Thursday , 2 July 2026

Reading FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2018-19
Fri 3 Aug 2018 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Reading FC vs Derby County FCChampionship .

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Jones
  • Referee Nigel Lugg
  • Referee Michael George
  • Referee Steve Martin

Head-to-Head

4
1
5
Reading FC 10 games · Avg 2.7 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Aug Derby County FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Aug Reading FC A 2–1 W

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at . Reading FC are looking to make home advantage count against Derby County FC.
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 10' It looks surprising Derby County FC does not make any changes. Mason Mount has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 15' Derby County FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 22' The referee shows Derby County FC player a Yellow card on 22.
  • 27' Derby County FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 32' Derby County FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 37' Poor challenge from David Meyler. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 38' A moment of madness from Liam Kelly on 38 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Reading FC will be frustrated.
  • 43' Craig Bryson picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 46' Max Lowe picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 51' Derby County FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 52' A stunning finish from Jon Dadi Bodvarsson — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 57' Liam Kelly has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 60' What an equalizer from Mason Mount!
  • 65' The 39-year-old Richard Keogh has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 67' Reading FC make a change. John Swift trudges off to be replaced by Sam Baldock on 67 minutes.
  • 69' Derby County FC ring the changes. Joe Ledley has done his job and it is now time for Bradley Johnson to step up.
  • 73' Time for substitution for Derby County FC. David Nugent is replaced by Mason Bennett.
  • 75' Yakou Meite is replacing Jon Dadi Bodvarsson for the Reading FC side.
  • 80' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Max Lowe suffering a number of foals already.
  • 85' The Reading FC manager makes a substitution. David Meyler departs to be replaced by Leandro Bacuna.
  • 88' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Bradley Johnson.
  • 90' Derby County FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Tom Lawrence on 90.
  • 90' Another substitution for Derby County FC to replace Tom Lawrence by Alex Pearce on 90 minute.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Reading FC 1-2 Derby County FC.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.17 Reading FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.57 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Reading FC or Derby County FC 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Reading FC29% Draw28% Derby County FC43%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.74
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Reading FC or Draw
57%
Draw or Derby County FC
71%
Reading FC or Derby County FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Reading FC21% Draw46% Derby County FC33%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
0 – 1
9.2%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
8.4%
0 – 2
7.8%
2 – 1
6.7%
1 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
5.3%
1 – 3
4.7%
2 – 0
4.3%
0 – 3
4%
2 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Reading FC

Handicap Reading FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 16% 73%
-0.5 27% 73%
+0.5 55% 45%
+1 55% 22% 24%
+1.5 76% 24%
+2 76% 14% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

Reading FC keeps clean sheet
22%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.