Thursday , 2 July 2026

Portugal vs Slovenia, European Championship 2024 LAST 16

3 0
3 – 0 pen
Full Time
Mon 1 Jul 2024 · 19:00 UTC Deutsche Bank Park 46,576 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Portugal vs SloveniaEuropean Championship at Deutsche Bank Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniele Orsato
  • Assistant 1 Ciro Carbone
  • Assistant 2 Alessandro Giallatini
4 games this season 🟨 4.3/game 15.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

1
Portugal 1 games · Avg 3.0 goals Slovenia

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Jul Slovenia H 3–0 W
26 Jun Georgia A 0–2 L
22 Jun Turkey A 3–0 W
18 Jun Czechia H 2–1 W
10 Dec Morocco A 0–1 L
06 Dec Switzerland H 6–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Jul Portugal A 0–3 L
25 Jun England A 0–0 D
20 Jun Serbia H 1–1 D
16 Jun Denmark H 1–1 D

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
Portugal this season
25% Clean Sheets
Slovenia this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Portugal
0-15
/1
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
1/1
61-75
/1
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Slovenia
0-15
/
16-30
/1
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Portugal
Francisco Conceicao 1 G
Slovenia
Erik Janza 1 G
Zan Karnicnik 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Portugal and Slovenia is underway.
  • 5' Slovenia started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 10' The travelling Slovenia supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Benjamin Sesko, as he is very good at scoring at Deutsche Bank Park with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Zan Celar suffering a number of foals already.
  • 25' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 30' It looks like no one’s ball. Portugal is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 32' It’s gonna be a card for Vanja Drkusic.
  • 37' Slovenia receives a card for a hard tackle on 37.
  • 42' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Slovenia needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 47' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Rafael Leao made 466 appearances and scored 78 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 52' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 57' It’s high time Matjaz Kek made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 62' Slovenia is showing some good football. However, Slovenia are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 65' The whistle greets Vitinha as he departs to be replaced by Diogo Jota.
  • 70' Zan Karnicnik has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 74' The supporters are chanting for Jon Stankovic. He replaces Jan Mlakar on 74 minute.
  • 76' Francisco Conceicao is replacing Rafael Leao for the Portugal side.
  • 81' Pepe needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 86' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 87' Time for substitution for Slovenia. Petar Stojanovic is replaced by Benjamin Verbic.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Slovenia.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.05 Portugal xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.61 Slovenia xG
I would bet for: Portugal to win 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Portugal66% Draw21% Slovenia13%
Actual: Portugal win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 2.66
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Portugal or Draw
88%
Draw or Slovenia
34%
Portugal or Slovenia
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Portugal49% Draw43% Slovenia8%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
14.4%
1 – 0
13.9%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
8.8%
2 – 1
8.7%
3 – 1
6%
4 – 0
4.9%
0 – 1
3.5%
4 – 1
3.2%
2 – 2
2.7%
1 – 2
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Portugal

Handicap Portugal covers Push Slovenia covers
-2.5 23% 77%
-2 23% 22% 55%
-1.5 45% 55%
-1 45% 25% 30%
-0.5 70% 30%
+0.5 91% 9%
+1 91% 7% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Portugal keeps clean sheet
55%
Slovenia keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.