Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Reading FC vs Burnley FC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2024-25
1 – 3
Full Time
Sat 11 Jan 2025 · 15:00 UTC Select Car Leasing Stadium 7,039 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 71' Lyle Foster
Lewis Wing 77' 1–1
1–2 100' Zian Flemming
1–3 109' Zian Flemming

Overview

Match Preview

Reading FC vs Burnley FC — FA Cup at Select Car Leasing Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Andy Davies (England)
  • Assistant 1 Graham Kane
  • Assistant 2 Emily Carney (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan Burnley FC H 1–3 L
04 Jan Charlton Athletic FC A 0–0 D
01 Jan Cambridge United FC A 3–1 W
29 Dec Mansfield Town FC H 2–1 W
26 Dec Northampton Town FC H 4–1 W
21 Dec Lincoln City FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan Reading FC A 3–1 W
04 Jan Blackburn Rovers FC A 1–0 W
01 Jan Stoke City FC H 0–0 D
29 Dec Middlesbrough FC A 0–0 D
26 Dec Sheffield United FC A 2–0 W
21 Dec Watford FC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Reading FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Reading FC welcome Burnley FC for this crunch clash at Select Car Leasing Stadium.
  • 5' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 15' Burnley FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 20' England international Bashir Humphreys has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 25' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 30' Over 30 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 35' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 40' It is a cagey affair so far. Reading FC in their trying to find a way past Burnley FC's compact .
  • 45' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Reading FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 50' The 25-year-old Lucas Pires has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 53' The referee has no hesitation. Jay Rodriguez is booked for Burnley FC — card on 53.
  • 58' The energy levels are beginning to show. Noel Hunt might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 63' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 68' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Lewis Wing made 391 appearances and scored 48 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 71' Lyle Foster puts Burnley FC on the lead.
  • 72' It is a substitution in Burnley FC team. John Egan is replaced by Hjalmar Ekdal on 72 minute.
  • 77' The England Lewis Wing breaks the deadlock on 77 minutes. 1-1!
  • 82' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 87' A change in the Burnley FC ranks — Luca Koleosho exits the field as Bashir Humphreys enters on 87.
  • The points are shared — Reading FC 1-3 Burnley FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.16 Reading FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Reading FC or Burnley FC 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Reading FC30% Draw29% Burnley FC41%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.59
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Reading FC or Draw
59%
Draw or Burnley FC
70%
Reading FC or Burnley FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Reading FC22% Draw48% Burnley FC30%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 1
9.7%
0 – 0
9.5%
1 – 2
8.6%
1 – 0
7.7%
0 – 2
7.5%
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
5%
2 – 0
4.9%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 3
3.5%
3 – 1
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Reading FC

Handicap Reading FC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 17% 71%
-0.5 29% — 71%
+0.5 58% — 42%
+1 58% 21% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 13% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Reading FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.