Sunday , 16 August 2026

SG Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel, 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sun 17 May 2026 · 13:30 UTC Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion 30,664 HT 45' · FT 45'
Vincent Vermeij 14' 1–0
Vincent Vermeij 36' 2–0
2–1 81' Phil Harres

Overview

Match Preview

SG Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga at Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Marc Philip Eckermann (Germany)
  • Assistant 1 Asmir Osmanagic
  • Assistant 2 Felix Grund (Germany)

Head-to-Head

1
1
SG Dynamo Dresden 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Holstein Kiel

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Holstein Kiel H 2–1 W
09 May Eintracht Braunschweig A 1–2 L
02 May 1. FC Kaiserslautern H 1–0 W
24 Apr TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf A 1–3 L
18 Apr VfL Bochum 1848 H 2–0 W
11 Apr 1. FC Nürnberg A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May SG Dynamo Dresden A 1–2 L
09 May 1. FC Magdeburg H 1–3 L
02 May Eintracht Braunschweig H 2–0 W
25 Apr Hertha BSC A 1–0 W
17 Apr 1. FC Kaiserslautern H 3–0 W
10 Apr TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf A 2–1 W

Season Stats

SG Dynamo Dresden Holstein Kiel
#11 Position #12
3 Points 2
2 Played 2
1 / 0 / 1 W / D / L 0 / 2 / 0
1 Scored 4
3 Conceded 4
-2 GD +0
1.50 PPG 1.00
50% Win % 0%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
SG Dynamo Dresden this season
0% Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season

SG Dynamo Dresden are 11th (3 pts). Holstein Kiel are 12th (2 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SG Dynamo Dresden
0-15
1/1
16-30
/
31-45
/1
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Holstein Kiel
0-15
1/
16-30
/
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/
61-75
/
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. SG Dynamo Dresden is hosting Holstein Kiel for another epic battle.
  • 1' The referee shows SG Dynamo Dresden player a card on 1.
  • 6' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 11' Timon Weiner has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 14' The Netherlands Vincent Vermeij breaks the deadlock on 14 minutes. 1-0!
  • 19' Jason Ceka has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 272 appearances.
  • 24' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 29' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both SG Dynamo Dresden and Holstein Kiel are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 34' Marko Ivezic needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 36' Goal! Vincent Vermeij scores his 21 goal in 233 matches.
  • 37' Vincent Vermeij is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 41' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Lasse Rosenboom.
  • 45' Robert Wagner picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 50' It is a cagey affair so far. SG Dynamo Dresden in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Holstein Kiel's compact 4-5-1.
  • 55' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 60' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 65' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 70' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Tim Walter will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 75' SG Dynamo Dresden started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 75.
  • 80' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His SG Dynamo Dresden side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 81' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Phil Harres makes it 3-1.
  • 86' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Phil Harres. He receives a card.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for SG Dynamo Dresden players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.13 SG Dynamo Dresden xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.51 Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for: SG Dynamo Dresden or Holstein Kiel 73%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SG Dynamo Dresden35% Draw27% Holstein Kiel38%
Actual: SG Dynamo Dresden win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.64
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

SG Dynamo Dresden or Draw
62%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
65%
SG Dynamo Dresden or Holstein Kiel
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SG Dynamo Dresden21% Draw47% Holstein Kiel32%
Actual: SG Dynamo Dresden win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 1
9.8%
0 – 0
9.1%
1 – 2
8.8%
0 – 2
7.9%
1 – 0
7.1%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 3
4.5%
2 – 0
4.5%
0 – 3
3.9%
2 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — SG Dynamo Dresden

Handicap SG Dynamo Dresden covers Push Holstein Kiel covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 16% 73%
-0.5 27% 73%
+0.5 56% 44%
+1 56% 22% 23%
+1.5 77% 23%
+2 77% 14% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

SG Dynamo Dresden keeps clean sheet
23%
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.