Thursday , 2 July 2026

Gamba Osaka vs Sagan Tosu FC, 2018

J. League · 2018
Sun 29 Apr 2018 · 07:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Gamba Osaka vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League .

Match Details

  • Referee Hajime Matsuo
  • Referee Naoya Okawa
  • Referee Kentaro Matsui
  • Referee Makoto Hibino

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Apr Sagan Tosu FC H 3–0 W
29 Apr Kashiwa Reysol A 3–2 W
25 Apr Shonan Bellmare A 0–1 L
22 Apr Sagan Tosu FC H 3–0 W
21 Apr Cerezo Osaka FC H 1–0 W
16 Apr Nagoya Grampus A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Apr Gamba Osaka A 0–3 L
25 Apr Kawasaki Frontale H 0–2 L
22 Apr Gamba Osaka A 0–3 L
21 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–1 L
15 Apr Jubilo Iwata A 0–1 L
14 Apr Kingstonian FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gamba Osaka
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at . Gamba Osaka are looking to make home advantage count against Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 5' Korea Republic international Oh Jaeseok has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sagan Tosu FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 15' It looks surprising Gamba Osaka does not make any changes. Yasuhito Endo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 20' It looks like no one’s ball. Gamba Osaka is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 25' Sagan Tosu FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 30' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 35' Sagan Tosu FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 40' Gamba Osaka seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 45' Sagan Tosu FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 50' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 55' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 60' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Gamba Osaka that had 403 games and scored 377 goals.
  • 65' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 70' The 27-year-old Kyosuke Tagawa has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 75' Gamba Osaka are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Sagan Tosu FC's shape.
  • 80' Gamba Osaka are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sagan Tosu FC backline.
  • 85' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 90' Yuji Ono, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Gamba Osaka take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.86 Gamba Osaka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.53 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Gamba Osaka to win 68% + Under — clean sheet likely 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Gamba Osaka68% Draw22% Sagan Tosu FC10%
Actual: Gamba Osaka win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes35% 0% No65%
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Gamba Osaka or Draw
90%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
32%
Gamba Osaka or Sagan Tosu FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Gamba Osaka47% Draw46% Sagan Tosu FC7%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
16.5%
2 – 0
15.5%
0 – 0
11%
1 – 1
9.5%
3 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.1%
3 – 1
5.2%
4 – 0
4.4%
0 – 1
4%
4 – 1
2.5%
1 – 2
2.2%
2 – 2
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Gamba Osaka

Handicap Gamba Osaka covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 21% 79%
-2 21% 21% 58%
-1.5 42% 58%
-1 42% 26% 32%
-0.5 68% 32%
+0.5 91% 9%
+1 91% 7% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
59%
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.