Saturday , 14 November 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Gamba Osaka, 2018

J. League · 2018
Sun 26 Aug 2018 · 10:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Gamba Osaka — J. League .

Match Details

  • Referee Minoru Tojo
  • Referee Toshiyuki Wazumi
  • Referee Akihito Kawasaki
  • Referee Yusuke Murata

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Aug Gamba Osaka H 3–0 W
19 Aug Nagoya Grampus A 0–3 L
15 Aug Kawasaki Frontale A 0–0 D
11 Aug Urawa Red Diamonds H 1–0 W
05 Aug Cerezo Osaka FC H 1–0 W
01 Aug Shimizu S-Pulse A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Aug Sagan Tosu FC A 0–3 L
19 Aug Vegalta Sendai A 1–2 L
15 Aug Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 1–1 D
10 Aug FC Tokyo H 2–1 W
05 Aug Nagoya Grampus A 2–3 L
01 Aug Júbilo Iwata A 1–1 D

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gamba Osaka
0-15
1/4
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/4
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
6/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Sagan Tosu FC and Gamba Osaka get this one started.
  • 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 10' It’s high time Massimo Ficcadenti made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 15' Sagan Tosu FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Gamba Osaka's shape.
  • 20' Joan Oumari has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 25' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Tsuneyasu Miyamoto will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 30' Hiromu Mitsumaru has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 35' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sagan Tosu FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 40' Gamba Osaka started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 40.
  • 45' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sagan Tosu FC that had 279 games and scored 293 goals.
  • 50' Sagan Tosu FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 55' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 60' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 65' Gamba Osaka come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 70' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 75' Yasuhito Endo needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 80' Sagan Tosu FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 85' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sagan Tosu FC and Gamba Osaka are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 90' Shu Kurata has been relatively quiet despite scoring 27 goals in his last 416 appearances.
  • 3-0 the final result. Gamba Osaka will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.48 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01 Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC48% Draw28% Gamba Osaka24%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.49
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
52%
Sagan Tosu FC or Gamba Osaka
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC33% Draw48% Gamba Osaka19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
1 – 0
11.2%
0 – 0
10.3%
2 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
8.8%
0 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
6%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.4%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Gamba Osaka covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 23% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 15% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
37% ✗
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.