PFK Sochi vs FK Nizhny Novgorod, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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RFPL · 2025-26

PFK Sochi

2 – 1

Full Time

FK Nizhny Novgorod

Sun 5 Oct 2025 · 11:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

PFK Sochi vs FK Nizhny Novgorod — RFPL .

PFK Sochi 30 games · 22 pts (2025/26)
FK Nizhny Novgorod 30 games · 23 pts (2025/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	30	68
2	FK Krasnodar	30	66
3	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	30	53
4	FK Spartak Moskva	30	52
5	PFC CSKA Moskva	30	51
6	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	30	46
7	FK Dinamo Moskva	30	45
8	FK Rubin Kazan	30	43
9	RFK Akhmat Grozny	30	37
10	FK Rostov	30	33
11	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	30	32
12	FK Orenburg	30	29
13	FK Akron Tolyatti	30	27
14	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	30	26
15	FK Nizhny Novgorod	30	23
16	PFK Sochi	30	22

Head-to-Head

PFK Sochi 8 games · Avg 2.8 goals FK Nizhny Novgorod

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-05 PFK Sochi 2–1 FK Nizhny Novgorod 2024-05-12 PFK Sochi 6–1 FK Nizhny Novgorod 2023-10-29 FK Nizhny Novgorod 1–0 PFK Sochi 2023-05-22 FK Nizhny Novgorod 4–0 PFK Sochi 2022-08-07 PFK Sochi 2–1 FK Nizhny Novgorod

Recent Form

PFK Sochi

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Oct	FK Nizhny Novgorod	H	2–1	W
28 Sep	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	A	0–0	D
22 Sep	PFC CSKA Moskva	H	1–3	L
14 Sep	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	A	0–2	L
30 Aug	FK Spartak Moskva	A	1–2	L
24 Aug	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	H	0–2	L

FK Nizhny Novgorod

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Oct	PFK Sochi	A	1–2	L
28 Sep	FK Spartak Moskva	A	0–3	L
20 Sep	RFK Akhmat Grozny	H	1–2	L
13 Sep	FK Orenburg	H	3–1	W
30 Aug	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	A	0–2	L
23 Aug	FK Dinamo Moskva	A	0–3	L

Season Stats

PFK Sochi		FK Nizhny Novgorod
#16	Position	#15
22	Points	23
30	Played	30
6 / 4 / 20	W / D / L	6 / 5 / 19
29	Scored	26
60	Conceded	50
-31	GD	-24
0.73	PPG	0.77
20%	Win %	20%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

13% Clean Sheets
PFK Sochi this season

17% Clean Sheets
FK Nizhny Novgorod this season

PFK Sochi are 16th (22 pts). FK Nizhny Novgorod are 15th (23 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

PFK Sochi

0-15

2/1

16-30

–/2

31-45

2/–

46-60

1/2

61-75

1/1

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FK Nizhny Novgorod

0-15

1/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

3/1

46-60

–/4

61-75

2/1

76+

1/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: FK Nizhny Novgorod gets underway.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for FK Nizhny Novgorod.

Lineups

PFK Sochi Lineups

FK Nizhny Novgorod Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Igor Gorbunov	2
Aleksey Sutormin	2
Dmitrii Rybchinskii	1
Nikita Kakkoev	1
Viktor Aleksandrov	1
Nikolai Kalinskiy	1
Ze Turbo	1
Nikita Burmistrov	1

Head to Head

PFK Sochi Form

2025-10-05 PFK Sochi 2–1 FK Nizhny Novgorod W 2025-09-28 FK Dinamo Makhachkala 0–0 PFK Sochi D 2025-09-22 PFK Sochi 1–3 PFC CSKA Moskva L 2025-09-14 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 2–0 PFK Sochi L 2025-08-30 FK Spartak Moskva 2–1 PFK Sochi L 2025-08-24 PFK Sochi 0–2 FK Baltika Kaliningrad L

FK Nizhny Novgorod Form

2025-10-05 PFK Sochi 2–1 FK Nizhny Novgorod L 2025-09-28 FK Spartak Moskva 3–0 FK Nizhny Novgorod L 2025-09-20 FK Nizhny Novgorod 1–2 RFK Akhmat Grozny L 2025-09-13 FK Nizhny Novgorod 3–1 FK Orenburg W 2025-08-30 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 2–0 FK Nizhny Novgorod L 2025-08-23 FK Dinamo Moskva 3–0 FK Nizhny Novgorod L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.72 PFK Sochi xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.33 FK Nizhny Novgorod xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

PFK Sochi48% Draw25% FK Nizhny Novgorod27%

Actual: PFK Sochi win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes61% 0% No39%

Avg goals/match: 3.05

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	81%	19%
± 2.5	58%	42%
± 3.5	36%	64%
± 4.5	20%	80%

Double Chance

PFK Sochi or Draw

73%

Draw or FK Nizhny Novgorod

52%

PFK Sochi or FK Nizhny Novgorod

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

PFK Sochi34% Draw44% FK Nizhny Novgorod22%

Actual: PFK Sochi win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.7%

2 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

7.3%

1 – 2

6.9%

2 – 0

6.9%

0 – 0

6.4%

2 – 2

0 – 1

5.5%

3 – 1

5.1%

0 – 2

4.2%

3 – 0

3.9%

3 – 2

3.5%

Asian Handicap — PFK Sochi

Handicap	PFK Sochi covers	Push	FK Nizhny Novgorod covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	14%	75%
-1.5	25%	—	75%
-1	25%	21%	55%
-0.5	45%	—	55%
+0.5	71%	—	29%
+1	71%	16%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	8%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

PFK Sochi keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

FK Nizhny Novgorod keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.