Sunday , 16 August 2026

Real Oviedo vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2025-26
Sun 24 Aug 2025 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Real Oviedo vs Real Madrid CFLa Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Ricardo de Burgos
5 games this season 🟨 1.8/game 8.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

2
Real Oviedo 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Real Madrid CF

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Aug Real Madrid CF H 0–3 L
15 Aug Villarreal CF A 0–2 L
01 Jun Cadiz CF H 2–1 W
25 May CD Tenerife A 1–0 W
18 May Real Zaragoza H 1–0 W
11 May Real Racing Club de Santander A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Aug Real Oviedo A 3–0 W
19 Aug CA Osasuna H 1–0 W
09 Jul Paris Saint-Germain FC A 0–4 L
05 Jul Borussia Dortmund H 3–2 W
01 Jul Juventus FC H 1–0 W
27 Jun FC Red Bull Salzburg A 3–0 W

Season Stats

Real Oviedo Real Madrid CF
#3 Position #10
29 Points 0
38 Played 0
6 / 11 / 21 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
26 Scored 0
60 Conceded 0
-34 GD +0
0.76 PPG
16% Win %

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Real Oviedo are 3rd (29 pts). Real Madrid CF are 10th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Real Oviedo Lineups

Real Madrid CF Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.36 Real Oviedo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 79% + Under — clean sheet likely 78%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Oviedo17% Draw33% Real Madrid CF50%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes22% 0% No78%
Avg goals/match: 1.54
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 76%
24%
± 1.5 46%
54%
± 2.5 21%
79%
± 3.5 8%
92%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

Real Oviedo or Draw
50%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
83%
Real Oviedo or Real Madrid CF
67%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Real Oviedo6% Draw60% Real Madrid CF34%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
24.3%
0 – 0
23.9%
0 – 2
14.2%
1 – 1
9.7%
1 – 0
6.3%
1 – 2
5.5%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
2.3%
0 – 4
1.7%
2 – 1
1.5%
2 – 0
1.1%
2 – 2
1.1%

Asian Handicap — Real Oviedo

Handicap Real Oviedo covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 0% 100%
-2 0% 1% 98%
-1.5 2% 98%
-1 2% 8% 91%
-0.5 9% 91%
+0.5 44% 56%
+1 44% 30% 25%
+1.5 75% 25%
+2 75% 17% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

Real Oviedo keeps clean sheet
31%
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
70%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.