Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Gamba Osaka, 2018

J. League · 2018
Sun 26 Aug 2018 · 10:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Gamba Osaka — J. League .

Match Details

  • Referee Minoru Tojo
  • Referee Toshiyuki Wazumi
  • Referee Akihito Kawasaki
  • Referee Yusuke Murata

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Aug Gamba Osaka H 3–0 W
19 Aug Nagoya Grampus A 0–3 L
15 Aug Kawasaki Frontale A 0–0 D
11 Aug Urawa Red Diamonds H 1–0 W
05 Aug Cerezo Osaka FC H 1–0 W
01 Aug Shimizu S-Pulse A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Aug Sagan Tosu FC A 0–3 L
19 Aug Vegalta Sendai A 1–2 L
15 Aug Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 1–1 D
10 Aug FC Tōkyō H 2–1 W
05 Aug Nagoya Grampus A 2–3 L
01 Aug Júbilo Iwata A 1–1 D

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gamba Osaka
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gamba Osaka
Issam Jebali 2 G 1 A
Deniz Hummet 2 G
Shinnosuke Nakatani 1 G
Asahi Uenaka 1 G
Welton 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Sagan Tosu FC to score. At the same time, Gamba Osaka does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Sagan Tosu FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Gamba Osaka backline.
  • 10' The travelling Gamba Osaka supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 15' The 28-year-old Takahiro Ko has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 20' Yasuhito Endo has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 25' It looks surprising Sagan Tosu FC does not make any changes. Yuji Takahashi has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 30' Genta Miura has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 5 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 35' Sagan Tosu FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 40' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 45' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 50' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 55' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Shunya Suganuma suffering a number of foals already.
  • 60' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kazunari Ichimi, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 65' Gamba Osaka are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 70' Gamba Osaka are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 75' Gamba Osaka seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 80' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 85' Sagan Tosu FC is showing some good football. However, Sagan Tosu FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 90' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Fernando Torres made 279 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • Another three points for Sagan Tosu FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.48 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01 Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC48% Draw28% Gamba Osaka24%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.49
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
52%
Sagan Tosu FC or Gamba Osaka
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC33% Draw48% Gamba Osaka19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
1 – 0
11.2%
0 – 0
10.3%
2 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
8.8%
0 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
6%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.4%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Gamba Osaka covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 23% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 15% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
37% ✗
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.