Sunday , 16 August 2026

Reading FC vs Burnley FC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2024-25
1 3
Full Time
Sat 11 Jan 2025 · 15:00 UTC Select Car Leasing Stadium 7,039 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 71' Lyle Foster
Lewis Wing 77' 1–1
1–2 100' Zian Flemming
1–3 109' Zian Flemming

Overview

Match Preview

Reading FC vs Burnley FCFA Cup at Select Car Leasing Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Andy Davies (England)
  • Assistant 1 Graham Kane
  • Assistant 2 Emily Carney (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan Burnley FC H 1–3 L
04 Jan Charlton Athletic FC A 0–0 D
01 Jan Cambridge United FC A 3–1 W
29 Dec Mansfield Town FC H 2–1 W
26 Dec Northampton Town FC H 4–1 W
21 Dec Lincoln City FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan Reading FC A 3–1 W
04 Jan Blackburn Rovers FC A 1–0 W
01 Jan Stoke City FC H 0–0 D
29 Dec Middlesbrough FC A 0–0 D
26 Dec Sheffield United FC A 2–0 W
21 Dec Watford FC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Reading FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Reading FC is hosting Burnley FC for another epic battle.
  • 5' Zian Flemming has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Lucas Pires is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Burnley FC.
  • 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Mike Tresor, as he is very good at scoring at Select Car Leasing Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 30' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 35' A quiet spell here at Select Car Leasing Stadium. Burnley FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 40' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 45' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Reading FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 50' Reading FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 53' The referee has no hesitation. Jay Rodriguez is booked for Burnley FC — card on 53.
  • 58' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 63' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 68' Reading FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 71' Magnificent from Lyle Foster! That is 19 goals in 422 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 72' The Burnley FC bench stirs into life. John Egan is withdrawn and Hjalmar Ekdal gets his opportunity.
  • 77' Against the run of play, Lewis Wing has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 82' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 82 minutes.
  • 87' Burnley FC ring the changes. Luca Koleosho has done his job and it is now time for Bashir Humphreys to step up.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Burnley FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.16 Reading FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Reading FC or Burnley FC 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Reading FC30% Draw29% Burnley FC41%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.59
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Reading FC or Draw
59%
Draw or Burnley FC
70%
Reading FC or Burnley FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Reading FC22% Draw48% Burnley FC30%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 1
9.7%
0 – 0
9.5%
1 – 2
8.6%
1 – 0
7.7%
0 – 2
7.5%
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
5%
2 – 0
4.9%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 3
3.5%
3 – 1
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Reading FC

Handicap Reading FC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 17% 71%
-0.5 29% 71%
+0.5 58% 42%
+1 58% 21% 20%
+1.5 80% 20%
+2 80% 13% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Reading FC keeps clean sheet
25%
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.