Wednesday , 22 July 2026

Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs Malmo FF, Europe 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE

UEFA Europa League · 2024-25
Thu 3 Oct 2024 · 16:45 UTC Tofiq Bakhramov Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 71' Hugo Bolin
Y 90' Ricardo

Overview

Match Preview

Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs Malmo FFEurope at Tofiq Bakhramov Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Anastasios Papapetrou
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Oct Qarabağ Ağdam FK A 2–1 W
26 Sep Rangers FC H 0–2 L
27 Aug AC Sparta Praha A 0–2 L
21 Aug AC Sparta Praha H 0–2 L
13 Aug PAOK Thessaloniki FC A 4–3 W
06 Aug PAOK Thessaloniki FC H 2–2 D

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
78% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Malmo FF this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Tofiq Bakhramov Stadium that hosts another battle between Qarabag Agdam FK and Malmo FF.
  • 5' Lasse Berg Johnsen has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Malmo FF needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 15' Juninho has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 15 minutes.
  • 19' Erik Botheim does the damage! The net is bulging and Malmo FF surge ahead!
  • 24' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Qarabag Agdam FK and Malmo FF are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 29' Kevin Medina has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 144 appearances.
  • 34' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 39' Malmo FF are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 44' Abbas Huseynov is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Qarabag Agdam FK tonight.
  • 46' Malmo FF ring the changes. Johan Dahlin has done his job and it is now time for Ricardo to step up.
  • 47' Erik Botheim puts Malmo FF on the lead.
  • 52' Supporters expect more eagerness from Anders Christiansen, as he is very good at scoring at Tofiq Bakhramov Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 57' It’s high time Qurban Qurbanov made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 62' A change in the Malmo FF ranks — Anders Christiansen exits the field as Hugo Bolin enters on 62.
  • 67' A tactical swap from Qarabag Agdam FK — Toral Bayramov on, Leandro Andrade off on 67 minutes.
  • 68' Fresh legs for Qarabag Agdam FK! Bədavi Huseynov comes on to replace Bahlul Mustafazada.
  • 69' The Qarabag Agdam FK bench stirs into life. Julio Romao is withdrawn and Marko Jankovic gets his opportunity.
  • 71' It’s gonna be a card for Hugo Bolin.
  • 76' Jens Stryger Larsen, a Denmark , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 77' The whistle greets Abbas Huseynov as he departs to be replaced by Emmanuel Addai.
  • 79' The whistle greets Sergio Pena as he departs to be replaced by Otto Rosengren.
  • 84' Malmo FF seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 89' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 90' It’s a booking for Malmo FF player. Ricardo gets a card.
  • 90' Taha Ali is replacing Erik Botheim for the Malmo FF side.
  • Qarabag Agdam FK will have plenty to reflect on. Malmo FF were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.24 Qarabağ Ağdam FK xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.78 Malmo FF xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Qarabağ Ağdam FK27% Draw26% Malmo FF47%
Actual: Malmo FF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.02
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Qarabağ Ağdam FK or Draw
53%
Draw or Malmo FF
73%
Qarabağ Ağdam FK or Malmo FF
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Qarabağ Ağdam FK21% Draw44% Malmo FF35%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.6%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
7.9%
0 – 2
7.6%
0 – 0
6.6%
2 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 3
5.5%
1 – 0
5.2%
0 – 3
4.4%
2 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Qarabağ Ağdam FK

Handicap Qarabağ Ağdam FK covers Push Malmo FF covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 7% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 15% 74%
-0.5 26% 74%
+0.5 51% 49%
+1 51% 21% 27%
+1.5 73% 27%
+2 73% 15% 12%
+2.5 88% 12%

Clean Sheet

Qarabağ Ağdam FK keeps clean sheet
18%
Malmo FF keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.