Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern, 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern — 2. Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.
- Holstein Kiel 11 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
- 1. FC Kaiserslautern 11 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Marc Philip Eckermann (Germany)
- Assistant 1 Mark Borsch
- Assistant 2 Felix Grund (Germany)
4 games this season
🟨 3.5/game
⚽ 9.8 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 11 | 24 |
| 3 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 11 | 21 |
| 4 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 11 | 20 |
| 5 | VfL Wolfsburg | 11 | 19 |
| 6 | Arminia Bielefeld | 11 | 17 |
| 7 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 11 | 16 |
| 8 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 11 | 14 |
| 9 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 11 | 12 |
| 10 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | 11 | 12 |
| 11 | Hannover 96 | 11 | 12 |
| 12 | FC Energie Cottbus | 11 | 11 |
| 13 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 11 | 11 |
| 14 | VfL Osnabrück | 11 | 11 |
| 15 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 11 | 11 |
| 16 | Karlsruher SC | 11 | 11 |
| 17 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 11 | 9 |
| 18 | Holstein Kiel | 11 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | H | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Apr | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf | A | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Apr | SC Preußen Münster | H | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Mar | VfL Bochum 1848 | A | 3–2 | W |
| 14 Mar | 1. FC Nürnberg | H | 2–3 | L |
| 07 Mar | SV Darmstadt 98 | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr | Holstein Kiel | A | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Apr | Hertha BSC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Apr | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf | H | 3–0 | W |
| 21 Mar | 1. FC Nürnberg | A | 0–3 | L |
| 15 Mar | Karlsruher SC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 07 Mar | VfL Bochum 1848 | A | 2–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Holstein Kiel | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | |
|---|---|---|
| #18 | Position | #3 |
| 8 | Points | 21 |
| 11 | Played | 11 |
| 1 / 5 / 5 | W / D / L | 6 / 3 / 2 |
| 11 | Scored | 10 |
| 14 | Conceded | 7 |
| -3 | GD | +3 |
| 0.73 | PPG | 1.91 |
| 9% | Win % | 55% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season
Holstein Kiel this season
73%
Clean Sheets
1. FC Kaiserslautern this season
1. FC Kaiserslautern this season
Holstein Kiel are 18th (8 pts). 1. FC Kaiserslautern are 3rd (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Holstein Kiel
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
1/1
76+
3/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FC Kaiserslautern
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
2/–
46-60
3/4
61-75
3/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Holstein Kiel
| Phil Harres | 5 G | 3 A |
| Jonas Therkelsen | 2 G | 1 A |
| Guillermo Balzi | 1 G |
1. FC Kaiserslautern
| Erencan Yardimci | 3 G |
| Thierry Fidjeu-Tazemeta | 3 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Holstein Kiel get us underway at Holstein-Stadion.
- 5' The 22-year-old Umut Tohumcu has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 10' Julian Krahl has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 15' Belgium international Norman Bassette has been a key figure this campaign — 7 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 16' A goal from the Germany international Umut Tohumcu! He fires home on 16 to make it 1-0!
- 21' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 24' Time for substitution for Holstein Kiel. Steven Skrzybski is replaced by Jonas Therkelsen.
- 29' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jacob Rasmussen, as he is very good at scoring at Holstein-Stadion with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 33' A moment of madness from Lasse Rosenboom on 33 minutes earns him a card. Holstein Kiel will be frustrated.
- 36' The Germany forward Phil Harres breaks the deadlock on 36 minutes. 2-0!
- 40' David Zec doubles the advantage! 3-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 45' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 46' 1. FC Kaiserslautern make a change. Marlon Ritter trudges off to be replaced by Luca Sirch on 46 minutes.
- 51' Holstein Kiel are deployed in a 4-5-1 today, looking to exploit space against 1. FC Kaiserslautern's 4-4-2 shape.
- 56' Kenny Prince Redondo needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 61' 1. FC Kaiserslautern started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 61.
- 64' Controversy at the stadium! Kasper Davidsen argues furiously but the card stands.
- 64' Fresh legs for 1. FC Kaiserslautern! Daniel Hanslik comes on to replace Mergim Berisha.
- 69' Holstein Kiel are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 74' It looks surprising 1. FC Kaiserslautern does not make any changes. Jonas Meffert has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 75' Stefan Schwab is replacing Ikem Ugoh for the Holstein Kiel side.
- 80' Holstein Kiel are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 83' Fresh legs for Holstein Kiel! Niklas Niehoff comes on to replace David Zec.
- 88' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- Another three points for Holstein Kiel.
Lineups
Holstein Kiel Lineups
4-5-1Starting XI
- 28
- 7
- 1
-
8
Umut Tohumcu ↓ Marcus Muller 83'
- 19
- 23
- 6
-
26
David Zec ↓ Niklas Niehoff 83'
- 13
- 15
-
49
Ikem Ugoh ↓ Stefan Schwab 75'
Bench
-
22
Stefan Schwab ↑ 75'
- 3
- 21
-
29
Niklas Niehoff ↑ 83'
-
25
Marcus Muller ↑ 83'
-
10
Jonas Therkelsen ↑ 24'
- 43
-
2
Frederik Roslyng ↑ 75'
- 40
Coach
Tim Walter
1. FC Kaiserslautern Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1
-
20
Mergim Berisha ↓ Daniel Hanslik 64'
-
7
Marlon Ritter ↓ Luca Sirch 46'
- 14
- 6
- 15
- 4
- 26
-
17
Norman Bassette ↓ Ji-soo Kim 46'
- 8
- 22
Bench
- 2
-
11
Kenny Prince Redondo ↑ 64'
- 10
-
19
Daniel Hanslik ↑ 64'
- 3
- 25
-
31
Luca Sirch ↑ 46'
-
5
Ji-soo Kim ↑ 46'
- 37
Coach
Torsten Lieberknecht
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Benedikt Pichler | 2 |
| Filip Kaloc | 1 |
| Alexander Bernhardsson | 1 |
| Umut Tohumcu | 1 |
| Phil Harres | 1 |
| David Zec | 1 |
| Jann-Fiete Arp | 1 |
| Marlon Ritter | 1 |
Head to Head
Holstein Kiel Form
1. FC Kaiserslautern Form
2026-04-17
Holstein Kiel
3–0
1. FC Kaiserslautern
L
2026-04-11
Hertha BSC
0–1
1. FC Kaiserslautern
W
2026-04-04
1. FC Kaiserslautern
3–0
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
W
2026-03-21
1. FC Nürnberg
3–0
1. FC Kaiserslautern
L
2026-03-15
1. FC Kaiserslautern
3–0
Karlsruher SC
W
2026-03-07
VfL Bochum 1848
3–2
1. FC Kaiserslautern
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.27
Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93
1. FC Kaiserslautern xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Holstein Kiel win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.2
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Holstein Kiel or Draw
75%
Draw or 1. FC Kaiserslautern
54%
Holstein Kiel or 1. FC Kaiserslautern
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Holstein Kiel win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
13.3%
1 – 0
12.8%
0 – 1
9%
2 – 0
8.6%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
3.5%
1 – 3
1.9%
Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel
| Handicap | Holstein Kiel covers | Push | 1. FC Kaiserslautern covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 13% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 23% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 16% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 7% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
40%
✗
1. FC Kaiserslautern keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

