change. Mutsuki Kato trudges off to be replaced by Marcos Junior on 77 minutes.
78' Takuji Yonemoto has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kyo Sato on 78 minute.
79' The whistle greets Taiki Hirato as he departs to be replaced by Yuta Miyamoto.
84' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
86' The crowd applauds Marco Tulio as he leaves the pitch. Yuta Toyokawa steps in for Kyoto Sanga FC.
89' Kyoto Sanga FC player sees a card in front of him.
90' Marcos Junior has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-1 Kyoto Sanga FC.

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

99
Goncalo Paciencia ↓ Pieros Sotiriou 64'
19
Sho Sasaki
1
Keisuke Osako
14
Taishi Matsumoto ↓ Douglas Vieira 77'
66
Hayao Kawabe ↓ Makoto Mitsuta 64'
24
Shunki Higashi ↓ Tsukasa Shiotani 63'
4
Hayato Araki
13
Naoto Arai
30
Tolgay Arslan
15
Shuto Nakano
51
Mutsuki Kato ↓ Marcos Junior 77'

Bench

10
Marcos Junior ↑ 77'
22
Goro Kawanami
20
Pieros Sotiriou ↑ 64'
33
Tsukasa Shiotani ↑ 63'
9
Douglas Vieira ↑ 77'
11
Makoto Mitsuta ↑ 64'
35
Yotaro Nakajima

Coach Michael Skibbe

Kyoto Sanga FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

37
Takuji Yonemoto ↑ 78'
23
Yuta Toyokawa ↑ 86'
88
Kentaro Kakoi
96
Lucas Oliveira
24
Yuta Miyamoto ↑ 79'
10
Shimpei Fukuoka ↑ 12'
31
Sora Hiraga

Coach Kwi-Jea Cho

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Naoto Arai	3
Papagaio	2
Takumu Kawamura	2
Yusuke Chajima	2
Yuta Toyokawa	2
Taishi Matsumoto	2
Junior Santos	1
Akito Suzuki	1

Head to Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2024-11-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–1 Kyoto Sanga FC L 2024-10-19 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2024-10-06 Jubilo Iwata 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2024-09-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 FC Machida Zelvia W 2024-09-22 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 6–2 Yokohama F.Marinos W 2024-09-14 Kashima Antlers 2–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D

Kyoto Sanga FC Form

2024-11-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–1 Kyoto Sanga FC W 2024-10-19 Kyoto Sanga FC 2–0 Sagan Tosu FC W 2024-10-06 Kyoto Sanga FC 2–3 Vissel Kobe L 2024-09-28 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 2–0 Kyoto Sanga FC L 2024-09-22 Kyoto Sanga FC 2–2 Gamba Osaka D 2024-09-13 Yokohama F.Marinos 1–2 Kyoto Sanga FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

0 / 4

2.13 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.18 Kyoto Sanga FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Sanfrecce Hiroshima53% Draw24% Kyoto Sanga FC23%

Actual: Kyoto Sanga FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes61% 0% No39%

Avg goals/match: 3.31

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	84%	16%
± 2.5	63%	37%
± 3.5	42%	58%
± 4.5	24%	76%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw

77%

Draw or Kyoto Sanga FC

47%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Kyoto Sanga FC

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Sanfrecce Hiroshima42% Draw40% Kyoto Sanga FC18%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10%

2 – 1

9.4%

2 – 0

8.3%

1 – 0

7.2%

3 – 1

6.7%

3 – 0

5.7%

2 – 2

5.5%

1 – 2

5.2%

0 – 0

5.1%

3 – 2

0 – 1

Actual

4 – 1

3.6%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers	Push	Kyoto Sanga FC covers
-2.5	19%	—	81%
-2	19%	18%	64%
-1.5	36%	—	64%
-1	36%	22%	42%
-0.5	58%	—	42%
+0.5	80%	—	20%
+1	80%	12%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

31% ✓

Kyoto Sanga FC keeps clean sheet

13% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.