Thursday , 1 October 2026

Portugal vs Slovenia, European Championship 2024 LAST 16

3 – 0
3 – 0 pen
Full Time
Mon 1 Jul 2024 · 19:00 UTC Deutsche Bank Park 46,576 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Portugal vs Slovenia — European Championship at Deutsche Bank Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniele Orsato
  • Assistant 1 Ciro Carbone
  • Assistant 2 Alessandro Giallatini
4 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 15.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

1
Portugal 1 games · Avg 3.0 goals Slovenia

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Jul Slovenia H 3–0 W
26 Jun Georgia A 0–2 L
22 Jun Turkey A 3–0 W
18 Jun Czechia H 2–1 W
10 Dec Morocco A 0–1 L
06 Dec Switzerland H 6–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Jul Portugal A 0–3 L
25 Jun England A 0–0 D
20 Jun Serbia H 1–1 D
16 Jun Denmark H 1–1 D

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
Portugal this season
25% Clean Sheets
Slovenia this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Portugal
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/1
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Slovenia
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Portugal
Francisco Conceicao 1 G
Slovenia
Erik Janza 1 G
Zan Karnicnik 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Slovenia kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' It looks surprising Portugal does not make any changes. Jan Oblak has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 10' Slovenia fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 20' Portugal are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Slovenia's 4-4-2 shape.
  • 25' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 25 minutes.
  • 30' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 32' Vanja Drkusic has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 32.
  • 37' A meaty challenge results in booking for Zan Karnicnik on 37.
  • 42' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 47' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Portugal and Slovenia are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 52' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 57' Slovenia started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 57.
  • 62' Portugal have won 47 goals from 125 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 65' A change in the Portugal ranks — Vitinha exits the field as Diogo Jota enters on 65.
  • 70' Supporters expect more eagerness from Diogo Costa, as he is very good at scoring at Deutsche Bank Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 74' The whistle greets Jan Mlakar as he departs to be replaced by Jon Stankovic.
  • 76' Francisco Conceicao gets the nod from Portugal. He replaces Rafael Leao and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 81' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 86' Bernardo Silva is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Portugal tonight.
  • 87' Slovenia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Benjamin Verbic is hanging Petar Stojanovic on the field on 87 minute.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Portugal to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.05 Portugal xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.61 Slovenia xG
I would bet for: Portugal to win 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Portugal66% Draw21% Slovenia13%
Actual: Portugal win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 2.66
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Portugal or Draw
88%
Draw or Slovenia
34%
Portugal or Slovenia
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Portugal49% Draw43% Slovenia8%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
14.4%
1 – 0
13.9%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
8.8%
2 – 1
8.7%
3 – 1
6%
4 – 0
4.9%
0 – 1
3.5%
4 – 1
3.2%
2 – 2
2.7%
1 – 2
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Portugal

Handicap Portugal covers Push Slovenia covers
-2.5 23% — 77%
-2 23% 22% 55%
-1.5 45% — 55%
-1 45% 25% 30%
-0.5 70% — 30%
+0.5 91% — 9%
+1 91% 7% 2%
+1.5 98% — 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

Portugal keeps clean sheet
55% ✓
Slovenia keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.