Saturday , 14 November 2026

SK Sturm Graz vs FK Dynamo Kyiv, Champions League 2022-23 QUALIFICATION ROUND 3

Tue 9 Aug 2022 · 18:30 UTC Merkur-Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Aug FK Dynamo Kyiv H 1–2 L
03 Aug FK Dynamo Kyiv A 0–1 L
25 Nov PSV A 0–2 L
04 Nov Real Sociedad de Fútbol A 1–1 D
21 Oct Real Sociedad de Fútbol H 0–1 L
30 Sep PSV H 1–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Aug SK Sturm Graz A 2–1 W
03 Aug SK Sturm Graz H 1–0 W
27 Jul Fenerbahçe SK A 2–1 W
20 Jul Fenerbahçe SK H 0–0 D
08 Dec Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 0–2 L
23 Nov FC Bayern München H 1–2 L

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — SK Sturm Graz and FK Dynamo Kyiv get this one started.
  • 5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both SK Sturm Graz and FK Dynamo Kyiv are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Vitalii Buyalskyi is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SK Sturm Graz.
  • 11' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jon Gorenc-Stankovic on 11.
  • 16' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Christian Ilzer will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 21' FK Dynamo Kyiv started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 21.
  • 26' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 27' Magnificent from Rasmus Hojlund! That is 43 goals in 105 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 32' SK Sturm Graz have won 41 goals from 147 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 37' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SK Sturm Graz that had 147 games and scored 41 goals.
  • 42' SK Sturm Graz is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 47' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 52' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Vesel Demaku made 4 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 57' The energy levels are beginning to show. Mircea Lucescu might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 62' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 67' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Vladyslav Dubinchak suffering a number of foals already.
  • 71' Oleksandr Karavaiev has so much to prove this time. He replaces Tomasz Kedziora on 71 minute.
  • 75' SK Sturm Graz ring the changes. Rasmus Hojlund has done his job and it is now time for Ivan Ljubic to step up.
  • 80' FK Dynamo Kyiv fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 82' Denys Harmash gets the nod from FK Dynamo Kyiv. He replaces Volodymyr Shepeliev and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 84' Time for substitution for SK Sturm Graz. Tomi Horvat is replaced by Christoph Lang.
  • 89' Volodymyr Shepeliev has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 90' Manprit Sarkaria catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 90.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for SK Sturm Graz.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.2 SK Sturm Graz xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28 FK Dynamo Kyiv xG
I would bet for: SK Sturm Graz or FK Dynamo Kyiv 71% + Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SK Sturm Graz33% Draw29% FK Dynamo Kyiv38%
Actual: FK Dynamo Kyiv win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

SK Sturm Graz or Draw
62%
Draw or FK Dynamo Kyiv
67%
SK Sturm Graz or FK Dynamo Kyiv
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SK Sturm Graz24% Draw49% FK Dynamo Kyiv27%
Actual: SK Sturm Graz win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
10.4%
0 – 1
9.6%
1 – 0
8.9%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.4%
0 – 2
6.7%
2 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
3%
0 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — SK Sturm Graz

Handicap SK Sturm Graz covers Push FK Dynamo Kyiv covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 19% 67%
-0.5 33% — 67%
+0.5 63% — 37%
+1 63% 20% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

SK Sturm Graz keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
FK Dynamo Kyiv keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.