Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC Alverca vs CD Tondela, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
1 – 0
Full Time
Fri 12 Sep 2025 · 19:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
1
FC Alverca 2 games · Avg 1.5 goals CD Tondela

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Sep CD Tondela H 1–0 W
31 Aug Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 1–2 L
25 Aug CF Estrela da Amadora A 2–2 D
17 Aug Sporting Clube de Braga H 0–3 L
10 Aug Moreirense FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Sep FC Alverca A 0–1 L
31 Aug GD Estoril Praia H 2–2 D
23 Aug Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 0–3 L
16 Aug FC Famalicão H 0–1 L
10 Aug Sporting Clube de Braga A 0–3 L
14 May Boavista FC H 2–2 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
FC Alverca this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Alverca
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/–
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/4
61-75
2/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: FC Alverca gets underway.
  • With this win, FC Alverca is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

FC Alverca Lineups

CD Tondela Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.31 FC Alverca xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.76 CD Tondela xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Alverca50% Draw29% CD Tondela21%
Actual: FC Alverca win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 2.07
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

FC Alverca or Draw
79%
Draw or CD Tondela
50%
FC Alverca or CD Tondela
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Alverca32% Draw53% CD Tondela15%
Actual: FC Alverca win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
15%
1 – 1
13.4%
2 – 0
10.4%
0 – 1
8.3%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
4.6%
3 – 0
4.5%
3 – 1
3.6%
0 – 2
3.4%
2 – 2
3.2%
4 – 0
1.5%

Asian Handicap — FC Alverca

Handicap FC Alverca covers Push CD Tondela covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 15% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 25% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 14% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

FC Alverca keeps clean sheet
47% ✗
CD Tondela keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.