Thursday , 2 July 2026

Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern, 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2025-26
Fri 17 Apr 2026 · 16:30 UTC Holstein-Stadion 15,074 HT 45' · FT 45'
Umut Tohumcu 16' 1–0
Phil Harres 36' 2–0
David Zec 40' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Marc Philip Eckermann (Germany)
  • Assistant 1 Mark Borsch
  • Assistant 2 Felix Grund (Germany)
10 games this season 🟨 0.8/game 4.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Apr 1. FC Kaiserslautern H 3–0 W
10 Apr TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf A 2–1 W
05 Apr SC Preussen Munster H 0–0 D
22 Mar VfL Bochum 1848 A 3–2 W
14 Mar 1. FC Nurnberg H 2–3 L
07 Mar SV Darmstadt 98 A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Apr Holstein Kiel A 0–3 L
11 Apr Hertha BSC A 1–0 W
04 Apr TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf H 3–0 W
21 Mar 1. FC Nurnberg A 0–3 L
15 Mar Karlsruher SC H 3–0 W
07 Mar VfL Bochum 1848 A 2–3 L

Season Stats

Holstein Kiel 1. FC Kaiserslautern
#12 Position #6
41 Points 52
34 Played 34
11 / 8 / 15 W / D / L 16 / 4 / 14
44 Scored 52
48 Conceded 47
-4 GD +5
1.21 PPG 1.53
32% Win % 47%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season
26% Clean Sheets
1. FC Kaiserslautern this season

Holstein Kiel are 12th (41 pts). 1. FC Kaiserslautern are 6th (52 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Holstein Kiel
0-15
/1
16-30
1/
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
4/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FC Kaiserslautern
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
/2
46-60
1/
61-75
2/2
76+
2/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. 1. FC Kaiserslautern kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
  • 10' Holstein Kiel is showing some good football. However, Holstein Kiel are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Holstein Kiel that had 277 games and scored 170 goals.
  • 16' What a strike from Umut Tohumcu! The score is 1-0.
  • 21' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 24' The Holstein Kiel manager makes a substitution. Steven Skrzybski departs to be replaced by Jonas Therkelsen.
  • 29' Ikem Ugoh has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 33' The referee calls foul for Lasse Rosenboom. He receives a card.
  • 36' GOAL! Phil Harres scores on 36. Assisted by Ikem Ugoh
  • 40' GOAL! David Zec scores on 40. Assisted by Umut Tohumcu
  • 45' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kasper Davidsen made 277 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 46' The 1. FC Kaiserslautern manager makes a substitution. Marlon Ritter departs to be replaced by Luca Sirch.
  • 51' Norman Bassette needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 56' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 61' 1. FC Kaiserslautern looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 64' It’s gonna be a card for Kasper Davidsen.
  • 64' The whistle greets Mergim Berisha as he departs to be replaced by Daniel Hanslik.
  • 69' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with 1. FC Kaiserslautern winning 50% of all matches.
  • 74' Supporters expect more eagerness from Naatan Skytta, as he is very good at scoring at Holstein-Stadion with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 75' Stefan Schwab is replacing Ikem Ugoh for the Holstein Kiel side.
  • 80' The travelling 1. FC Kaiserslautern supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 83' Niklas Niehoff is replacing David Zec for the Holstein Kiel side.
  • 88' It’s high time Tim Walter made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for 1. FC Kaiserslautern.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.73 Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.27 1. FC Kaiserslautern xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Holstein Kiel49% Draw25% 1. FC Kaiserslautern26%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Holstein Kiel or Draw
74%
Draw or 1. FC Kaiserslautern
51%
Holstein Kiel or 1. FC Kaiserslautern
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Holstein Kiel34% Draw44% 1. FC Kaiserslautern22%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
2 – 1
9.1%
1 – 0
7.8%
2 – 0
7.4%
0 – 0
6.7%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 1
5.5%
3 – 1
5.2%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel

Handicap Holstein Kiel covers Push 1. FC Kaiserslautern covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 14% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 21% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 15% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
29%
1. FC Kaiserslautern keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.