SG Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel, 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
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Overview
Match Preview
SG Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel — 2. Bundesliga at Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion.
- SG Dynamo Dresden 34 games · 41 pts (2025/26)
- Holstein Kiel 34 games · 41 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Marc Philip Eckermann (Germany)
- Assistant 1 Asmir Osmanagic
- Assistant 2 Felix Grund (Germany)
10 games this season 🟨 0.8/game ⚽ 4.7 goals/gameStandings
# Team P Pts 1 FC Schalke 04 34 70 2 SV 07 Elversberg 34 62 3 SC Paderborn 07 34 62 4 Hannover 96 34 60 5 SV Darmstadt 98 34 52 6 1. FC Kaiserslautern 34 52 7 Hertha BSC 34 51 8 1. FC Nurnberg 34 46 9 VfL Bochum 1848 34 44 10 Karlsruher SC 34 44 11 SG Dynamo Dresden 34 41 12 Holstein Kiel 34 41 13 Arminia Bielefeld 34 39 14 1. FC Magdeburg 34 39 15 Eintracht Braunschweig 34 37 16 SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 34 37 17 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 34 37 18 SC Preussen Munster 34 30 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 17 May Holstein Kiel H 2–1 W 09 May Eintracht Braunschweig A 1–2 L 02 May 1. FC Kaiserslautern H 1–0 W 24 Apr TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf A 1–3 L 18 Apr VfL Bochum 1848 H 2–0 W 11 Apr 1. FC Nurnberg A 2–0 W Date Opponent H/A Score Result 17 May SG Dynamo Dresden A 1–2 L 09 May 1. FC Magdeburg H 1–3 L 02 May Eintracht Braunschweig H 2–0 W 25 Apr Hertha BSC A 1–0 W 17 Apr 1. FC Kaiserslautern H 3–0 W 10 Apr TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf A 2–1 W Season Stats
SG Dynamo Dresden Holstein Kiel #11 Position #12 41 Points 41 34 Played 34 11 / 8 / 15 W / D / L 11 / 8 / 15 54 Scored 44 53 Conceded 48 +1 GD -4 1.21 PPG 1.21 32% Win % 32% Key Stats
100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history18% Clean Sheets
SG Dynamo Dresden this season26% Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this seasonSG Dynamo Dresden are 11th (41 pts). Holstein Kiel are 12th (41 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
SG Dynamo Dresden0-152/116-30–/231-451/–46-601/261-751/–76+3/2■ Scored ■ ConcededHolstein Kiel0-15–/116-301/–31-453/346-601/161-751/176+4/–■ Scored ■ Conceded -
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against SG Dynamo Dresden and Holstein Kiel has kicked off!
- 1' It’s gonna be a card for Alexander Rossipal.
- 6' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Holstein Kiel winning 50% of all matches.
- 11' Holstein Kiel seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 14' What a strike from Vincent Vermeij! The score is 1-0.
- 19' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SG Dynamo Dresden needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 24' It looks like no one’s ball. Holstein Kiel is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 29' Supporters expect more eagerness from Phil Harres, as he is very good at scoring at Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 34' Jason Ceka has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 36' Vincent Vermeij with the second goal in the match!
- 37' Vincent Vermeij makes a hat-trick on 37.
- 41' Lasse Rosenboom was booked on 41.
- 45' The referee calls foul for Robert Wagner. He receives a card.
- 50' The travelling Holstein Kiel supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 55' Timon Weiner needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 60' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 65' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ivan Nekic made 277 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 70' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 75' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 80' Holstein Kiel looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Phil Harres scoring 1 goals.
- 81' What a strike from Phil Harres! The score is 3-1.
- 86' Holstein Kiel started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 86.
- 90' Holstein Kiel player sees a card in front of him.
- Another three points for SG Dynamo Dresden.
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Lineups
SG Dynamo Dresden Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 9
- 27
- 19
- 39
- 32
- 1
- 7
- 20
- 18
- 6
- 42
Bench
- 30
- 37
- 29
- 33
- 8
- 2
- 16
- 10
- 24
Coach Thomas StammHolstein Kiel Lineups
4-5-1Starting XI
- 28
- 1
- 20
- 8
- 19
- 23
- 6
- 11
- 26
- 13
- 10
Bench
- 22
- 3
- 21
- 29
- 25
- 49
- 43
- 2
- 40
Coach Tim Walter -
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Vincent Vermeij 2 Phil Harres 1 Head to Head
SG Dynamo Dresden Form
2026-05-17 SG Dynamo Dresden 2–1 Holstein Kiel W 2026-05-09 Eintracht Braunschweig 2–1 SG Dynamo Dresden L 2026-05-02 SG Dynamo Dresden 1–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern W 2026-04-24 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 3–1 SG Dynamo Dresden L 2026-04-18 SG Dynamo Dresden 2–0 VfL Bochum 1848 W 2026-04-11 1. FC Nurnberg 0–2 SG Dynamo Dresden WHolstein Kiel Form
2026-05-17 SG Dynamo Dresden 2–1 Holstein Kiel L 2026-05-09 Holstein Kiel 1–3 1. FC Magdeburg L 2026-05-02 Holstein Kiel 2–0 Eintracht Braunschweig W 2026-04-25 Hertha BSC 0–1 Holstein Kiel W 2026-04-17 Holstein Kiel 3–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern W 2026-04-10 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 1–2 Holstein Kiel W -
Predictions
Prediction accuracy3 / 41.64 SG Dynamo Dresden xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo1.23 Holstein Kiel xGI would bet for: Both teams to score 57%Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SG Dynamo Dresden winBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 2.87Actual: Yes — both scoredOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 92% 8% ± 1.5 78% 22% ± 2.5 54% 46% ± 3.5 32% 68% ± 4.5 17% 83% Double Chance
SG Dynamo Dresden or Draw 73%Draw or Holstein Kiel 52%SG Dynamo Dresden or Holstein Kiel 74%Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: SG Dynamo Dresden win at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 121 – 1 12.4%2 – 1 Actual1 – 0 8.5%0 – 0 7.5%2 – 0 7.5%1 – 2 6.8%0 – 1 6.1%2 – 2 5.5%3 – 1 4.9%0 – 2 4.2%3 – 0 4%3 – 2 3.1%Asian Handicap — SG Dynamo Dresden
Handicap SG Dynamo Dresden covers Push Holstein Kiel covers -2.5 10% — 90% -2 10% 14% 76% -1.5 24% — 76% -1 24% 21% 54% -0.5 46% — 54% +0.5 73% — 27% +1 73% 16% 12% +1.5 88% — 12% +2 88% 8% 4% +2.5 96% — 4% Clean Sheet
SG Dynamo Dresden keeps clean sheet 30% ✓Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet 20% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.