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Valenciennes FC vs SM Caen, 2017

Ligue 1 2017/18 · 2017
Sat 19 May 2018 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Valenciennes FC vs SM Caen — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Valenciennes FC 1.90
Draw 3.50
SM Caen 4.20

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 May SM Caen H 1–1 D
12 May FC Girondins de Bordeaux A 2–0 W
06 May Clermont Foot 63 H 2–1 W
29 Apr Amiens SC H 2–1 W
21 Apr Red Star FC A 1–1 D
14 Apr AJ Auxerre H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 May Valenciennes FC A 1–1 D
12 May AS Beziers H 1–1 D
06 May Red Star FC A 2–0 W
28 Apr La Berrichonne de Chateauroux H 0–1 L
22 Apr GFC Ajaccio A 0–1 L
15 Apr Grenoble Foot 38 H 1–3 L

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. SM Caen kicks off things out of here…
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Valenciennes FC Lineups

SM Caen Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.15 Valenciennes FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 SM Caen xG
I would bet for: Valenciennes FC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Valenciennes FC42% Draw29% SM Caen29%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.2
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Valenciennes FC or Draw
71%
Draw or SM Caen
58%
Valenciennes FC or SM Caen
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Valenciennes FC26% Draw52% SM Caen22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
13.4%
1 – 0
11.5%
0 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
7.5%
2 – 0
7.1%
1 – 2
6.8%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
4%
3 – 1
2.9%
3 – 0
2.7%
1 – 3
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Valenciennes FC

Handicap Valenciennes FC covers Push SM Caen covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 21% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 19% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Valenciennes FC keeps clean sheet
36%
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.