Saturday , 14 November 2026

SC Heerenveen vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2022-23
2 – 4
Full Time
Sun 12 Mar 2023 · 13:30 UTC Abe Lenstra Stadion HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Heerenveen vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie at Abe Lenstra Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Jeroen Manschot
  • Referee Joost van Zuilen
  • Referee Erwin Blank
  • Referee Freek Vandeursen
  • Referee Nils van Kampen
  • Referee Michael Eijgelsheim (Netherlands)
8 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 19.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Mar AFC Ajax H 2–4 L
04 Mar FC Twente '65 A 3–3 D
25 Feb RKC Waalwijk H 1–4 L
19 Feb SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden A 2–1 W
12 Feb Feyenoord Rotterdam H 1–2 L
04 Feb FC Utrecht A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Mar SC Heerenveen A 4–2 W
05 Mar NEC H 1–0 W
26 Feb SBV Vitesse A 2–1 W
23 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–3 L
19 Feb Sparta Rotterdam H 4–0 W
16 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin H 0–0 D

Season Stats

SC Heerenveen AFC Ajax
#6 Position #3
21 Points 25
12 Played 12
6 / 3 / 3 W / D / L 7 / 4 / 1
24 Scored 32
16 Conceded 15
+8 GD +17
1.75 PPG 2.08
50% Win % 58%

Key Stats

59% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
42% Clean Sheets
SC Heerenveen this season
25% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

SC Heerenveen are 6th (21 pts). AFC Ajax are 3rd (25 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Heerenveen
0-15
1/1
16-30
4/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
5/2
61-75
5/5
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AFC Ajax
0-15
3/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
8/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
8/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SC Heerenveen
Jacob Trenskow 6 G 3 A
Ringo Meerveld 5 G 1 A
Luca Oyen 2 G 1 A
Maxence Rivera 2 G 1 A
AFC Ajax
Toluwalas Arokodare 7 G 1 A
Julian Brandt 6 G 2 A
Davy Klaassen 3 G 1 A
Jorthy Mokio 3 G 1 A
Kasper Dolberg 2 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.4 SC Heerenveen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.57 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Heerenveen21% Draw21% AFC Ajax58%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes69% 0% No31%
Avg goals/match: 3.97
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 74%
26%
± 3.5 55%
45%
± 4.5 36%
64%

Double Chance

SC Heerenveen or Draw
42%
Draw or AFC Ajax
79%
SC Heerenveen or AFC Ajax
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SC Heerenveen18% Draw36% AFC Ajax46%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
8.5%
1 – 1
7.6%
1 – 3
7.2%
0 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
5.9%
0 – 3
5.3%
2 – 3
5%
2 – 1
4.7%
1 – 4
4.6%
0 – 1
4.5%
0 – 4
3.4%
2 – 4
Actual

Asian Handicap — SC Heerenveen

Handicap SC Heerenveen covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 5% 92%
-1.5 8% — 92%
-1 8% 11% 81%
-0.5 19% — 81%
+0.5 39% — 61%
+1 39% 20% 41%
+1.5 59% — 41%
+2 59% 18% 24%
+2.5 76% — 24%

Clean Sheet

SC Heerenveen keeps clean sheet
9% ✓
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.