SM Caen vs Paris FC, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Pierre Gaillouste
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Saint-Étienne | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | FC Annecy | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | USL Dunkerque | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | FC Metz | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Montpellier HSC | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Red Star FC | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Rodez Aveyron Football | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | En Avant Guingamp | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Stade de Reims | 2 | 2 |
| 12 | Dijon Football Cote d'Or | 2 | 1 |
| 13 | AS Nancy-Lorraine | 2 | 1 |
| 14 | US Boulogne Côte d'Opale | 2 | 1 |
| 15 | Grenoble Foot 38 | 2 | 1 |
| 16 | Clermont Foot 63 | 2 | 1 |
| 17 | FC Sochaux-Montbéliard | 2 | 1 |
| 18 | FC Nantes | 2 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug | Paris FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 17 May | Valenciennes FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 10 May | USL Dunkerque | A | 2–2 | D |
| 03 May | Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Apr | AS Saint-Étienne | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Apr | FC Annecy | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug | SM Caen | A | 2–0 | W |
| 17 May | SC Bastia | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 May | En Avant Guingamp | H | 2–1 | W |
| 04 May | AJ Auxerre | A | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Apr | Angers SCO | H | 3–1 | W |
| 23 Apr | Rodez Aveyron Football | A | 0–1 | L |
Key Stats
42%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Paris FC gets underway.
- 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 10' SM Caen currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 15' Nouha Dicko has been relatively quiet despite scoring 12 goals in his last 380 appearances.
- 20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SM Caen that had 399 games and scored 298 goals.
- 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ali El Abdi suffering a number of foals already.
- 28' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Noe Lebreton on 28 minutes.
- 33' Paris FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 38' SM Caen are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 43' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 48' Vincent Marchetti, a France , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 53' Both keepers have barely been tested. SM Caen and Paris FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 58' Jules Gaudin has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 63' Josias Lukembila is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SM Caen so far.
- 64' Poor challenge from Daylam Meddah. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 67' The crowd applauds Nouha Dicko as he leaves the pitch. Ayoub Jabbari steps in for Paris FC.
- 71' SM Caen manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yann M'Vila is hanging Mathias Autret on the field on 71 minute.
- 74' The referee has no hesitation. Dieudonne Gaucho Debohi is booked for SM Caen — card on 74.
- 75' Time for substitution for SM Caen. Mickael Le Bihan is replaced by Tidiam Gomis.
- 76' Goal! Alimami Gory scores his 31 goal in 428 matches.
- 77' The Paris FC bench stirs into life. Tuomas Ollila is withdrawn and Jules Gaudin gets his opportunity.
- 82' The crowd applauds Noe Lebreton as he leaves the pitch. Mohamed Hafid steps in for SM Caen.
- 83' Alimami Gory catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 83.
- 86' GOAL! Ilan Kebbal fires home to make it 0-2!
- 88' Josias Lukembila has so much to prove this time. He replaces Vincent Marchetti on 88 minute.
- It finishes all square. SM Caen and Paris FC share the spoils 0-2.
Lineups
SM Caen Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Bilal Brahimi ↓ Lorenzo Rajot 71'
-
8
Mickael Le Bihan ↓ Tidiam Gomis 75'
- 1
- 29
-
23
Mathias Autret ↓ Yann M'Vila 71'
- 2
- 17
- 24
- 27
-
20
Noe Lebreton ↓ Mohamed Hafid 82'
- 77
Bench
-
6
Yann M'Vila ↑ 71'
- 16
-
14
Lorenzo Rajot ↑ 71'
-
22
Mohamed Hafid ↑ 82'
-
7
Tidiam Gomis ↑ 75'
- 99
- 98
Coach
Nicolas Seube
Paris FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
12
Nouha Dicko ↓ Ayoub Jabbari 67'
- 15
- 4
-
2
Tuomas Ollila ↓ Jules Gaudin 77'
- 16
- 7
- 10
- 8
- 39
- 17
- 6
Bench
-
20
Julien Lopez Baila ↑ 77'
-
96
Alimami Gory ↑ 67'
-
27
Jules Gaudin ↑ 77'
- 98
-
23
Josias Lukembila ↑ 88'
- 36
-
99
Ayoub Jabbari ↑ 67'
Coach
Stephane Gilli
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Romain Thomas | 2 |
| Jean-Philippe Krasso | 2 |
| Alex Mendy | 2 |
| Romain Armand | 2 |
| Godson Kyeremeh | 2 |
| Julien Lopez Baila | 2 |
| Anthony Goncalves | 1 |
| Moustapha Name | 1 |
Head to Head
SM Caen Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.25
SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02
Paris FC xG
I would bet for:
SM Caen or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Paris FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.27
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 2.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
SM Caen or Draw
70%
Draw or Paris FC
61%
SM Caen or Paris FC
69%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
12.6%
1 – 0
11.8%
0 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
8%
2 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
3.4%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
2.2%
Asian Handicap — SM Caen
| Handicap | SM Caen covers | Push | Paris FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 12% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 22% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 17% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
Paris FC keeps clean sheet
29%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.