Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Tokushima Vortis, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2021
Sat 1 May 2021 · 07:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Tokushima Vortis — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Koji Murakami
  • Referee Yusuke Hamamoto
  • Referee Koichiro Fukushima
  • Referee Naoya Okawa
  • Referee Hironori Tajima
  • Referee Koei Koya

Head-to-Head

1
1
Sagan Tosu FC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Tokushima Vortis

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 May Tokushima Vortis H 2–0 W
24 Apr FC Tōkyō A 2–1 W
18 Apr Nagoya Grampus A 2–1 W
14 Apr Gamba Osaka H 0–1 L
11 Apr Yokohama FC H 3–0 W
07 Apr Kawasaki Frontale A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 May Sagan Tosu FC A 0–2 L
24 Apr Kashiwa Reysol A 1–5 L
17 Apr Kashima Antlers H 0–1 L
14 Apr Cerezo Osaka FC A 2–1 W
11 Apr Urawa Red Diamonds A 0–1 L
07 Apr Vegalta Sendai H 1–0 W

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.71 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.69 Tokushima Vortis xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC to win 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC60% Draw25% Tokushima Vortis15%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.4
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
85%
Draw or Tokushima Vortis
40%
Sagan Tosu FC or Tokushima Vortis
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC41% Draw47% Tokushima Vortis12%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.8%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
11.4%
0 – 0
11.1%
2 – 1
8.9%
3 – 0
7.2%
0 – 1
5.3%
3 – 1
5.1%
1 – 2
3.5%
4 – 0
3.1%
2 – 2
3.1%
4 – 1
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Tokushima Vortis covers
-2.5 16% — 84%
-2 16% 19% 65%
-1.5 35% — 65%
-1 35% 26% 40%
-0.5 60% — 40%
+0.5 87% — 13%
+1 87% 10% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
51% ✓
Tokushima Vortis keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.