SV 07 Elversberg vs Holstein Kiel, 2. Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SV 07 Elversberg vs Holstein Kiel — 2. Bundesliga at Ursapharm-Arena.
- SV 07 Elversberg 34 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
- Holstein Kiel 11 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Tom Bauer
6 games this season
🟨 5.3/game
⚽ 21.7 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 11 | 24 |
| 3 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 11 | 21 |
| 4 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 11 | 20 |
| 5 | VfL Wolfsburg | 11 | 19 |
| 6 | Arminia Bielefeld | 11 | 17 |
| 7 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 11 | 16 |
| 8 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 11 | 14 |
| 9 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 11 | 12 |
| 10 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | 11 | 12 |
| 11 | Hannover 96 | 11 | 12 |
| 12 | FC Energie Cottbus | 11 | 11 |
| 13 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 11 | 11 |
| 14 | VfL Osnabrück | 11 | 11 |
| 15 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 11 | 11 |
| 16 | Karlsruher SC | 11 | 11 |
| 17 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 11 | 9 |
| 18 | Holstein Kiel | 11 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar | Holstein Kiel | H | 0–2 | L |
| 10 Mar | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | A | 4–1 | W |
| 03 Mar | SV Wehen Wiesbaden | H | 0–3 | L |
| 25 Feb | Hamburger SV | A | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Feb | VfL Osnabrück | H | 3–1 | W |
| 10 Feb | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar | SV 07 Elversberg | A | 2–0 | W |
| 09 Mar | Karlsruher SC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Mar | Hertha BSC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 23 Feb | FC St. Pauli 1910 | H | 3–4 | L |
| 17 Feb | SC Paderborn 07 | A | 4–0 | W |
| 11 Feb | FC Schalke 04 | H | 1–0 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season
Holstein Kiel this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Holstein Kiel
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
1/1
76+
3/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Holstein Kiel
| Phil Harres | 5 G | 3 A |
| Jonas Therkelsen | 2 G | 1 A |
| Guillermo Balzi | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against SV 07 Elversberg and Holstein Kiel has kicked off!
- 5' It looks surprising SV 07 Elversberg does not make any changes. Lasse Rosenboom has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SV 07 Elversberg that had 275 games and scored 181 goals.
- 15' The travelling Holstein Kiel supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 20' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 25' SV 07 Elversberg seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 30' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 31' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Tom Rothe.
- 36' Manuel Feil has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 10 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 39' GOAL! Shuto Machino fires home to make it 0-1!
- 44' The home supporters are growing impatient. SV 07 Elversberg must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 46' A meaty challenge results in booking for Luca Durholtz on 46.
- 49' Magnificent from Philipp Sander! That is 5 goals in 289 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 54' SV 07 Elversberg are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Holstein Kiel backline.
- 59' SV 07 Elversberg have won 181 goals from 275 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 60' Another change for SV 07 Elversberg made on 60 minute. Luca Durholtz leaves to be changed by Jannik Rochelt.
- 65' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Horst Steffen will be considering his options from the bench.
- 68' Benedikt Pichler is ready to make an impact after coming on for Shuto Machino at the 68 minute mark.
- 69' Robin Fellhauer makes way for Kevin Conrad at the 69 minute mark. A tactical switch from SV 07 Elversberg.
- 74' Paul Wanner has been relatively quiet despite scoring 11 goals in his last 554 appearances.
- 78' Another substitution for SV 07 Elversberg to replace Paul Wanner by Joseph Boyamba on 78 minute.
- 80' Marvin Schulz gets the nod from Holstein Kiel. He replaces Philipp Sander and will look to change the dynamic.
- 81' Holstein Kiel manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Joshua Mees is hanging Finn Porath on the field on 81 minute.
- 86' Finn Porath is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Holstein Kiel so far.
- 88' A tactical swap from Holstein Kiel — Mikkel Kirkeskov on, Tom Rothe off on 88 minutes.
- Another three points for Holstein Kiel.
Lineups
SV 07 Elversberg Lineups
Starting XI
- 31
- 24
-
11
Luca Durholtz ↓ Jannik Rochelt 60'
- 7
- 18
-
14
Robin Fellhauer ↓ Kevin Conrad 69'
- 19
-
17
Paul Wanner ↓ Joseph Boyamba 78'
- 20
- 21
- 3
Bench
- 28
-
9
Dominik Martinovic ↑ 69'
-
22
Joseph Boyamba ↑ 78'
- 30
- 1
-
4
Kevin Conrad ↑ 69'
- 25
-
10
Jannik Rochelt ↑ 60'
Coach
Horst Steffen
Holstein Kiel Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 4
- 13
-
16
Philipp Sander ↓ Marvin Schulz 80'
- 1
-
8
Finn Porath ↓ Joshua Mees 81'
- 17
- 22
-
18
Tom Rothe ↓ Mikkel Kirkeskov 88'
- 34
- 11
Bench
- 7
-
27
Joshua Mees ↑ 81'
- 31
-
15
Marvin Schulz ↑ 80'
-
2
Mikkel Kirkeskov ↑ 88'
-
9
Benedikt Pichler ↑ 68'
- 5
-
23
Lasse Rosenboom ↑ 80'
- 6
Coach
Marcel Rapp
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luca Schnellbacher | 1 |
| Timo Becker | 1 |
| Shuto Machino | 1 |
| Philipp Sander | 1 |
Head to Head
SV 07 Elversberg Form
2024-03-16
SV 07 Elversberg
0–2
Holstein Kiel
L
2024-03-10
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903
1–4
SV 07 Elversberg
W
2024-03-03
SV 07 Elversberg
0–3
SV Wehen Wiesbaden
L
2024-02-25
Hamburger SV
1–0
SV 07 Elversberg
L
2024-02-18
SV 07 Elversberg
3–1
VfL Osnabrück
W
2024-02-10
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
1–1
SV 07 Elversberg
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.97
SV 07 Elversberg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.56
Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Holstein Kiel win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.53
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
SV 07 Elversberg or Draw
54%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
75%
SV 07 Elversberg or Holstein Kiel
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Holstein Kiel win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 1
11.5%
0 – 0
10.1%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
9.1%
1 – 0
6.7%
2 – 1
5.6%
0 – 3
4.8%
1 – 3
4.8%
2 – 2
4.4%
2 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
2.4%
Asian Handicap — SV 07 Elversberg
| Handicap | SV 07 Elversberg covers | Push | Holstein Kiel covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 14% | 78% |
| -0.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| +0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +1 | 50% | 23% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +2 | 74% | 15% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
SV 07 Elversberg keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
39%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.