Thursday , 2 July 2026

SK Sturm Graz vs FK Dynamo Kyiv, Champions League 2022-23 QUALIFICATION ROUND 3

Tue 9 Aug 2022 · 18:30 UTC Merkur-Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Aug FK Dynamo Kyiv H 1–2 L
03 Aug FK Dynamo Kyiv A 0–1 L
25 Nov PSV A 0–2 L
04 Nov Real Sociedad de Fútbol A 1–1 D
21 Oct Real Sociedad de Fútbol H 0–1 L
30 Sep PSV H 1–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Aug SK Sturm Graz A 2–1 W
03 Aug SK Sturm Graz H 1–0 W
27 Jul Fenerbahce SK A 2–1 W
20 Jul Fenerbahce SK H 0–0 D
08 Dec Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 0–2 L
23 Nov FC Bayern München H 1–2 L

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Merkur-Arena that hosts another battle between SK Sturm Graz and FK Dynamo Kyiv.
  • 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 10' FK Dynamo Kyiv started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
  • 11' The referee calls foul for Jon Gorenc-Stankovic. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 16' Viktor Tsyhankov has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 21' The travelling FK Dynamo Kyiv supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 26' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 27' Rasmus Hojlund puts SK Sturm Graz on the lead.
  • 32' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FK Dynamo Kyiv that had 164 games and scored 95 goals.
  • 37' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Manprit Sarkaria suffering a number of foals already.
  • 42' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 47' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 52' It’s high time Mircea Lucescu made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 57' It looks surprising SK Sturm Graz does not make any changes. Gregory Wuthrich has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 62' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 67' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 67 minutes.
  • 71' Another change for FK Dynamo Kyiv made on 71 minute. Tomasz Kedziora leaves to be changed by Oleksandr Karavaiev.
  • 75' Another substitution for SK Sturm Graz to replace Rasmus Hojlund by Ivan Ljubic on 75 minute.
  • 80' Alexander Prass needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 82' The FK Dynamo Kyiv manager makes a substitution. Volodymyr Shepeliev departs to be replaced by Denys Harmash.
  • 84' Another change for SK Sturm Graz made on 84 minute. Tomi Horvat leaves to be changed by Christoph Lang.
  • 89' SK Sturm Graz is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 90' Manprit Sarkaria was booked on 90.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for SK Sturm Graz.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.2 SK Sturm Graz xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28 FK Dynamo Kyiv xG
I would bet for: SK Sturm Graz or FK Dynamo Kyiv 71% + Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SK Sturm Graz33% Draw29% FK Dynamo Kyiv38%
Actual: FK Dynamo Kyiv win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

SK Sturm Graz or Draw
62%
Draw or FK Dynamo Kyiv
67%
SK Sturm Graz or FK Dynamo Kyiv
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SK Sturm Graz24% Draw49% FK Dynamo Kyiv27%
Actual: SK Sturm Graz win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
10.4%
0 – 1
9.6%
1 – 0
8.9%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.4%
0 – 2
6.7%
2 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
3%
0 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — SK Sturm Graz

Handicap SK Sturm Graz covers Push FK Dynamo Kyiv covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 19% 67%
-0.5 33% 67%
+0.5 63% 37%
+1 63% 20% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

SK Sturm Graz keeps clean sheet
28%
FK Dynamo Kyiv keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.