Saturday , 14 November 2026

SC Bastia vs USL Dunkerque, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2024-25
Fri 28 Mar 2025 · 19:00 UTC Stade Armand Cesari HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Bastia vs USL Dunkerque — Ligue 2 at Stade Armand Cesari.

Match Details

  • Referee Olivier Thual

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Mar USL Dunkerque H 2–0 W
15 Mar FC Lorient A 0–4 L
07 Mar FC Martigues H 1–0 W
28 Feb ES Troyes AC A 0–2 L
21 Feb Red Star FC H 1–0 W
14 Feb Clermont Foot 63 A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Mar SC Bastia A 0–2 L
15 Mar FC Metz H 2–3 L
10 Mar Rodez Aveyron Football A 1–5 L
03 Mar AC Ajaccio A 2–1 W
21 Feb Clermont Foot 63 H 3–0 W
15 Feb Paris FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
8% Clean Sheets
USL Dunkerque this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

USL Dunkerque
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/6
46-60
5/4
61-75
5/2
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

USL Dunkerque
Egor Prutsev 3 G 2 A
Souleymane Keita 3 G 1 A
Gaetan Robail 2 G
Opa Sangante 2 G
Marco Decherf 1 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.7 SC Bastia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.78 USL Dunkerque xG
I would bet for: SC Bastia to win 58% + Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Bastia58% Draw25% USL Dunkerque17%
Actual: SC Bastia win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

SC Bastia or Draw
83%
Draw or USL Dunkerque
42%
SC Bastia or USL Dunkerque
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SC Bastia40% Draw47% USL Dunkerque13%
Actual: SC Bastia win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.3%
1 – 1
11.9%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10.3%
2 – 1
9.1%
3 – 0
6.5%
0 – 1
5.5%
3 – 1
5.3%
1 – 2
4.2%
2 – 2
3.6%
4 – 0
2.8%
0 – 2
2.5%

Asian Handicap — SC Bastia

Handicap SC Bastia covers Push USL Dunkerque covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 18% 67%
-1.5 33% — 67%
-1 33% 25% 42%
-0.5 58% — 42%
+0.5 84% — 16%
+1 84% 11% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
46% ✗
USL Dunkerque keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.