Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SK Sturm Graz vs FK Dynamo Kyiv, Champions League 2022-23 QUALIFICATION ROUND 3

Tue 9 Aug 2022 · 18:30 UTC Merkur-Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Aug FK Dynamo Kyiv H 1–2 L
03 Aug FK Dynamo Kyiv A 0–1 L
25 Nov PSV A 0–2 L
04 Nov Real Sociedad de Fútbol A 1–1 D
21 Oct Real Sociedad de Fútbol H 0–1 L
30 Sep PSV H 1–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Aug SK Sturm Graz A 2–1 W
03 Aug SK Sturm Graz H 1–0 W
27 Jul Fenerbahçe SK A 2–1 W
20 Jul Fenerbahçe SK H 0–0 D
08 Dec Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 0–2 L
23 Nov FC Bayern München H 1–2 L

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Merkur-Arena as SK Sturm Graz face off against FK Dynamo Kyiv in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Gregory Wuthrich made 236 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' FK Dynamo Kyiv fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 11' The referee shows SK Sturm Graz player a Yellow card on 11.
  • 16' FK Dynamo Kyiv is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 21' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 26' Vladyslav Vanat has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 27' A stunning finish from Rasmus Hojlund — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 32' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His SK Sturm Graz side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 37' Both keepers have barely been tested. SK Sturm Graz and FK Dynamo Kyiv are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 42' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 47' With 0 assists to his name this season, David Affengruber is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SK Sturm Graz.
  • 52' The 29-year-old Volodymyr Shepeliev has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 57' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 62' Amadou Dante, a Mali defender, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 67' SK Sturm Graz are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 71' FK Dynamo Kyiv make a change. Tomasz Kedziora trudges off to be replaced by Oleksandr Karavaiev on 71 minutes.
  • 75' Ivan Ljubic gets the nod from SK Sturm Graz. He replaces Rasmus Hojlund and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 80' The home supporters are growing impatient. SK Sturm Graz must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 82' Denys Harmash gets the nod from FK Dynamo Kyiv. He replaces Volodymyr Shepeliev and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 84' A tactical swap from SK Sturm Graz — Christoph Lang on, Tomi Horvat off on 84 minutes.
  • 89' The energy levels are beginning to show. Mircea Lucescu might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Manprit Sarkaria. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from FK Dynamo Kyiv to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.2 SK Sturm Graz xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28 FK Dynamo Kyiv xG
I would bet for: SK Sturm Graz or FK Dynamo Kyiv 71% + Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SK Sturm Graz33% Draw29% FK Dynamo Kyiv38%
Actual: FK Dynamo Kyiv win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

SK Sturm Graz or Draw
62%
Draw or FK Dynamo Kyiv
67%
SK Sturm Graz or FK Dynamo Kyiv
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SK Sturm Graz24% Draw49% FK Dynamo Kyiv27%
Actual: SK Sturm Graz win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
10.4%
0 – 1
9.6%
1 – 0
8.9%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.4%
0 – 2
6.7%
2 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
3%
0 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — SK Sturm Graz

Handicap SK Sturm Graz covers Push FK Dynamo Kyiv covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 19% 67%
-0.5 33% — 67%
+0.5 63% — 37%
+1 63% 20% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

SK Sturm Graz keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
FK Dynamo Kyiv keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.