Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SSV Ulm 1846 vs Hamburger SV, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 14 Dec 2024 · 12:00 UTC Donaustadion 17,400 HT 45' · FT 45'
Aaron Keller 34' 1–0
1–1 49' Davie Selke

Overview

Match Preview

SSV Ulm 1846 vs Hamburger SV — 2. Bundesliga at Donaustadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Patrick Alt
  • Assistant 1 Martin Speckner
  • Assistant 2 Dominik Jolk

Head-to-Head

1
1
SSV Ulm 1846 2 games · Avg 4.5 goals Hamburger SV

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Dec Hamburger SV H 1–1 D
07 Dec Hannover 96 A 2–3 L
01 Dec SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 H 1–1 D
23 Nov Hertha BSC A 2–2 D
09 Nov 1. FC Magdeburg A 0–0 D
01 Nov FC Schalke 04 H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Dec SSV Ulm 1846 A 1–1 D
08 Dec SV Darmstadt 98 H 2–2 D
01 Dec Karlsruher SC A 3–1 W
23 Nov FC Schalke 04 H 2–2 D
08 Nov Eintracht Braunschweig A 1–3 L
03 Nov 1. FC Nürnberg H 1–1 D

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. SSV Ulm 1846 host Hamburger SV — let the battle begin!
  • 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Merlin Polzin might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 9' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Bakery Jatta.
  • 14' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Immanuel Pherai suffering a number of foals already.
  • 19' SSV Ulm 1846 currently sit 17 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 21' The referee calls foul for Dennis Chessa. He receives a card.
  • 26' Hamburger SV seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 31' Max Brandt is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Hamburger SV tonight.
  • 34' What composure from Aaron Keller! The Switzerland international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 39' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 41' Poor challenge from Semir Telalovic. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 42' That looks like a foul for a card for Daniel Elfadli.
  • 45' Controversy at the stadium! Marco Richter argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 46' Immanuel Pherai gets the nod from Hamburger SV. He replaces Marco Richter and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 49' GOAL! Davie Selke scores on 49. Assisted by Miro Muheim
  • 54' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both SSV Ulm 1846 and Hamburger SV are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 59' Hamburger SV fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 64' SSV Ulm 1846 are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against Hamburger SV's 4-1-4-1 shape.
  • 65' It is a substitution in Hamburger SV team. Dennis Hadzikadunic is replaced by Lucas Perrin on 65 minute.
  • 68' Daniel Elfadli picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 72' Adam Karabec makes way for Lukasz Poreba at the 72 minute mark. A tactical switch from Hamburger SV.
  • 77' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-1-4-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 80' The SSV Ulm 1846 bench stirs into life. Dennis Chessa is withdrawn and Aleksandar Kahvic gets his opportunity.
  • 85' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Hamburger SV that had 273 games and scored 208 goals.
  • 86' Ransford Konigsdorffer has so much to prove this time. He replaces Davie Selke on 86 minute.
  • 89' The crowd applauds Aaron Keller as he leaves the pitch. Niklas Castelle steps in for SSV Ulm 1846.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Ransford Konigsdorffer on 90 minutes.
  • will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.21 SSV Ulm 1846 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 Hamburger SV xG
I would bet for: SSV Ulm 1846 or Hamburger SV 70% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SSV Ulm 184639% Draw30% Hamburger SV31%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.33
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

SSV Ulm 1846 or Draw
69%
Draw or Hamburger SV
61%
SSV Ulm 1846 or Hamburger SV
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SSV Ulm 184626% Draw51% Hamburger SV23%
Actual: SSV Ulm 1846 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
12%
1 – 0
10.6%
0 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 0
6.9%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3.1%
3 – 0
2.7%
1 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — SSV Ulm 1846

Handicap SSV Ulm 1846 covers Push Hamburger SV covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 20% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 19% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

SSV Ulm 1846 keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.