Saturday , 14 November 2026

Matsumoto Yamaga FC vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2019 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2019
Sat 20 Apr 2019 · 05:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'
Ibuki Fujita 76' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Matsumoto Yamaga FC vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League .

Match Details

  • Referee Hirokazu Otsubo
  • Referee Hisashi Nakai
  • Referee Yuki Tsukakoshi
  • Referee Takayuki Sato

Head-to-Head

1
1
Matsumoto Yamaga FC 2 games · Avg 1.0 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Apr Sagan Tosu FC H 1–0 W
14 Apr Shonan Bellmare A 1–1 D
06 Apr Vissel Kobe H 2–1 W
31 Mar Kawasaki Frontale H 0–2 L
17 Mar Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–1 L
09 Mar Urawa Red Diamonds H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Apr Matsumoto Yamaga FC A 0–1 L
14 Apr Kawasaki Frontale H 0–1 L
06 Apr Vegalta Sendai A 0–3 L
29 Mar Yokohama F.Marinos A 0–0 D
17 Mar Júbilo Iwata H 1–0 W
10 Mar FC Tokyo A 0–2 L

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Matsumoto Yamaga FC and Sagan Tosu FC get this one started.
  • 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 10' Matsumoto Yamaga FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Daizen Maeda on 10.
  • 15' Matsumoto Yamaga FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
  • 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Mu Kanazaki, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 25' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 30' The travelling Sagan Tosu FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 35' Keiya Nakami has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 40' Ahn Yongwoo is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Matsumoto Yamaga FC so far.
  • 45' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 50' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Matsumoto Yamaga FC and Sagan Tosu FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 55' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 58' Riki Harakawa has so much to prove this time. He replaces Daiki Matsuoka on 58 minute.
  • 63' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 68' It’s high time Yasuharu Sorimachi made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 69' Matsumoto Yamaga FC make a change. Leandro Pereira trudges off to be replaced by Ryo Nagai on 69 minutes.
  • 74' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Matsumoto Yamaga FC that had 34 games and scored 22 goals.
  • 75' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Nino Galovic departs to be replaced by Ahn Yongwoo.
  • 76' Ibuki Fujita is having his name booked by the referee on 76.
  • 76' Ibuki Fujita gets the nod from Matsumoto Yamaga FC. He replaces Masaki Miyasaka and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 81' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sagan Tosu FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 84' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Mu Kanazaki is replaced by Yohei Toyoda.
  • 89' Matsumoto Yamaga FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Sagan Tosu FC.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.22 Matsumoto Yamaga FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.67 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 71% + Under — clean sheet likely 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Matsumoto Yamaga FC50% Draw30% Sagan Tosu FC20%
Actual: Matsumoto Yamaga FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes36% 0% No64%
Avg goals/match: 1.89
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 56%
44%
± 2.5 29%
71%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Matsumoto Yamaga FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
50%
Matsumoto Yamaga FC or Sagan Tosu FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Matsumoto Yamaga FC31% Draw55% Sagan Tosu FC14%
Actual: Matsumoto Yamaga FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.5%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.2%
2 – 0
10.8%
0 – 1
8.7%
2 – 1
7.4%
3 – 0
4.3%
1 – 2
4%
0 – 2
3.1%
3 – 1
3.1%
2 – 2
2.6%
4 – 0
1.3%

Asian Handicap — Matsumoto Yamaga FC

Handicap Matsumoto Yamaga FC covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 26% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 13% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Matsumoto Yamaga FC keeps clean sheet
52% ✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.