Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2020 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2020

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

1 – 2

Full Time

Cerezo Osaka FC

Sat 18 Jul 2020 · 10:00 UTC EDION Stadium HT 45+4' · FT 45+6'

Tomoya Fujii 48' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at EDION Stadium.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Yudai Yamamoto
Referee Jun Mihara
Referee Akihiko Ikeuchi
Referee Toshiyuki Tanaka

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 20 games · Avg 2.0 goals Cerezo Osaka FC

Last 5 meetings

2020-07-18 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Cerezo Osaka FC 2019-07-06 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Cerezo Osaka FC 2019-03-09 Cerezo Osaka FC 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2018-08-25 Cerezo Osaka FC 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2018-05-20 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–2 Cerezo Osaka FC

Recent Form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Jul	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	1–2	L
12 Jul	Sagan Tosu FC	A	0–0	D
08 Jul	Oita FC Trinita	H	1–2	L
04 Jul	Vissel Kobe	A	3–0	W
23 Feb	Kashima Antlers	H	3–0	W
07 Dec	Vegalta Sendai	H	1–0	W

Cerezo Osaka FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Jul	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	2–1	W
12 Jul	Nagoya Grampus	H	0–2	L
08 Jul	Shimizu S-Pulse	H	2–0	W
04 Jul	Gamba Osaka	A	2–1	W
22 Feb	Oita FC Trinita	H	1–0	W
07 Dec	Oita FC Trinita	A	2–0	W

Season Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Cerezo Osaka FC
#4	Position	#2
30	Points	31
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	11 / 0 / 7
41	Scored	48
33	Conceded	38
+8	GD	+10
1.67	PPG	1.72
56%	Win %	61%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

22% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

28% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

3/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

3/1

46-60

5/–

61-75

3/4

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Cerezo Osaka FC

0-15

3/1

16-30

4/1

31-45

3/1

46-60

2/2

61-75

2/3

76+

6/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Sanfrecce Hiroshima is hosting Cerezo Osaka FC for another epic battle.
5' Cerezo Osaka FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
10' Tsukasa Morishima is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sanfrecce Hiroshima tonight.
15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
20' Sho Sasaki doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
25' Sanfrecce Hiroshima looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Kosuke Kinoshita scoring 1 goals.
30' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Sanfrecce Hiroshima winning 100% of all matches.
35' A quiet spell here at EDION Stadium. Sanfrecce Hiroshima seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
40' Ryo Nagai has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
45' Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won 427 goals from 335 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
46' Sanfrecce Hiroshima make a change. Ryo Nagai trudges off to be replaced by Douglas Vieira on 46 minutes.
48' A moment of madness from Tomoya Fujii on 48 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Sanfrecce Hiroshima will be frustrated.
50' Goal! Naoyuki Fujita scores his 7 goal in 444 matches.
53' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Douglas Vieira makes it 2-1.
55' Yusuke Chajima gets the nod from Sanfrecce Hiroshima. He replaces Hayao Kawabe and will look to change the dynamic.
60' It looks surprising Cerezo Osaka FC does not make any changes. Hiroshi Kiyotake has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
65' Hayao Kawabe has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
70' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sanfrecce Hiroshima must find a spark to ignite this game.
75' Fresh legs for Sanfrecce Hiroshima! Gakuto Notsuda comes on to replace Tsukasa Morishima.
80' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Yuta Toyokawa made 199 appearances and scored 37 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
82' Yuta Toyokawa is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ken Tokura at the 82 minute mark.
85' Another change for Sanfrecce Hiroshima made on 85 minute. Toshihiro Aoyama leaves to be changed by Shunki Higashi.
87' It is a substitution in Sanfrecce Hiroshima team. Toshihiro Aoyama is replaced by Shunki Higashi on 87 minute.
90' Cerezo Osaka FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Koji Suzuki is hanging Hiroaki Okuno on the field on 90 minute.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Cerezo Osaka FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

44
Rhayner
39
Leandro Pereira
19
Sho Sasaki C
6
Toshihiro Aoyama ↓ Shunki Higashi 87'
1
Takuto Hayashi
2
Yuki Nogami
10
Tsukasa Morishima ↓ Gakuto Notsuda 75'
8
Hayao Kawabe ↓ Yusuke Chajima 55'
23
Hayato Araki
16
Kohei Shimizu ↓ Tomoya Fujii 46'
20
Ryo Nagai ↓ Douglas Vieira 46'

Bench

7
Gakuto Notsuda ↑ 75'
38
Keisuke Osako
24
Shunki Higashi ↑ 87'
3
Akira Ibayashi
9
Douglas Vieira ↑ 46'
50
Tomoya Fujii ↑ 46'
25
Yusuke Chajima ↑ 55'

Coach Hiroshi Jofuku

Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups

Starting XI

6
Leandro Desabato
25
Hiroaki Okuno ↓ Koji Suzuki 90'
21
Kim Jinhyeon
9
Ken Tokura ↓ Yuta Toyokawa 82'
5
Naoyuki Fujita ↓ Yasuki Kimoto 90'
2
Riku Matsuda
22
Matej Jonjic
14
Yusuke Maruhashi
10
Hiroshi Kiyotake C ↓ Eiichi Katayama 82'
15
Ayumu Seko
17
Tatsuhiro Sakamoto

Bench

11
Lucas Mineiro
8
Yoichiro Kakitani
3
Yasuki Kimoto ↑ 90'
16
Eiichi Katayama ↑ 82'
32
Yuta Toyokawa ↑ 82'
45
Shu Mogi
18
Koji Suzuki ↑ 90'

Coach Lotina

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Douglas Vieira	3
Kosuke Kinoshita	2
Toshiyuki Takagi	2
Toshiyuki Takagi	2
Hayato Araki	2
Tolgay Arslan	2
Lucas Fernandes	2
Naoyuki Fujita	1

Head to Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2020-07-18 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Cerezo Osaka FC L 2020-07-12 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2020-07-08 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Oita FC Trinita L 2020-07-04 Vissel Kobe 0–3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2020-02-23 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Kashima Antlers W 2019-12-07 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Vegalta Sendai W

Cerezo Osaka FC Form

2020-07-18 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2020-07-12 Cerezo Osaka FC 0–2 Nagoya Grampus L 2020-07-08 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–0 Shimizu S-Pulse W 2020-07-04 Gamba Osaka 1–2 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2020-02-22 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–0 Oita FC Trinita W 2019-12-07 Oita FC Trinita 0–2 Cerezo Osaka FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.78 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.8 Cerezo Osaka FC xG

I would bet for: Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Cerezo Osaka FC 74% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima37% Draw26% Cerezo Osaka FC37%

Actual: Cerezo Osaka FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes69% 0% No31%

Avg goals/match: 3.58

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	68%	32%
± 3.5	47%	53%
± 4.5	29%	71%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw

62%

Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC

63%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Cerezo Osaka FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Sanfrecce Hiroshima30% Draw40% Cerezo Osaka FC30%

Actual: Cerezo Osaka FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.8%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 1

7.7%

2 – 2

6.8%

1 – 3

4.6%

0 – 2

4.6%

3 – 1

4.5%

2 – 0

4.5%

0 – 1

4.4%

1 – 0

4.4%

0 – 0

4.1%

2 – 3

4.1%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers	Push	Cerezo Osaka FC covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	11%	80%
-1.5	20%	—	80%
-1	20%	18%	62%
-0.5	38%	—	62%
+0.5	62%	—	38%
+1	62%	18%	21%
+1.5	79%	—	21%
+2	79%	12%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.