Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders FC, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2024

Portland Timbers

1 – 2

Full Time

Seattle Sounders FC

Sun 12 May 2024 · 20:45 UTC Providence Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 54' Nouhou Tolo

Dario Zuparic 66' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders FC — MLS at Providence Park.

Portland Timbers 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
Seattle Sounders FC 17 games · 24 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	18	40
2	Internacional CF Miami	18	38
3	New England Revolution	18	30
4	Chicago Fire FC	17	29
5	New York City FC	18	26
6	FC Cincinnati	18	26
7	Charlotte FC	18	25
8	New York Red Bulls	18	25
9	D.C. United SC	18	23
10	Columbus Crew SC	18	20
11	Orlando City SC	18	20
12	Toronto FC	18	17
13	Philadelphia Union	18	16
14	Montreal Impact FC	18	16
15	Atlanta United FC	18	12
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	17	34
17	Los Angeles FC	19	34
18	San Jose Earthquakes	18	33
19	Houston Dynamo	18	32
20	FC Dallas	18	27
21	Real Salt Lake	17	27
22	St. Louis City	18	26
23	Portland Timbers	18	24
24	Seattle Sounders FC	17	24
25	Minnesota United FC	18	24
26	Colorado Rapids SC	18	22
27	Los Angeles Galaxy	19	22
28	San Diego FC	18	21
29	Austin FC	18	17
30	Sporting Kansas City	18	14

Head-to-Head

Portland Timbers 26 games · Avg 2.9 goals Seattle Sounders FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-05-12 Portland Timbers 1–2 Seattle Sounders FC 2023-09-03 Seattle Sounders FC 2–2 Portland Timbers 2023-06-03 Seattle Sounders FC 0–0 Portland Timbers 2023-04-16 Portland Timbers 4–1 Seattle Sounders FC 2022-08-27 Portland Timbers 2–1 Seattle Sounders FC

Recent Form

Portland Timbers

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 May	Seattle Sounders FC	H	1–2	L
04 May	Charlotte FC	A	0–2	L
28 Apr	Los Angeles FC	A	2–3	L
20 Apr	Columbus Crew SC	A	2–2	D
13 Apr	Los Angeles FC	H	2–2	D
07 Apr	Sporting Kansas City	A	3–3	D

Seattle Sounders FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 May	Portland Timbers	A	2–1	W
05 May	Los Angeles Galaxy	H	0–0	D
30 Apr	Philadelphia Union	A	3–2	W
27 Apr	D.C. United SC	A	1–2	L
21 Apr	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	H	0–2	L
14 Apr	FC Dallas	A	0–0	D

Season Stats

Portland Timbers		Seattle Sounders FC
#23	Position	#24
24	Points	24
18	Played	17
7 / 3 / 8	W / D / L	7 / 3 / 7
33	Scored	20
33	Conceded	22
+0	GD	-2
1.33	PPG	1.41
39%	Win %	41%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (26 games)

62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

6% Clean Sheets
Portland Timbers this season

29% Clean Sheets
Seattle Sounders FC this season

Portland Timbers are 23rd (24 pts). Seattle Sounders FC are 24th (24 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Portland Timbers

0-15

2/5

16-30

4/5

31-45

4/4

46-60

3/2

61-75

5/–

76+

5/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Seattle Sounders FC

0-15

2/2

16-30

4/4

31-45

2/3

46-60

2/2

61-75

–/2

76+

5/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Portland Timbers

Kevin Kelsy

8 G

2 A

Seattle Sounders FC

Paul Rothrock

5 G

1 A

Events

Match Events

0' And we are off! Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders FC — let the football do the talking.
5' Seattle Sounders FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
15' Felipe Mora adds to his 3 season tally! Portland Timbers lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
19' What a moment for Cristian Roldan! That strike on 19 puts his side firmly in control.
24' Portland Timbers is showing some good football. However, Portland Timbers are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
29' Portland Timbers looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Kevin Kelsy scoring 3 goals.
34' The home supporters are growing impatient. Portland Timbers must find a spark to ignite this game.
39' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Nouhou Tolo made 288 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
44' Portland Timbers are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
49' With 0 assists to his name this season, Obed Vargas is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Seattle Sounders FC.
50' Raul Ruidiaz does the damage! The net is bulging and Seattle Sounders FC surge ahead!
54' The referee has no hesitation. Nouhou Tolo is booked for Seattle Sounders FC — card on 54.
56' Evander has so much to prove this time. He replaces Antony on 56 minute.
61' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
66' A meaty challenge results in booking for Dario Zuparic on 66.
67' Eryk Williamson is replacing Cristhian Paredes for the Portland Timbers side.
72' Portland Timbers are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Seattle Sounders FC's shape.
76' Cody Baker gets the nod from Seattle Sounders FC. He replaces Joao Paulo and will look to change the dynamic.
81' Time for substitution for Portland Timbers. Eric Miller is replaced by Dairon Asprilla.
86' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
90' The Seattle Sounders FC bench stirs into life. Cristian Roldan is withdrawn and Danny Leyva gets his opportunity.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Portland Timbers.

