SM Caen vs Paris FC, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Pierre Gaillouste
3 games this season
🟨 5.0/game
⚽ 17.0 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Saint-Étienne | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | Red Star FC | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | Stade de Reims | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | Montpellier HSC | 7 | 12 |
| 5 | FC Metz | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | AS Nancy-Lorraine | 7 | 10 |
| 7 | FC Annecy | 7 | 10 |
| 8 | FC Sochaux-Montbéliard | 7 | 10 |
| 9 | Dijon Football Cote d'Or | 7 | 9 |
| 10 | Pau FC | 7 | 8 |
| 11 | USL Dunkerque | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | En Avant Guingamp | 7 | 8 |
| 13 | Grenoble Foot 38 | 7 | 8 |
| 14 | Rodez Aveyron Football | 7 | 7 |
| 15 | FC Nantes | 7 | 7 |
| 16 | Clermont Foot 63 | 7 | 6 |
| 17 | US Boulogne Côte d'Opale | 7 | 5 |
| 18 | Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC | 7 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug | Paris FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 17 May | Valenciennes FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 10 May | USL Dunkerque | A | 2–2 | D |
| 03 May | Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Apr | AS Saint-Étienne | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Apr | FC Annecy | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug | SM Caen | A | 2–0 | W |
| 17 May | SC Bastia | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 May | En Avant Guingamp | H | 2–1 | W |
| 04 May | AJ Auxerre | A | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Apr | Angers SCO | H | 3–1 | W |
| 23 Apr | Rodez Aveyron Football | A | 0–1 | L |
Key Stats
42%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Michel-d'Ornano. Ninety minutes of football awaits between SM Caen and Paris FC.
- 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 10' Paris FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 15' Mathias Autret is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Paris FC tonight.
- 20' Adama Camara needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 25' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 28' The referee calls foul for Noe Lebreton. He receives a card.
- 33' SM Caen is showing some good football. However, SM Caen are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 38' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 43' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 48' A quiet spell here at Michel-d'Ornano. SM Caen seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 53' The home supporters are growing impatient. SM Caen must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 58' Julien Lopez Baila has been relatively quiet despite scoring 29 goals in his last 440 appearances.
- 63' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 64' That looks like a foul for a card for Daylam Meddah.
- 67' The crowd applauds Nouha Dicko as he leaves the pitch. Ayoub Jabbari steps in for Paris FC.
- 71' Yann M'Vila has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mathias Autret on 71 minute.
- 74' That is a card for SM Caen. Dieudonne Gaucho Debohi will be fuming at that decision.
- 75' Fresh legs for SM Caen! Tidiam Gomis comes on to replace Mickael Le Bihan.
- 76' Paris FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Alimami Gory on 76.
- 77' A tactical swap from Paris FC — Jules Gaudin on, Tuomas Ollila off on 77 minutes.
- 82' Another change for SM Caen made on 82 minute. Noe Lebreton leaves to be changed by Mohamed Hafid.
- 83' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Alimami Gory on 83 minutes.
- 86' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Ilan Kebbal makes it 0-2.
- 88' Paris FC ring the changes. Vincent Marchetti has done his job and it is now time for Josias Lukembila to step up.
- 0-2 the final result. SM Caen will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
SM Caen Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Bilal Brahimi ↓ Lorenzo Rajot 71'
-
8
Mickael Le Bihan ↓ Tidiam Gomis 75'
- 1
- 29
-
23
Mathias Autret ↓ Yann M'Vila 71'
- 2
- 17
- 24
- 27
-
20
Noe Lebreton ↓ Mohamed Hafid 82'
- 77
Bench
-
6
Yann M'Vila ↑ 71'
- 16
-
14
Lorenzo Rajot ↑ 71'
-
22
Mohamed Hafid ↑ 82'
-
7
Tidiam Gomis ↑ 75'
- 99
- 98
Coach
Nicolas Seube
Paris FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
12
Nouha Dicko ↓ Ayoub Jabbari 67'
- 15
- 4
-
2
Tuomas Ollila ↓ Jules Gaudin 77'
- 16
- 7
- 10
- 8
- 39
- 17
- 6
Bench
-
20
Julien Lopez Baila ↑ 77'
-
96
Alimami Gory ↑ 67'
-
27
Jules Gaudin ↑ 77'
- 98
-
23
Josias Lukembila ↑ 88'
- 36
-
99
Ayoub Jabbari ↑ 67'
Coach
Stéphane Gilli
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Romain Thomas | 2 |
| Jean-Philippe Krasso | 2 |
| Alex Mendy | 2 |
| Romain Armand | 2 |
| Godson Kyeremeh | 2 |
| Julien Lopez Baila | 2 |
| Warren Caddy | 1 |
| Tuomas Ollila | 1 |
Head to Head
SM Caen Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.25
SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02
Paris FC xG
I would bet for:
SM Caen or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Paris FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.27
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 2.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
SM Caen or Draw
70%
Draw or Paris FC
61%
SM Caen or Paris FC
69%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
12.6%
1 – 0
11.8%
0 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
8%
2 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
3.4%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
2.2%
Asian Handicap — SM Caen
| Handicap | SM Caen covers | Push | Paris FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 12% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 22% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 17% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
Paris FC keeps clean sheet
29%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.