Portugal vs Iceland, European Championship 2016 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Portugal vs Iceland — European Championship .
Match Details
- Referee Carlos del Cerro
- Referee Cuneyt Cakιr
- Referee Bahattin Duran
- Referee Tarik Ongun
- Referee Baris Simsek
- Referee Huseyin Gocek
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
40%
Clean Sheets
Portugal this season
Portugal this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Portugal
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/1
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Portugal
| Francisco Conceicao | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at !
- 5' Portugal have won 47 goals from 125 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 20' Eder is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Portugal tonight.
- 25' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Lars Lagerback will be considering his options from the bench.
- 30' A quiet spell here at . Portugal seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 31' Nani puts Portugal on the lead.
- 36' It looks like no one’s ball. Portugal is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 41' Johann Berg Gudmundsson needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 46' Both keepers have barely been tested. Portugal and Iceland are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 50' Against the run of play, Birkir Bjarnason has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 55' Birkir Bjarnason picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 60' Iceland are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 65' Raphael Guerreiro has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 70' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 71' Joao Moutinho makes way for Renato Sanches at the 71 minute mark. A tactical switch from Portugal.
- 76' The Portugal manager makes a substitution. Joao Mario departs to be replaced by Ricardo Quaresma.
- 81' Alfred Finnbogason gets the nod from Iceland. He replaces Kolbeinn Sigthorsson and will look to change the dynamic.
- 84' Eder is ready to make an impact after coming on for Andre Gomes at the 84 minute mark.
- 89' Danilo Pereira, a Portugal , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 90' The referee has no hesitation. Alfred Finnbogason is booked for Iceland — Yellow card on 90.
- 90' Elmar Bjarnason gets the nod from Iceland. He replaces Johann Berg Gudmundsson and will look to change the dynamic.
- The final score is 1-1.
Lineups
Portugal Lineups
Starting XI
-
15
Andre Gomes ↓ Eder 84'
- 1
-
8
Joao Moutinho ↓ Renato Sanches 71'
- 5
- 7
-
10
Joao Mario ↓ Ricardo Quaresma 76'
- 17
- 13
- 3
- 11
- 6
Bench
- 23
- 21
- 22
- 12
- 4
-
16
Renato Sanches ↑ 71'
- 14
- 2
-
20
Ricardo Quaresma ↑ 76'
- 18
-
9
Eder ↑ 84'
- 19
Coach
Fernando Santos
Iceland Lineups
Starting XI
- 15
- 14
- 7
- 10
- 17
- 8
- 9
- 1
- 6
- 2
- 23
Bench
- 12
-
11
Alfred Finnbogason ↑ 81'
- 20
- 5
- 21
- 19
-
18
Elmar Bjarnason ↑ 90'
- 16
- 22
- 3
- 13
- 4
Coach
Lars Lagerback
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Nani | 1 |
| Birkir Bjarnason | 1 |
| Nani | 1 |
| Birkir Bjarnason | 1 |
Head to Head
Portugal Form
Iceland Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.17
Portugal xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05
Iceland xG
I would bet for:
Portugal or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 62%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.22
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Portugal or Draw
70%
Draw or Iceland
61%
Portugal or Iceland
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Portugal win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
13.2%
1 – 0
11.5%
0 – 1
10.2%
2 – 1
7.5%
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
6.8%
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
3%
3 – 0
2.7%
1 – 3
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Portugal
| Handicap | Portugal covers | Push | Iceland covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 11% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 21% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 19% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Portugal keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
Iceland keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.