Lineups

Portland Timbers Lineups

Starting XI

21
Diego Chara
22
Cristhian Paredes ↓ Eryk Williamson 67'
15
Eric Miller ↓ Dairon Asprilla 81'
13
Dario Zuparic
14
Jonathan Rodriguez
16
Maxime Crepeau
4
Kamal Miller
9
Felipe Mora
11
Antony ↓ Evander 56'
30
Santiago Moreno
29
Juan Mosquera

Bench

10
Evander ↑ 56'
33
Larrys Mabiala
27
Dairon Asprilla ↑ 81'
19
Eryk Williamson ↑ 67'
41
James Pantemis
24
David Ayala
99
Nathan
18
Zac McGraw

Coach Phil Neville

Seattle Sounders FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

75
Danny Leyva ↑ 90'
23
Leo Chu
26
Andrew Thomas
17
Danny Musovski ↑ 76'
99
Dylan Teves ↑ 90'
14
Paul Rothrock ↑ 81'
77
Sota Kitahara
33
Cody Baker ↑ 76'
–
Stuart Hawkins

Coach Brian Schmetzer

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Raul Ruidiaz	15
Sebastian Blanco	6
Dairon Asprilla	4
Fredy Montero	3
Kevin Kelsy	3
Santiago Moreno	3
Felipe Mora	3
Larrys Mabiala	2

Head to Head

Portland Timbers Form

2024-05-12 Portland Timbers 1–2 Seattle Sounders FC L 2024-05-04 Charlotte FC 2–0 Portland Timbers L 2024-04-28 Los Angeles FC 3–2 Portland Timbers L 2024-04-20 Columbus Crew SC 2–2 Portland Timbers D 2024-04-13 Portland Timbers 2–2 Los Angeles FC D 2024-04-07 Sporting Kansas City 3–3 Portland Timbers D

Seattle Sounders FC Form

2024-05-12 Portland Timbers 1–2 Seattle Sounders FC W 2024-05-05 Seattle Sounders FC 0–0 Los Angeles Galaxy D 2024-04-30 Philadelphia Union 2–3 Seattle Sounders FC W 2024-04-27 D.C. United SC 2–1 Seattle Sounders FC L 2024-04-21 Seattle Sounders FC 0–2 Vancouver Whitecaps FC L 2024-04-14 FC Dallas 0–0 Seattle Sounders FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.64 Portland Timbers xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.48 Seattle Sounders FC xG

I would bet for: Portland Timbers or Seattle Sounders FC 73% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Portland Timbers39% Draw27% Seattle Sounders FC34%

Actual: Seattle Sounders FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes62% 0% No38%

Avg goals/match: 3.12

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	82%	18%
± 2.5	59%	41%
± 3.5	38%	62%
± 4.5	21%	79%

Double Chance

Portland Timbers or Draw

66%

Draw or Seattle Sounders FC

61%

Portland Timbers or Seattle Sounders FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Portland Timbers30% Draw43% Seattle Sounders FC27%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.6%

2 – 1

8.5%

1 – 2

Actual

1 – 0

6.5%

2 – 2

6.2%

0 – 0

6.1%

2 – 0

5.9%

0 – 1

5.8%

0 – 2

4.8%

3 – 1

4.6%

1 – 3

3.8%

3 – 2

3.5%

Asian Handicap — Portland Timbers

Handicap	Portland Timbers covers	Push	Seattle Sounders FC covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	12%	79%
-1.5	21%	—	79%
-1	21%	19%	60%
-0.5	40%	—	60%
+0.5	66%	—	34%
+1	66%	17%	16%
+1.5	84%	—	16%
+2	84%	10%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

Portland Timbers keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Seattle Sounders FC keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.