Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SC Heerenveen vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2022-23
2 – 4
Full Time
Sun 12 Mar 2023 · 13:30 UTC Abe Lenstra Stadion HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Heerenveen vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie at Abe Lenstra Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Jeroen Manschot
  • Referee Joost van Zuilen
  • Referee Erwin Blank
  • Referee Freek Vandeursen
  • Referee Nils van Kampen
  • Referee Michael Eijgelsheim (Netherlands)
4 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 24.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Mar AFC Ajax H 2–4 L
04 Mar FC Twente '65 A 3–3 D
25 Feb RKC Waalwijk H 1–4 L
19 Feb SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden A 2–1 W
12 Feb Feyenoord Rotterdam H 1–2 L
04 Feb FC Utrecht A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Mar SC Heerenveen A 4–2 W
05 Mar NEC H 1–0 W
26 Feb SBV Vitesse A 2–1 W
23 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–3 L
19 Feb Sparta Rotterdam H 4–0 W
16 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin H 0–0 D

Season Stats

SC Heerenveen AFC Ajax
#10 Position #5
9 Points 14
7 Played 7
2 / 3 / 2 W / D / L 4 / 2 / 1
11 Scored 21
9 Conceded 9
+2 GD +12
1.29 PPG 2.00
29% Win % 57%

Key Stats

59% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
SC Heerenveen this season
29% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

SC Heerenveen are 10th (9 pts). AFC Ajax are 5th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Heerenveen
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/3
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AFC Ajax
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
5/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SC Heerenveen
Jacob Trenskow 3 G 1 A
Maxence Rivera 2 G 1 A
Luca Oyen 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.27 SC Heerenveen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.67 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Heerenveen19% Draw20% AFC Ajax61%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 3.94
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 74%
26%
± 3.5 54%
46%
± 4.5 35%
65%

Double Chance

SC Heerenveen or Draw
39%
Draw or AFC Ajax
81%
SC Heerenveen or AFC Ajax
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SC Heerenveen15% Draw35% AFC Ajax50%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
8.6%
1 – 3
7.5%
1 – 1
7.4%
0 – 2
7%
0 – 3
6.1%
2 – 2
5.4%
1 – 4
5%
0 – 1
4.9%
2 – 3
4.8%
2 – 1
4.2%
0 – 4
4%
2 – 4
Actual

Asian Handicap — SC Heerenveen

Handicap SC Heerenveen covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 4% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 9% 84%
-0.5 16% — 84%
+0.5 34% — 66%
+1 34% 20% 46%
+1.5 54% — 46%
+2 54% 19% 27%
+2.5 73% — 27%

Clean Sheet

SC Heerenveen keeps clean sheet
8% ✓
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.