Portugal vs Slovenia, European Championship 2024 LAST 16
Overview
Match Preview
Portugal vs Slovenia — European Championship at Deutsche Bank Park.
Match Details
- Referee Daniele Orsato
- Assistant 1 Ciro Carbone
- Assistant 2 Alessandro Giallatini
4 games this season
🟨 4.3/game
⚽ 15.5 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
H2H (1 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
40%
Clean Sheets
Portugal this season
Portugal this season
25%
Clean Sheets
Slovenia this season
Slovenia this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Portugal
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/1
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Slovenia
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Portugal
| Francisco Conceicao | 1 G |
Slovenia
| Erik Janza | 1 G |
| Zan Karnicnik | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Slovenia kicks off things out of here…
- 5' It looks surprising Portugal does not make any changes. Jan Oblak has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 10' Slovenia fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 20' Portugal are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Slovenia's 4-4-2 shape.
- 25' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 25 minutes.
- 30' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 32' Vanja Drkusic has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 32.
- 37' A meaty challenge results in booking for Zan Karnicnik on 37.
- 42' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 47' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Portugal and Slovenia are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 52' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 57' Slovenia started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 57.
- 62' Portugal have won 47 goals from 125 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 65' A change in the Portugal ranks — Vitinha exits the field as Diogo Jota enters on 65.
- 70' Supporters expect more eagerness from Diogo Costa, as he is very good at scoring at Deutsche Bank Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 74' The whistle greets Jan Mlakar as he departs to be replaced by Jon Stankovic.
- 76' Francisco Conceicao gets the nod from Portugal. He replaces Rafael Leao and will look to change the dynamic.
- 81' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 86' Bernardo Silva is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Portugal tonight.
- 87' Slovenia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Benjamin Verbic is hanging Petar Stojanovic on the field on 87 minute.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Portugal to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Portugal Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 10
- 17
- 7
-
20
Joao Cancelo ↓ Nelson Semedo 117'
- 8
-
3
Pepe ↓ Ruben Neves 117'
- 4
- 6
- 22
- 19
-
23
Vitinha ↓ Diogo Jota 65'
Bench
- 5
- 1
-
18
Ruben Neves ↑ 117'
-
21
Diogo Jota ↑ 65'
-
2
Nelson Semedo ↑ 117'
- 25
- 13
- 16
- 12
- 11
- 9
- 14
-
26
Francisco Conceicao ↑ 76'
- 24
- 15
Coach
Roberto Martínez
Slovenia Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1
- 2
- 3
- 21
-
10
Timi Elsnik ↓ Josip Ilicic 106'
- 22
-
9
Andraz Sporar ↓ Zan Celar 74'
-
17
Jan Mlakar ↓ Jon Stankovic 74'
- 20
- 11
- 6
Bench
- 12
- 16
- 4
-
5
Jon Stankovic ↑ 74'
- 23
-
7
Benjamin Verbic ↑ 87'
- 14
- 15
- 24
- 25
-
26
Josip Ilicic ↑ 106'
-
19
Zan Celar ↑ 74'
- 18
- 8
Coach
Matjaz Kek
H2H
Head to Head
Portugal Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.05
Portugal xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.61
Slovenia xG
I would bet for:
Portugal to win 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Portugal win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.66
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Portugal or Draw
88%
Draw or Slovenia
34%
Portugal or Slovenia
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
14.4%
1 – 0
13.9%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
8.8%
2 – 1
8.7%
3 – 1
6%
4 – 0
4.9%
0 – 1
3.5%
4 – 1
3.2%
2 – 2
2.7%
1 – 2
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Portugal
| Handicap | Portugal covers | Push | Slovenia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -2 | 23% | 22% | 55% |
| -1.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| -1 | 45% | 25% | 30% |
| -0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +0.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +1 | 91% | 7% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
| +2 | 98% | 2% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
Portugal keeps clean sheet
55%
✓
Slovenia keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.