Portugal vs Iceland, European Championship 2016 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Portugal vs Iceland — European Championship .
Match Details
- Referee Carlos del Cerro
- Referee Cuneyt Cakιr
- Referee Bahattin Duran
- Referee Tarik Ongun
- Referee Baris Simsek
- Referee Huseyin Gocek
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
40%
Clean Sheets
Portugal this season
Portugal this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Portugal
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/1
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Portugal
| Francisco Conceicao | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at !
- 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Pepe made 123 appearances and scored 18 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 10' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 20' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 25' Iceland is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 30' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 31' Portugal is taking the lead after the goal scored by Nani on 31.
- 36' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 41' Kari Arnason is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Portugal tonight.
- 46' Supporters expect more eagerness from Johann Berg Gudmundsson, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 50' Birkir Bjarnason has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 50 minutes.
- 55' Iceland receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 55.
- 60' Portugal are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Iceland's shape.
- 65' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jon Daði Boðvarsson suffering a number of foals already.
- 70' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 71' Renato Sanches is ready to make an impact after coming on for Joao Moutinho at the 71 minute mark.
- 76' Another change for Portugal made on 76 minute. Joao Mario leaves to be changed by Ricardo Quaresma.
- 81' The crowd applauds Kolbeinn Sigthorsson as he leaves the pitch. Alfred Finnbogason steps in for Iceland.
- 84' A tactical swap from Portugal — Eder on, Andre Gomes off on 84 minutes.
- 89' It’s high time Fernando Santos made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 90' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Alfred Finnbogason on 90 minutes.
- 90' Iceland ring the changes. Johann Berg Gudmundsson has done his job and it is now time for Elmar Bjarnason to step up.
- It finishes all square. Portugal and Iceland share the spoils 1-1.
Lineups
Portugal Lineups
Starting XI
-
15
Andre Gomes ↓ Eder 84'
- 1
-
8
Joao Moutinho ↓ Renato Sanches 71'
- 5
- 7
-
10
Joao Mario ↓ Ricardo Quaresma 76'
- 17
- 13
- 3
- 11
- 6
Bench
- 23
- 21
- 22
- 12
- 4
-
16
Renato Sanches ↑ 71'
- 14
- 2
-
20
Ricardo Quaresma ↑ 76'
- 18
-
9
Eder ↑ 84'
- 19
Coach
Fernando Santos
Iceland Lineups
Starting XI
- 15
- 14
- 7
- 10
- 17
- 8
- 9
- 1
- 6
- 2
- 23
Bench
- 12
-
11
Alfred Finnbogason ↑ 81'
- 20
- 5
- 21
- 19
-
18
Elmar Bjarnason ↑ 90'
- 16
- 22
- 3
- 13
- 4
Coach
Lars Lagerback
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Nani | 1 |
| Birkir Bjarnason | 1 |
| Nani | 1 |
| Birkir Bjarnason | 1 |
Head to Head
Portugal Form
Iceland Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.17
Portugal xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05
Iceland xG
I would bet for:
Portugal or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 62%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.22
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Portugal or Draw
70%
Draw or Iceland
61%
Portugal or Iceland
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Portugal win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
13.2%
1 – 0
11.5%
0 – 1
10.2%
2 – 1
7.5%
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
6.8%
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
3%
3 – 0
2.7%
1 – 3
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Portugal
| Handicap | Portugal covers | Push | Iceland covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 11% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 21% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 19% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Portugal keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
Iceland keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.