Thursday , 2 July 2026

SC Heerenveen vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2022-23
2 4
Full Time
Sun 12 Mar 2023 · 13:30 UTC Abe Lenstra Stadion HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Heerenveen vs AFC AjaxEredivisie at Abe Lenstra Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Jeroen Manschot
  • Referee Joost van Zuilen
  • Referee Erwin Blank
  • Referee Freek Vandeursen
  • Referee Nils van Kampen
  • Referee Michael Eijgelsheim (Netherlands)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Mar AFC Ajax H 2–4 L
04 Mar FC Twente '65 A 3–3 D
25 Feb RKC Waalwijk H 1–4 L
19 Feb SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden A 2–1 W
12 Feb Feyenoord Rotterdam H 1–2 L
04 Feb FC Utrecht A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Mar SC Heerenveen A 4–2 W
05 Mar NEC H 1–0 W
26 Feb SBV Vitesse A 2–1 W
23 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–3 L
19 Feb Sparta Rotterdam H 4–0 W
16 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin H 0–0 D

Season Stats

SC Heerenveen AFC Ajax
#15 Position #2
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

SC Heerenveen are 15th (0 pts). AFC Ajax are 2nd (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.66 SC Heerenveen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.69 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 60% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Heerenveen17% Draw26% AFC Ajax57%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 2.35
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

SC Heerenveen or Draw
42%
Draw or AFC Ajax
83%
SC Heerenveen or AFC Ajax
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SC Heerenveen11% Draw48% AFC Ajax41%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–4 not predicted
2 – 4
Actual
0 – 1
15.2%
0 – 2
13.2%
0 – 0
11.5%
1 – 1
11.3%
1 – 2
8.7%
0 – 3
7.3%
1 – 0
5.3%
1 – 3
5%
2 – 1
3.3%
0 – 4
3.1%
2 – 2
2.9%
1 – 4
2.2%

Asian Handicap — SC Heerenveen

Handicap SC Heerenveen covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 3% 96%
-1.5 4% 96%
-1 4% 9% 87%
-0.5 13% 87%
+0.5 39% 61%
+1 39% 26% 35%
+1.5 65% 35%
+2 65% 19% 16%
+2.5 84% 16%

Clean Sheet

SC Heerenveen keeps clean sheet
19%
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
52%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.