Sunday , 15 November 2026

Malmo FF vs PAOK Thessaloniki FC, Champions League Q 2024 ROUND 3

Champions League Qualification · 2024
Malmo FF
2 – 2
Full Time
PAOK Thessaloniki FC
Tue 6 Aug 2024 · 17:00 UTC Nya Malmo Stadion HT 45' · FT 45'
Hugo Bolin 45' Y
Erik Botheim 52' Y
Y 70' Abdul Rahman Baba
Y 72' Joan Sastre
Y 84' Mohamed Mady Camara
Sebastian Nanasi 87' Y
Y 90' Magomed Ozdoev

Overview

Match Preview

Malmo FF vs PAOK Thessaloniki FC — Champions League Q at Nya Malmo Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee John Beaton
7 games this season 🟨 5.1/game ⚽ 9.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

1
1
Malmo FF 2 games · Avg 5.5 goals PAOK Thessaloniki FC
Last 5 meetings
2024-08-06 Malmo FF 2–2 PAOK Thessaloniki FC

Recent Form

Malmo FF
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Aug PAOK Thessaloniki FC H 2–2 D
30 Jul KI Klaksvik A 2–3 L
23 Jul KI Klaksvik H 4–1 W
03 Nov Sporting Clube de Braga A 1–2 L
27 Oct Royale Union Saint-Gilloise H 0–2 L
13 Oct 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–1 L
PAOK Thessaloniki FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Aug Malmo FF A 2–2 D
31 Jul FK Borac Banja Luka A 1–0 W
24 Jul FK Borac Banja Luka H 3–2 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Malmo FF host PAOK Thessaloniki FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering PAOK Thessaloniki FC that had 24 games and scored 23 goals.
  • 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 15' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 20' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ioannis Konstantelias is clearly more than just a goal scorer for PAOK Thessaloniki FC.
  • 25' It looks surprising PAOK Thessaloniki FC does not make any changes. Konstantinos Koulierakis has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 28' Pontus Jansson makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Malmo FF are in front.
  • 33' The 23-year-old Hugo Bolin has been sensational this season — 4 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 38' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 42' A stunning finish from Taison — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 45' Hugo Bolin catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 45.
  • 50' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Malmo FF and PAOK Thessaloniki FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 52' It’s gonna be a card for Erik Botheim.
  • 57' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lasse Berg Johnsen, as he is very good at scoring at Nya Malmo Stadion with 2 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 62' PAOK Thessaloniki FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 65' A change in the Malmo FF ranks — Erik Botheim exits the field as Anders Christiansen enters on 65.
  • 67' Sebastian Nanasi makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and Malmo FF are in front.
  • 70' PAOK Thessaloniki FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 70.
  • 70' Another substitution for PAOK Thessaloniki FC to replace Brandon by Tarik Tissoudali on 70 minute.
  • 72' It’s a booking for PAOK Thessaloniki FC player. Joan Sastre gets a card.
  • 73' Another substitution for PAOK Thessaloniki FC to replace Stefan Schwab by Mohamed Mady Camara on 73 minute.
  • 75' Abdul Rahman Baba has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 75 minutes.
  • 80' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Nils Zatterstrom made 248 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 83' A change in the Malmo FF ranks — Hugo Bolin exits the field as Taha Ali enters on 83.
  • 84' The referee has no hesitation. Mohamed Mady Camara is booked for PAOK Thessaloniki FC — card on 84.
  • 87' That looks like a foul for a card for Sebastian Nanasi.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Magomed Ozdoev. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 90' It is a substitution in Malmo FF team. Sergio Pena is replaced by Oliver Berg on 90 minute.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Malmo FF Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

PAOK Thessaloniki FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.57 Malmo FF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.44 PAOK Thessaloniki FC xG
I would bet for: Malmo FF or PAOK Thessaloniki FC 73% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Malmo FF39% Draw27% PAOK Thessaloniki FC34%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.01
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Malmo FF or Draw
66%
Draw or PAOK Thessaloniki FC
61%
Malmo FF or PAOK Thessaloniki FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Malmo FF30% Draw44% PAOK Thessaloniki FC26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
7.7%
1 – 0
6.9%
0 – 0
6.7%
0 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
6%
0 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.4%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Malmo FF

Handicap Malmo FF covers Push PAOK Thessaloniki FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 19% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 66% — 34%
+1 66% 18% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Malmo FF keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
PAOK Thessaloniki FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.